SCP-2092 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2092
Expected annual
$303.2M
One-time setup
$865.5M
Annual recurring
$180.0M
Personnel
50
Initial capital outlay is approximately $865,550,000 one-time driven by spacecraft builds, launches, mission integration, and contingency reserves; recurring costs are approximately $173,925,000/yr driven primarily by amortized replacement probes, ongoing covert suppression/influence, mission operations, and legal/PR operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $865.5M
Contingency Reserve One Time $175.0M
[#25] Reserve for unplanned scientific escalation / declassification mitigation (one-time set-aside).
Probe 2092 A Construction $165.0M
[#1] Dedicated deep-space observation probe (Probe-2092-A) construction and space-qualification.
Probe 2092 B Construction $130.0M
[#2] Relay probe (Probe-2092-B) construction with high-gain transmitter and stationkeeping capability.
Launches And Mission Injection $125.0M
[#3] Two medium-class interplanetary launches including integration and campaign costs.
Rapid Response Reserve One Time $125.0M
[#11] Contingency rapid-response launch reserve fund (one-time set-aside).
Mission Design Testing Integration $90.0M
[#4] Systems engineering, environmental testing, flight software, and mission integration (20–30% of hardware).
Ground Segment Build $15.0M
[#5] Dedicated ground antenna(s) / build of hardened ground segment, fiber to Site-15, secure decrypting hardware (one-time portion).
Countermeasures One Time $10.0M
[#18] Episodic covert electronic countermeasures reserve / capability (one-time, ordinarily avoided).
Power Systems Premium $8.5M
[#13] Incremental premium for radiation-hardened power systems (RTG/solar selection premium, one-time).
Regulatory Influence One Time $5.5M
[#17] Setup costs for regulatory/influence operations to block receiver bands (one-time).
Insurance Setup One Time $5.5M
[#20] Internal contingency accounting, legal indemnities and black-budget setup costs (one-time).
Site15 Upgrades One Time $3.0M
[#8] Hardened operations room / SCIF upgrades and SCIF-decryption hardware (one-time).
Propellant Procurement $3.0M
[#12] On-orbit propulsion and stationkeeping propellant procurement and integration costs (one-time).
Document Expungement One Time $2.8M
[#16] Initial forensic removal/expungement of SCP-2092-1 transcripts and archival data (one-time).
Encrypted Comm One Time $1.1M
[#9] End-to-end encryption hardware, HSMs and key-management setup (one-time).
Secure Data Systems One Time $600K
[#7] Encrypted archival/storage servers and secure compute procurement (one-time).
Archival One Time $600K
[#23] Long-term offline archival vaults and offsite copies (one-time).
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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Illustrative Budget Summary $0
[#26] Illustrative combined-budget summary provided by analyst (summary only; no additional one-time cost counted here).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $180.0M/yr
Replacement Probes Amortized Per Year $150.0M/yr
[#10] Amortized budget for replacement/recurring probe builds and launches on a ~3-year refresh cadence.
Staff Wages $13.5M/yr
[#6, #14, #15, #22] Salaries for mission operations/flight control team, scientific/signal analysis team, covert operatives (embedded in agencies), and on-site security personnel.
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#5] Ground-segment leases, deep-space network time, and ongoing comm relay operational leases/ops.
Ground Segment Lease Ops $3.0M/yr
[#5] (duplicate mapping for audit) Leased deep-space network time and redundant ground-station ops (recurring).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#19] Legal, PR, cover-story development and coordinated disinformation campaigns (recurring).
Legal Pr Recurring $2.5M/yr
[#19] (duplicate mapping) Annual legal and PR retainer and campaign costs.
Insurance And Accounting Recurring $1.2M/yr
[#20] Ongoing accounting, legal maintenance, and internal indemnity/black-budget costs.
Regulatory Influence Recurring $1.1M/yr
[#17] Ongoing influence/lobbying costs to maintain receiver-band exclusions.
Facilities Maintenance $650K/yr
[#8] Site-15 operations room maintenance, SCIF upkeep, and associated non-payroll facility maintenance.
Document Expungement Recurring $600K/yr
[#16] Ongoing monitoring, cleanup, and forensic removal of newly discovered transcripts or traces.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#24] Small equipment, consumables, routine ground-station and lab maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#7] Secure storage/compute maintenance and ongoing analysis platform costs (recurring).
Secure Data Recurring $300K/yr
[#7] Recurring costs for encrypted archival storage, compute cycles, and maintenance.
Encrypted Comm Recurring $300K/yr
[#9] Ongoing crypto lifecycle costs, key rotations, and HSM maintenance.
Training And Vetting $300K/yr
[#21] Background checks, psych evals, clearance renewals, and training for Level-4+ staff.
Small Equipment Consumables $300K/yr
[#24] Consumables, replacement electronics, batteries, and routine lab consumables.
Archival Recurring $125K/yr
[#23] Ongoing offsite archival maintenance and secure transfer protocols.
Countermeasures Recurring $0/yr
[#18] Continuous jamming/filtering is ordinarily avoided; recurring cost set to zero unless sustained countermeasures are required.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $180.0M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled operations and amortized replacements; no major failures or exposures.
normal operations scheduled replacements (amortized) no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $653.9M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$473.9M vs baseline
Unexpected probe failure or loss of contact requiring immediate replacement and expedited launch with premium costs.
probe hardware failure loss of contact with Probe-2092-A or B expedited replacement launch required
🚨 Major Breach $273.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$93.9M vs baseline
Significant political or public exposure requiring large-scale legal/PR operations, covert remediation, and episodic countermeasures.
public disclosure partner-agency exposure need for episodic electronic countermeasures
👥 Personnel 50 total
Role Count Notes
Mission Operations / Flight Control 12 [#6] Engineers/operators for 24/7 monitoring, trajectory corrections, and anomaly response; shift coverage included.
Research Scientist / Signal Analysis 6 [#14] Specialists to decode and interpret SCP-2092-1 data and advise on mission requirements.
Security Officer / Site Guards 8 [#8, #22] On-site guards, internal security teams, and armed response for Site-15 monitoring and access control.
Covert Operative / Embedded Agent 20 [#15] Undercover placements embedded in major space agencies to influence receiver designs and expunge records.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#6] Technical maintenance staff for ground-segment, comm, and SCIF hardware support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed, order-of-magnitude ranges for spacecraft and operational costs so central estimates are plausible, but spaceflight and covert-influence costs vary widely with architecture and geopolitical risk; this yields moderate confidence.
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