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SCP-2146 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2146
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$253.9M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
15
One-time capital/setup costs are dominated by establishing a resilient radio monitoring network, IT/hardened storage, and contingency planning (~$254M including a low-probability retrieval mission). Recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, covert infiltration/cover operations, legal/PR, and monitoring subscriptions (~$2.64M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $253.9M
Contingency Retrieval Mission Estimate $250.0M
[#8] Full retrieval mission (contingent, single-event one-time planning estimate)
Contingency Fund For Escalation $1.5M
[#22] Liquid reserved funds for unexpected escalation (one-time reserve)
Equipment $680K
[#1, #4] Antennas/dishes/SDR gear and hardened servers/initial IT hardware (one-time)
Insurance Reserve Fund $500K
[#19] Initial reserve fund to cover legal claims/indemnities (one-time)
Facilities $300K
[#1] Site preparation and antenna mounts for 3–4 ground stations (one-time)
Feasibility Study $300K
[#8] Contingency recovery/mitigation feasibility study (one-time)
Contingency Prepositioning $200K
[#18] Emergency re-entry / biohazard planning and prepositioning (one-time)
Orbit Modeling Initial $95K
[#7] High-fidelity orbital modelling & contingency analysis (one-time)
Mtf Infiltration Setup $80K
[#9] Initial identity creation, document forging, safehouses and operative setup (one-time)
Replacement Stockpile Initial $50K
[#24] Initial spares and consumable stockpile for monitoring gear (one-time)
Secure Comms Setup $40K
[#15] Tamper-proof communications hardware and initial OPSEC tools (one-time)
Cover Story Launch Campaign $35K
[#11] One-off launch campaign to seed the 'avant-garde pirate radio' cover (one-time)
Legal Retainer One Time $35K
[#13] One-off legal retainers/initial casework prep (one-time)
Ssa Initial Setup $30K
[#5] Initial contract/setup fees for commercial SSA/tracking providers (one-time)
Media Seeding Initial $20K
[#20] Initial media/academic seeding campaign (one-time)
Front Company Setup $15K
[#12] Initial incorporation and setup of front companies (one-time)
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #21, #14] Technicians, radio/space analysts, covert MTF operatives payroll and program management (recurring)
Cover Story And Legal $482K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14, #19, #20, #23, #25] Discrediting/counter-PR ops, front company upkeep, legal/FOIA team retainer, social monitoring tools, media/art movement support, PR/legal crisis retainer, and insurance premiums (recurring)
Research And Monitoring $220K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #17] SSA subscriptions/tracking services, telescope time, ongoing orbit-model updates, remote laboratory/consultant contracts (recurring)
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#2, #4, #15, #24] Site/tower leases, generator fuel, routine calibration/repairs; hosting/SOC maintenance and comms gear upkeep (recurring)
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#16] Travel and field response budget for analysts/MTF and in-person amnestic administration/responders (recurring)
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#10, #24] Amnestic stock & secure storage consumables; replenishment of spares (recurring)
Pr Retainer And Crisis Response $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
87.4% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: steady monitoring, covert operations, legal/cover maintenance and routine research.
monthly broadcasts monitored no public exposure no orbital emergency
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized exposure or a handful of civilian detections requiring extra travel, amnestics, and targeted PR/legal work.
small leak or viral hobbyist post several in-person responses required
🚨 Major Breach $4.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or regulatory investigation requiring mass response, enhanced legal defense, and large PR campaign.
widely publicized leak regulatory/legal action coordinated amateur salvage attempts
🚨 Catastrophic Reentry $12.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Uncontrolled orbital decay/re-entry requiring large-scale hazmat response, public safety operations, and cleanup.
orbital decay / re-entry predicted impact footprint on populated area
🚨 Retrieval Mission $252.6M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Authorization and execution of an orbital retrieval/close rendezvous mission to recover SCP-2146.
policy decision to recover object transmissions turn dangerous or recovery becomes feasible
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#9] MTF-Mu-19 covert operatives embedded in astronomical societies (operatives on payroll/benefits)
Research Scientist 3 [#3] Radio/space analysts handling archive, transcription, and signal analysis
Technician / Field Technician 3 [#2] Radio network technicians for calibration, repairs, and station maintenance
Site Director / Program Manager 2 [#21] Program manager and compliance officer overseeing operations and audits
Administrative Staff 1 [#14] Public complaints monitoring / administrative support (0.5–1 FTE rounded to 1)
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a reasoned mid-point budgeting approach; large uncertainties remain for low-probability events (retrieval, re-entry) and vendor/pricing variability, so confidence is medium.
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