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SCP-2183 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2183
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$4.2M
Annual recurring
$4.0M
Personnel
28
One-time capital costs are substantial due to land/legal work, decommissioning contingency, drones and sensor suites (~$4.2M). Annual recurring costs are dominated by staff wages, insurance/contingency and ongoing containment operations (~$4.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.2M
Facilities $2.5M
[#1, #2, #28] Site control/land compensation, perimeter structural installation (fencing, booths, gates) and large decommissioning/hard-sealing contingency (demolition, heavy construction).
Equipment $1.3M
[#3, #4, #5, #12, #15, #16, #18, #19, #24] CCTV/tower and fixed surveillance (#3), drone fleet purchase (#4), drone command/control systems and software (#5), high-speed imaging/LiDAR/radar sensor suite (#12), broadcast interception hardware (#15), amnestic stockpile secure storage setup (#16), on-site clinic equipment (#18), emergency/response vehicle purchases (#19), one-time PPE purchase (#24).
Intelligence Legal Initial $275K
[#26] One-time covert/legal/intelligence mitigation payments, hush agreements, or initial discrete fees to mitigate political/legal exposure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#27] One-time research software/development and model buildout for passive mapping and trajectory modeling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #14, #18] UAV technicians and drone maintenance staffing (#7), perimeter security guards (#8), containment specialists/drone operators (#9), on-site engineering & inspection staff (#10), IT & signals analysts (#14), medical staffing/medic wages (#18).
Insurance Contingency Reserve $1.1M/yr
[#22] Annual-funded contingency reserve for settlements, large amnestic operations, emergency engineering, or other anomalous liabilities (insurable or self-funded reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $255K/yr
[#20, #26] Ongoing PR/legal contracts to maintain cover story, manage permits/FOIA, and recurring covert legal/intelligence mitigation payments.
Research And Monitoring $158K/yr
[#13, #27] Data storage & secure logging systems (#13) and ongoing research/modeling analyst time/software subscriptions for passive modeling (#27).
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#11] Track structural remediation and routine maintenance, painting, fastener replacement, alignment checks, climbing/rigging, occasional heavy repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $113K/yr
[#6, #17, #24, #29] Drone spare parts and consumables (#6), amnestic doses & per-administration costs estimate pool (#17), recurring PPE replacement/inspection (#24), miscellaneous consumables and operations (fuel, small tools, signage) (#29).
Witness Management Fund $112K/yr
[#21] Annual pool for witness payments, housing, travel, counseling, NDAs, and aftercare.
Annual Oversight And Audit $60K/yr
[#30] Internal audits, O5-level reporting, red-team reviews, travel and oversight costs.
Staff Training $30K/yr
[#25] Ongoing drone, emergency medicine, amnestic administration, and cover-story training/certifications.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#19] Helicopter stand-by/occasional use retainers and rapid-deploy transport costs.
Utilities Power $18K/yr
[#23] Power for surveillance towers, servers, drone charging and generator fuel/maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major public incidents; routine containment, maintenance, and administrative actions.
no_unexpected_cart_deviation no_large_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $4.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized public sighting or brief cart deviation requiring additional amnestics, short-notice helicopter deployments, PR/legal surge and overtime.
sporadic_public_sightings temporary_media_attention small-scale_witness_retrievals
🚨 Major Breach $6.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Prolonged runaway or cart entering populated area requiring large-scale emergency response, mass amnestization, significant engineering repairs and potential legal settlements.
prolonged_runaway_into_town mass_witness_exposure infrastructure_damage_or_casualties
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] 12 perimeter guards to provide 24/7 coverage (3 shifts) as specified in notes.
UAV Technician 2 [#7] 1–3 technicians indicated; budgeted for 2 on-site technicians for maintenance and repairs.
Containment Specialist / Drone Operator 7 [#9] 6–9 specialists recommended; budget and headcount set at 7 operators to coordinate drone formations and responses.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#10] 2–4 FTEs suggested for structural inspection and ride mechanics; budgeted as 3 FTEs.
Research Scientist / IT Analyst 3 [#14, #27] IT/signals analysts and modelers (2–4 indicated); budgeted as 3 analysts handling sensor data and modeling.
Medical Officer 1 [#18] 1–2 medics indicated for on-site clinic staffing; budgeted as 1 medic (with on-call support as needed).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing reasonable mid-point estimates, but many items are situational (witness counts, legal risk, insurance availability) so uncertainty remains.
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