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SCP-2128 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2128
Expected annual
$8.5M
One-time setup
$29.5M
Annual recurring
$8.3M
Personnel
29
First-year capital costs are dominated by Site-403 construction, containment conversion and equipment (~$29.5M one-time). Recurring annual operations are primarily D-class procurement, staff wages and contingency reserves (~$8.34M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $29.5M
Facilities $26.8M
[#1, #2, #20, #28] Site construction, containment-chamber conversion, land acquisition (buffer zone) and a planned decommissioning/mothballing budget.
Equipment $1.7M
[#3, #4, #5, #9, #17, #21] HVAC/scrubbers and installation, remote/high-speed monitoring systems, secure sample/ash vault, vehicle purchases, hardened records servers, and initial fleet purchases.
Contingency Seed $1.0M
[#23] Initial one-time seed for an emergency/catastrophic-response fund.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#14] Initial PPE stock and immediate research consumables/startup supplies.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#9, #10, #18] Security salaries (12 guards), site director, researchers, technicians, medical staff and linguistics/analysis team salaries.
D Class Procurement $2.2M/yr
[#6, #7] Recurring cost to procure/process D-class personnel at an assumed minimum steady-state throughput of 3/day (1,095/year).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#23] Ongoing annual availability of funds reserved for catastrophic or cross-site operations.
D Class Housing $548K/yr
[#8] On-site D-class housing, feeding, basic care and guard costs for a 30-bed rotating pool.
Emergency Response Reserve $500K/yr
[#11] Annual reserve for MTF activations, deployments and emergency contingencies.
Cover Story And Legal $488K/yr
[#19, #24, #20, #26, #27] Ongoing legal/cover-story budgets, PR/false narratives, local relations payments, insurance/compensation reserves, and periodic audits/coordination.
Research And Monitoring $375K/yr
[#4, #17, #5, #12] Monitoring-system maintenance, secure-records/offsite backups, sample/ash inventory management, and selective autopsies/post-mortem analyses.
Facilities Maintenance $320K/yr
[#3, #15, #16] HVAC/filtration consumables and maintenance, energy/utilities and ongoing structural stabilization/repairs of the vault/site.
Biohazard And Waste Management $200K/yr
[#13] Hazardous waste disposal, decontamination and covert environmental remediation.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#9, #21] Fleet maintenance, fuel and transport-related recurring costs (vehicle upkeep and escort logistics).
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#14, #25] PPE replacement/consumables and analytical laboratory consumables.
Training And Psych Screening $65K/yr
[#22] Training for staff, psychological screening of D-class and trauma/ethical training for personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.3M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal operations year with no major incidents; regular EP 37 usage at planned throughput and standard maintenance.
steady-state EP 37 use at 3/day no major breaches routine maintenance and audits
🚨 Minor Incident $9.1M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring targeted cleanup, limited MTF activation and temporary increased autopsy/forensics workload.
small containment breach localized contamination equipment/structural damage during an experiment
🚨 Major Breach $13.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or cascading incidents leading to cross-site mobilization, extended MTF operations, large-scale remediation and expensive cover operations.
large structural failure widespread contamination multi-site emergency response
🚨 Political Exposure $10.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Civilian awareness or media exposure of site activities requiring intensive cover operations, settlements, and possible temporary shutdown/decommissioning actions.
public discovery leaked incident footage local government scrutiny
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#9] 12 full-time on-site guards as specified.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] One site director (salary budgeted at ~$150k/yr).
Research Scientist 6 [#10] Six researchers to run experiments and analyze results.
Technician 4 [#10] Four technicians to operate equipment and maintain monitoring systems.
Medical Officer 3 [#10] Three medical staff for triage, autopsy coordination and biohazard handling.
Linguistics / Analysts 3 [#18] Linguistics and intelligence analysts to parse output and verify facts (budgeted separately).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and recommended budgets; major uncertainties remain around actual D-class consumption rates, anomalous byproduct remediation (potentially order-of-magnitude costs), and how often adverse scenarios occur, so confidence is medium.
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