SCP-2126 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2126
Expected annual
$338K
One-time setup
$568K
Annual recurring
$328K
Personnel
2.25
One-time setup and optional research equipment dominate initial costs (~$0.57M), while annual recurring costs are driven primarily by staffing, facility overhead, legal/insurance and security monitoring (~$0.33M/yr). High-cost tail events (medical care, settlements, large research programs) can add six- to seven-figure expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $568K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#17, #20] Pilot surgical research budget and specialized research equipment (microscopy/sequence/histology) one-time capital.
Contingency Reserve One Time $100K
[#28] One-time contingency/reserve fund allocation (recommended).
Equipment $16K
[#1, #4, #5, #10, #26] Archival sleeve/folder, access-control/CCTV installation hardware, audio-detection hardware, secure scanning/digitization setup, IT configuration/hardware.
Facilities $15K
[#2, #25] Moisture-controlled cabinet purchase / dedicated small vault and redundant secondary cabinet (midpoint estimates).
Sop And Legal Development One Time $6K
[#6] Initial SOP drafting, legal review, and documentation development (one-time cost).
Archival Conservation One Time $3K
[#9] One-time conservation/restoration for 1970 paper if required.
Transport Containment Kit One Time $3K
[#12] Purchase of secure transport containment kit and packing materials (per-kit purchase cost).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $328K/yr
Staff Wages $143K/yr
[#7] 0.25 FTE researcher + 2 security staff, benefits (~30%) included; baseline staffing cost.
Cover Story And Legal $92K/yr
[#21, #22] Annual legal/cover-story retainer and insurance/liability premiums (retainer ~62.5k + insurance ~30k midpoints).
Contingency Reserve Annual $50K/yr
[#28] Annual contribution to contingency/reserve fund for unexpected legal/research escalation.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#3] Allocation of secure facility space, HVAC share, overhead for climate-controlled vault area.
Security Monitoring And Maintenance $8K/yr
[#4, #5, #13] Annual monitoring/maintenance for access control, CCTV monitoring & storage, and audio alarm calibration.
Staff Training $5K/yr
[#6, #8] Annual SOP refresher training and operational/emergency training costs.
Redundant Storage Overhead $3K/yr
[#25] Annual overhead for maintaining secondary vault/duplicate storage at separate site.
Compliance And Audits $3K/yr
[#27] Regular containment policy audits and compliance inspections (annual internal/external audits).
Biosafety And Waste Disposal $3K/yr
[#19] Biomedical waste disposal contracts, sharps containers and regulated waste handling (annualized).
Incident Drills $2K/yr
[#14] Tabletop and practical drills for reading-exposure scenarios; two drills/year midpoint.
It Maintenance $2K/yr
[#10, #26] Secure IT maintenance, configuration upkeep to restrict audio playback/TTS and encrypted archive upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $1K/yr
[#9] Periodic condition monitoring and minor conservation budget (annual inspections).
Supplies And Consumables $600/yr
[#11] PPE, gloves, disposable trays, cleaning supplies (annual consumables).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#12] Per-move transport costs (1k–5k per move) are incident-driven and modeled in scenarios; baseline annual = 0.
Mental Health Support $0/yr
[#23] Post-incident counseling is per-incident; baseline annual = 0.
Research Project Consumables $0/yr
[#20] Per-project consumables (10k–100k) are episodic and modeled in scenarios; baseline annual = 0.
Per Incident Medical And Longterm Care Placeholder $0/yr
[#15, #16] Acute and long-term medical care per exposure are incident-driven (ranges listed); baseline annual = 0.
Per Incident Pathology Autopsy Placeholder $0/yr
[#18] Autopsy/forensic analysis costs are per-fatality and modeled in scenarios; baseline annual = 0.
Per Incident Cover Logistics $0/yr
[#24] Per-incident costs for covert handling/cover stories of deceased; modeled in scenarios; baseline annual = 0.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $328K/yr
97.5% probability / year
No exposures or major incidents; normal yearly operations, routine training, monitoring, and overhead.
no unauthorized access no reading of original aloud routine audits pass
🚨 Minor Incident $535K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$207K vs baseline
Single unauthorized or accidental reading event leading to an exposed individual requiring emergency treatment and limited surgical intervention but surviving.
single exposure/reading ER visits + initial surgeries limited legal/administrative response
🚨 Major Incident $1.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Severe exposure(s) resulting in at least one fatality, extended long-term care for survivors, autopsy and forensic costs, major legal settlements and an escalated research program.
fatal exposure multiple exposures or delayed detection legal escalation / large settlement
👥 Personnel 2.25 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0.25 [#7] Part-time curator/researcher allocation (0.25 FTE) included in staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two security staff allocated for escorts and access events included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges for almost all line items enabling midpoint estimates; per-incident costs and probabilities are uncertain (depend on human error and legal outcomes), hence medium confidence.
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