SCP-2204 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2204
Expected annual
$23.0M
One-time setup
$59.0M
Annual recurring
$22.2M
Personnel
86
One-time capital costs for secure on-site facilities, housing, and contingency reserves dominate ( ~$59M one-time), while recurring personnel, hazard pay, and on-site services are the main annual drivers (~$22.25M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $59.0M
Facilities $15.0M
[#1] Secure on-site containment/research compound buildout (hardened facility estimate).
Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#24] General contingency / emergency response reserve (scalable one-time escrow).
Housing $8.0M
[#2] Staff housing / residential buy-up or dormitory construction for permanent in-town team presence.
Equipment $5.2M
[#5, #12, #15, #16, #18, #20, #26, #28] Armory/equipment, secure computing baseline, generators, vehicles, communications, morgue/incinerator, monitoring tech, decon equipment (initial hardware/install).
Militarized Containment Reserve $5.0M
[#30] Rapid militarized containment / deployment reserve (one-time contingency tranche).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.1M
[#13, #14] Specialized laboratory buildout, antimemetic research hardware and initial R&D stockpile/starting materials.
Community Buyouts Initial $3.0M
[#8] Partial community compensation / initial buyout program (one-time partial buyout funds).
Sign On And Retention Bonuses $2.0M
[#4] One-off sign-on and retention bonuses / relocation incentives.
Perimeter And Checkpoints $2.0M
[#6] Gates, hardened checkpoints, vehicle barriers and physical perimeter installations (one-time).
Legal And Cover Setup $1.5M
[#7, #21] Initial legal setup, MOUs, and contingency legal fund (one-time portion).
Medical Trauma Reserve $1.0M
[#9] Trauma/evacuation contingency reserve (one-time).
Training Initial $1.0M
[#11] Initial antimemetic/cognitohazard specialized training and selection costs (one-time cohort training/selection).
Medical Clinic Fitout $500K
[#9] On-site medical clinic / emergency care fit-out (one-time).
Hazardous Waste System $500K
[#17] On-site hazardous waste processing / incineration installation (one-time).
Long Term Fuel Reserve $300K
[#15] Long-term fuel stockpile reserve (one-time).
Archival Initial $200K
[#19] Initial redundant local archival infrastructure (paper/optical/media) buildout.
Public Relations Campaign $200K
[#22] Initial PR/cover-story campaign (one-time setup).
Relocation Installation For Consultants $200K
[#25] One-off relocation/installation costs for on-site consultants mandated by info constraints.
Special Oversight Mission $200K
[#29] One-off special oversight mission deployment cost (per deployment).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.2M/yr
Staff Wages $9.0M/yr
[#3, #5, #9] Core recurring payroll for researchers, core support staff, security, medical and technical personnel (base salaries, exclusive of separate hazard premiums).
Hazard Pay And Retention $4.0M/yr
[#4] Hazard pay premiums, retention bonuses and confinement incentives (recurring payroll premium estimate).
Contingency Fund Annual Topup $2.0M/yr
[#24, #30] Annual top-up for contingency/emergency reserves and rapid-response readiness.
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#13, #19, #25, #26] Ongoing antimemetic research costs (consumables), archival maintenance, on-site consultancy contracts, monitoring equipment R&D/maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#6, #12, #15, #17, #20, #18] Recurring maintenance for perimeter/checkpoints, IT/telecom upkeep, backup power/fuel systems maintenance, utilities and hazardous-waste system operations, morgue operations.
Medical Staffing And Consumables $1.0M/yr
[#9] Recurring medical clinic staffing, consumables, psychiatry and emergency medical readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#7, #21, #22] Ongoing legal fees, MOUs, insurance/indemnity, PR, and cover maintenance.
Psychological Care $500K/yr
[#10] Continuous cognitohazard monitoring, long-term mental health care, counseling and rehab programs.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#14, #28] Ongoing R&D consumables, PPE replenishment, decontamination consumables and disposables.
Security Training $300K/yr
[#5] Ongoing security training, QRT drills, and certifications.
Community Subsidies $300K/yr
[#8] Ongoing resident subsidies, small compensation programs, and local cooperation payments.
Training Refreshers $300K/yr
[#11] Annual antimemetic refresher courses, simulations and contractor-led training.
Recreation And Family Services $300K/yr
[#27] Recreation, schooling support, family services and morale programs for in-town personnel and dependents.
Recruitment And Vetting $300K/yr
[#23] Annual recruitment budget, background vetting and suitability testing.
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#16, #18] Fleet maintenance, fuel, couriers and local secure transport logistics.
Audits And Oversight $200K/yr
[#29] Annual internal audits, oversight missions and compliance review activities.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.2M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.
steady_state_operations no_breach routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $24.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring medical response, short-term containment reinforcement and legal/PR activity.
localized_memetic_exposure small_breach_or_leak medical_treatment_and_legal_response
🚨 Major Breach $42.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring large-scale mobilization, major community interventions, and activation of contingency reserves.
multi-site_memetic_spread extended_security_mobilization major_evacuations_or_buyouts
🚨 Political Exposure $52.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Public/political exposure forces expensive legal settlements, full-scale buyout or prolonged containment posture.
media_exposure legal_challenges forced_buyout_or_quarantine
👥 Personnel 86 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Antimemetics Specialist 20 [#3, #13] Core antimemetics researchers and specialized scientists (on-site required).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#5, #6] 24/7 armed security and quick reaction teams staffed from town.
Medical Officer / Clinician 5 [#9] On-call doctors, medics and psychiatric clinicians for on-site care and cognitohazard monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#15, #17, #16] Facility, power, waste and vehicle maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 6 [#7, #22] Administrative, legal liaison and municipal relations support.
Technical Staff / IT & Archivists 6 [#12, #19] Secure computing, archival management and local-only backups staff.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#3] Senior management and site leadership (executive oversight).
Research Assistants / Lab Technicians 7 [#13, #14] Lab techs supporting experiments, sample handling and safe destruction workflows.
Support / Community & Family Services 4 [#8, #27] Community liaison, family services, and morale support staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and sensitive to policy choices (partial buyout vs discreet footprint), local real estate values, and unknown technical containment requirements; memetic constraints create additional uncertainty.
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