SCP-2207 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2207
Expected annual
$925K
One-time setup
$767K
Annual recurring
$879K
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time startup capital is approximately $767,100, with annual recurring operations around $879,400/year. Main cost drivers are personnel wages, emergency/incident readiness, remote robotics and actuation equipment, and research instrumentation/analysis.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $767K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $235K
[#6, #9, #21] High-speed imaging and sensor purchase, material-analysis instrumentation (FTIR/mass-spec-level instruments if purchased), and initial research program/setup for resumed experimental campaigns.
Facilities $180K
[#3, #22] Dedicated containment laboratory build-out (Lab 8803) plus end-of-program decommissioning/archival costs.
Cover Up Contingency $175K
[#13] One-time contingency reserve for large incident, cover-story, legal/containment-PR expenditures if required.
Equipment $152K
[#1, #4, #5, #7, #8, #14, #15] Secure safe-class locker and installation, remote actuation/high-speed rig, robotic handling systems, initial antechamber/threshold hardware, decontamination equipment (equipment portion), secure data/server hardware, and physical security/access-control hardware (initial purchases).
Training And Sop Development $25K
[#12] One-time costs to develop SOPs, run initial tabletop/live simulations, and produce training materials.
Initial Packaging $100
[#2] Initial cardboard box/foam cradle and labeling purchase (spares) for containment packaging.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $879K/yr
Staff Wages $695K/yr
[#10] Annual salaries and benefits for containment lead, research technicians, mechanical/robotics engineer, security staff (shift coverage), and containment technician (aggregate estimate provided by analyst).
On Call Emergency Fund $50K/yr
[#11] Annual allocation for rapid-response funds and on-call specialist services (crane, locksmith, hazmat, emergency robotics, structural repair).
Facilities Maintenance $35K/yr
[#15, #16] Annual maintenance for physical security systems, access control, and incremental utilities / HVAC/electrical loads for the dedicated lab.
Research And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#6, #9, #14, #21, #23] Ongoing instrument maintenance & data storage, contracted lab analyses (outsourced spectroscopy/mass-spec), secure logging/archival recurring costs, and periodic monitoring/audit/compliance. (Active research budget set separately/optional.)
Supplies And Consumables $24K/yr
[#2, #7, #8, #17, #18, #24] Annual replacements for packaging, sacrificial threshold/sacrificial plates, decontamination consumables and PPE, test consumables (plates, connectors, replacement knives), waste disposal, and miscellaneous small recurring capital/spare parts.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#13] Annual legal retainer, insurance/retainer for liability and interagency coordination; separate one-time cover-up contingency accounted for in one-time costs.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#19] Secure transfer and transport costs (vehicle, secure container, chain-of-custody personnel) allocation for routine moves between storage and lab.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#12] Recurring refresher training, drills, and tabletop/live exercises.
Psychological Medical Surveillance $5K/yr
[#20] Annual psychological screening and medical surveillance for staff exposed to reality-altering phenomena.
Active Research Budget $0/yr
[#21] Ongoing research campaign budget if testing resumes; set to $0 in baseline (testing suspended) but documented as optional recurring expense if research restarts.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $879K/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with containment maintained, testing suspended (minimal active research).
no incidents testing suspended routine maintenance and staffing
🚨 Minor Incident $979K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment incident requiring emergency response, limited repairs, and extra contracted analyses.
small breach or equipment failure minor contamination or severed consumables
🚨 Major Breach $1.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, legal/PR/cover-up actions, and major repairs/replacements.
major breach public exposure / legal action extensive equipment replacement
🚨 Research Resumption $1.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Experimental program reactivates full-time testing and exploration campaigns, increasing consumables, contracted analysis, and temporary staffing.
testing resumes active experimentation and expanded instrumentation use
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Lead / Senior Researcher 1 [#10] Senior researcher/physicist responsible for containment oversight and experiment approval.
Research Technician 2 [#10] Technicians to run tests, prepare samples, and operate monitoring equipment.
Mechanical / Robotics Engineer 1 [#10] Responsible for actuation rig, robotic handling systems, and equipment maintenance.
Containment Technician 1 [#10] Day-to-day containment maintenance, decontamination, and consumables handling.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#10] Armed/security staff to cover shift rotations and site security; count reflects 24/7 coverage assumptions.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided line-item ranges and detailed operational notes enable a bounded estimate; uncertainty remains in whether testing resumes, the scale/frequency of incidents, and the decision to purchase vs outsource instrumentation, so confidence is medium.
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