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SCP-2198 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2198
Expected annual
$74.9M
One-time setup
$645.7M
Annual recurring
$67.4M
Personnel
75
One-time setup costs are dominated by Antarctic outpost construction and large contingency/insurance reserves (initial estimate ~$646M), while recurring annual operations, monitoring, security, and legal/cover budgets drive recurring costs (~$67.4M/year). Optional dedicated satellite development and large diplomatic/settlement events are the largest single additional cost drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $645.7M
Dedicated Satellite Development $300.0M
[#8] Optional/dedicated polar-orbit satellite development, launch, and ground-station setup (included as an optional one-time capital expenditure).
Facilities $125.0M
[#1, #10] Construction and retrofit: three Antarctic outposts (foundations, insulated modules, labs, helipads) and Site-109 BSL/vat retrofits.
Insurance Liability Reserve $105.0M
[#28] One-time liability/insurance reserve to cover large settlements or disaster payouts if required.
Contingency Reserve Fund $55.0M
[#24] Initial rapid-response reserve fund to cover unexpected mass-manifestation events, redeployments, and large emergency costs.
Heavy Lift Logistics Setup $37.5M
[#2] One-time logistics establishment: charter contracts, port/offload setup, aircraft staging and heavy-lift coordination to establish Antarctic supply lines.
Equipment $16.8M
[#5, #6, #7, #9] Field and operational equipment: polar emergency gear, terrestrial monitoring hardware, initial aerial platform purchases/leases, secure communications terminals.
Geoengineering Initial Tests $3.0M
[#27] Small-scale geoengineering/mitigation experiments (optional).
International Remediation Fund $2.0M
[#29] One-time baseline fund for cross-border remediation/negotiations (supplemented by recurring budgets if needed).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.4M
[#11, #13, #15, #25] Laboratory buildout and scientific instruments: cryogenic/cold storage, sampling kits and collectors, specialized lab equipment, and initial secure data/storage systems.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $67.4M/yr
Staff Wages $15.0M/yr
[#3, #7, #14, #16, #21, #30] Salaries and hazard/retention differentials for security, research staff, pilots/aircrew, field task forces, and support personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $14.8M/yr
[#18, #19, #20, #26, #28, #29] Legal/diplomatic cover budgets, public relations and information control, ethics/compliance oversight, amnestic program overhead, insurance premiums, and ongoing remediation/legal coordination with signatory countries.
Facilities Maintenance $14.0M/yr
[#3, #4, #9] Non-wage outpost operating costs: consumables, repair parts, communications ops, generator/fuel logistics maintenance and routine infrastructure upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $9.2M/yr
[#5, #16, #23] Medevac and emergency contracts, standing rapid-response taskforce budget, and transportation/charter contracts (helicopter/icebreaker day-rates contingency).
Research And Monitoring $6.9M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #14, #15, #25] Ongoing monitoring and science: sensor maintenance, aerial flight-hours, leased satellite data (baseline), secure comms ops, DNA/genetics program, specialized atmospheric research, and data storage operations.
Contingency Replenishment Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment target for the rapid-response reserve to maintain readiness after draws against the fund.
Training And Recruitment $1.2M/yr
[#30] Recruitment, training, retention bonuses, and specialized hiring pools for polar operations, molecular forensics, and atmospheric science.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #17, #22] Consumables and recurring disposals: LN2/electricity for cold storage, biohazard waste handling, field sampling consumables, decontamination reserve, and psych/medical support contracts.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $67.4M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled monitoring, maintenance, and routine minor responses; no major incidents or capital investments.
scheduled operations routine field campaigns no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $68.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
One or a few localized industrial instances requiring rapid-response teams, decontamination, amnestic administration, and modest diplomatic/PR work.
single-factory contamination local decontamination and amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $92.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Widespread multi-site secondary manifestations or an incident requiring large diplomatic settlements, extended deployments, and major remediation.
multiple factories affected international diplomatic settlements
🚨 Dedicated Satellite Development $367.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Decision to develop and launch a dedicated polar-orbit satellite and ground infrastructure for continuous coverage (capital expenditure year).
policy decision to own dedicated asset loss of confidence in leased data
👥 Personnel 75 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 Armed perimeter and access control for outposts and Site-109; rotation schedules included in staff wages. [#21]
Research Scientist 10 Atmospheric scientists and ozone/cloud specialists supporting monitoring and modeling. [#15, #6]
Lab Technician / Molecular Biologist 8 Sample processing, DNA extraction and sample handling at Site-109. [#11, #13, #14]
Bioinformatician 4 Genetic analysis and database cross-referencing for degraded samples. [#14, #25]
Engineer / Maintenance 6 Outpost and power systems maintenance, generator and HVAC specialists. [#3, #4]
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 Site leadership, liaison with HQ and diplomatic/legal teams. [#19, #26]
Medical Officer 2 Occupational health, amnestic administration oversight, medevac coordination. [#5, #18]
Pilots / Aircrew 4 Manned aircraft operations for cloud sampling, resupply and medevac. [#7, #23]
Administrative Staff 6 Logistics coordination, record-keeping, FOIA/PR support. [#20, #25]
Field Task Force / Rapid Response 10 Rapid-response teams for industrial incidents and decontamination operations. [#16, #17]
Data / IT Staff 3 Secure communications, encrypted storage, telemetry and database operations. [#9, #25]
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are assembled from analyst-provided ranges and midpoint assumptions; physical infrastructure and recurring operational items are well scoped, but optional/high-variance items (dedicated satellite, large settlements, geoengineering) introduce substantial uncertainty.
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