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SCP-2165 None ? low confidence
SCP-2165
Expected annual
$7.1M
One-time setup
$42.6M
Annual recurring
$6.9M
Personnel
6
Initial one-time capital to create hardened, air-gapped archival vaults, robotics and memetic R&D is the dominant upfront cost (~$42.6M). Ongoing yearly operations (staff, monitoring, takedowns, maintenance) are the main recurring drivers (~$6.925M/yr), with potential high-cost scenarios (global suppression / emergency research) causing large spikes.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $42.6M
Facilities $17.0M
[#1, #15] Vault construction (hardened, air-gapped, underground) plus geographically separated cold-site duplication.
Equipment $9.5M
[#2, #3, #10, #12, #14, #18] One-time production of immutable media, robotic/automated handling systems, contingency/mobile unit outfitting, initial global-monitoring tooling, secure comms hardware, and initial cybersecurity/hardening.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.0M
[#4] Memetic firewall and infohazard engineering research program and testing infrastructure.
Contingent Research Program $5.0M
[#24] Potential contingent high-security research program if policy changes (lower-bound estimate for contingency planning).
Covert Fund Seed $1.0M
[#22] One-time seed for off-book contingency / bribe / compensation pool.
Legal Cover Setup $500K
[#13] One-time creation of front companies, legal apparatus and PR infrastructure.
Amnestics Stockpile One Time $200K
[#11] Initial secure stockpile of amnestics, pharmaceuticals and PPE.
Training Development $150K
[#19] Creation of non-acknowledgement training modules and simulation curricula.
Vetting Setup $125K
[#7] One-time setup costs for deep personnel vetting infrastructure and program initiation.
Internal Oversight Setup $50K
[#20] One-time setup for internal audit/compliance office and whistleblower management mechanisms.
Spares Cache $50K
[#23] One-time spares cache for robotic/equipment failures.
Existential Risk Reserve $0
[#25] Not quantifiable; acknowledged existential/tail risks cannot be meaningfully priced.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.2M/yr
[#2, #5, #12, #18, #19, #20] Storage verification, memetic firewall operations & monitoring, global information monitoring analytics, cybersecurity lifecycle costs, training refreshers and internal audit oversight.
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#3, #9, #15, #17] Ongoing maintenance/support for robotic systems, site security staffing and perimeter, synchronization tests for cold-sites, and utilities/energy/backups.
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#6] Salaries and benefits for minimal, highly vetted operational staff (site manager, senior memeticist, sysadmin, security, psychologist).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal, PR, takedown operations and front-company operation costs.
Logistics And Transport $550K/yr
[#10, #16] Contingency rapid-response team readiness/training and annual transport/secure-move standby costs.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $500K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment for covert contingency / compensation pool.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#11, #23] Replenishment of amnestics, PPE, disposables, and consumable spare parts.
Personnel Vetting And Retention $200K/yr
[#7] Recurring background investigations, polygraphs, retention bonuses and related personnel-security programs.
Psychological Support Program $100K/yr
[#8] Counseling, human reliability program and rotation-related support.
Comms Maintenance $65K/yr
[#14] Maintenance for hardened communications and deadman/emergency trigger systems.
Censorship Macro $0/yr
[#21] Macro-level global narrative maintenance; intentionally excluded from baseline (optional, potentially very large).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.9M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring and no major incidents.
no accidental acknowledgement routine maintenance and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $7.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized accidental acknowledgement or small leak requiring rapid remediation and targeted takedowns.
accidental human acknowledgement localized public mention requiring takedown and amnestic deployment
🚨 Global Suppression $18.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Significant exposure or political event forcing large-scale censorship, global narrative campaigns and emergency research/remediation.
major public exposure media/political attention policy reversal requiring active global suppression
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Oversees site operations and high-level decision-making; high salary/clearance.
Senior Memeticist (Research Scientist) 1 [#6] Supervises memetic firewall design and testing; required for monitoring and protocol updates.
Systems Engineer / Sysadmin 1 [#6] Maintains robotic handling, air-gapped systems and archival integrity.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#6, #9] Physical security and rapid response for perimeter incidents; highly vetted.
Psychologist / Human Reliability Officer 1 [#6, #8] Human reliability monitoring, counseling and rotation management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes and the source SCP are intentionally vague and memetic/ontological; cost ranges are wide and many items (notably global censorship and contingent research) are highly dependent on policy choices. Estimates are best-effort mid-range selections from analyst ranges; tail risks remain unquantifiable.
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