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SCP-2136 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2136
Expected annual
$11.8M
One-time setup
$21.8M
Annual recurring
$11.6M
Personnel
24
One-time capital and setup costs are approximately $21.76M driven by site acquisition, research/BSL upgrades and facility construction; recurring operations are ~ $11.56M/yr dominated by naval perimeter/logistics, staff wages and research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.8M
Facilities $12.7M
[#1, #4, #14, #20, #30] Site acquisition, on-island hardened containment building, morgue/incinerator installation, environmental/desalination/sewage infrastructure and decommissioning/remediation reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#12, #13] Initial laboratory equipment (EM, confocal, sequencers, cryostats) and biosafety upgrade (BSL-3/limited BSL-4 upgrade options) for neural tissue analysis.
Incident Response Reserve $1.0M
[#22] One-time contingency/reserve tranche to fund emergency scale-up before tapping operational budgets or external funds.
Legal And Cover Story Initial $1.0M
[#23] Initial legal/setup payments, gag-orders, and payments to local governments to secure operational cover.
Equipment $990K
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #18, #24, #27, #29] One-time procurement of mirror panels/cell materials, lighting fixtures, generator/UPS, CCTV hardware, robotics, communications/SATCOM hardware, secure data/biobank freezers, analytics development and initial spare-parts stock. (Vessel/helicopter purchase assumed 0 as charter/lease used.)
Medical Initial Training And Equipment $35K
[#11] One-time training and small capital items for pathology/necropsy staff.
Mirror Bedding Initial Stock $30K
[#16] Initial transparent/translucent bedding and spare mirror panels stock.
Vessel Purchase $0
[#2] Vessel purchase option not exercised in baseline (charter/support model assumed).
Helicopter Purchase $0
[#3] Helicopter purchase option not exercised in baseline (charter model assumed).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.6M/yr
Logistics And Transport $6.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #10, #19, #28] Naval perimeter charter/support costs, air support charters, D-Class procurement/transport, regular resupply runs (boats/shore facilities), land taxes/compensation and refrigerated transport of samples/deceased.
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#11, #17] Salaries for on-site medical/necropsy technicians (~3), security/MTF rotations (~20) and a site director/administrative role.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #24, #27] Recurring research costs including research team operations (salaries/reagents/service contracts), biosafety certification/maintenance, consumables for necropsy and sample storage, and secure data storage operations.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#23, #26] Ongoing legal/PR expenses, settlements/gag-order maintenance and insurance/liability premiums.
Incident Response Consulting $200K/yr
[#22] Periodic outbreak modelling, external emergency-response contracts and consultancy retainer fees.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#4, #20] Building, helipad/dock and environmental systems upkeep and certification.
Spare Parts Maintenance Fund $125K/yr
[#29] Ongoing spare-parts replacement and heavy maintenance amortization for robotics, CCTV, generators and mirror panels.
Communications And Cybersecurity $100K/yr
[#18] Secure SATCOM, encrypted links, and specialized cybersecurity operations to prevent image leaks and enforce no-human-viewer policies.
Psychological Support And Ethics $75K/yr
[#25] Counseling, staff mental-health support and ethics/oversight board operations.
Training And Drills $60K/yr
[#21] Red-team testing, emergency drills and periodic staff training.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#15, #16] PPE, mirror-safe disinfectants, single-use necropsy kits, bedding replacements and routine consumables.
Morgue And Disposal $30K/yr
[#14] Cold storage operations, incinerator/autoclave consumables and hazardous waste disposal contracts.
Backup Power Fuel And Maintenance $25K/yr
[#7] Generator fuel and maintenance, UPS servicing.
Lighting Power And Maintenance $20K/yr
[#6] Continuous high-intensity lighting power consumption and maintenance.
Cctv Maintenance $20K/yr
[#8] CCTV maintenance, secure archive handling and periodic hardware refreshes.
Robotics Maintenance $10K/yr
[#9] Maintenance/service contracts for automated feeding/door interlock robotics.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.6M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with steady-state containment using chartered naval/air support and no major incidents.
normal_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $12.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, short-term power loss, or small contamination event requiring emergency repairs and temporary surge staffing.
equipment_failure short-term_power_outage small_contamination_event
🚨 Major Breach $16.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Partial containment breach or infection of staff requiring large-scale response: additional ships/helicopters, quarantine, legal triage and accelerated replacements of D-Class subjects.
containment_breach staff_infection failed_robotics_or_power
🚨 Political Exposure $21.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Public/political exposure of the site or host-nation conflict requiring large settlements, covert operations, and extended legal/cover-up operations.
public_exposure host_nation_dispute major_media_leak
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#17] Outer-door and perimeter guards plus rotational MTF detail; count reflects rotation required to maintain 24/7 coverage on a remote site.
Medical Officer / Technician 3 [#11] Pathology/necropsy and routine medical monitoring techs on rotation (2–4 recommended).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#11, #17] On-site director/administrative lead; salary included in staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, but large uncertainties remain around decisions that dramatically change cost (vessel/helicopter purchase vs charter, required biosafety level, host-nation legal costs and political complexity). Order-of-magnitude estimates used within ranges.
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