SCP-2209 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2209
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$905K
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
11
Estimated one-time capital and setup costs are approximately $905,000, with recurring annual operating costs of roughly $1,535,000. The main recurring drivers are staff wages (security, researchers, medical) and ongoing R&D/subject-care programs; major one-time drivers are room retrofitting, equipment, spare inventory, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $905K
Equipment $275K
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #12, #14, #15] Dedicated electrical feed/transformer, UPS/ATS hardware, Faraday/EMI shielding, secure servers and racks, medical monitoring gear, initial spare suits/parts, cleaning/decon hardware, and fabrication of spare cabling clusters.
Facilities $270K
[#1, #4, #17, #19] Room construction/retrofit for 3.8 m sphere, HVAC hookup structural work, emergency-extraction structural installs and initial transportation/rigging costs for recovery/moves.
Insurance Reserve Initial $200K
[#21] Initial internal risk reserve/captive insurance fund set-aside as a one-time reserve to cover early liability or uninsured losses.
Contingency Reserve $150K
[#25] One-time contingency/emergency procurement reserve for unknown/novel failure modes (node failures, EM events, structural failures).
Documentation And Archival Initial $10K
[#23] Digitization and secure archival hardware for recovered documentation and recovered-doc analysis initial costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $760K/yr
[#8, #9, #10] On-site medical staffing (med tech + physician oversight), security staffing (multi-shift guards), and operator/research personnel (Level-3 researchers + engineer/technician).
Research And Monitoring $583K/yr
[#6, #11, #16, #18, #22, #23] Secure storage/IT maintenance, psychological screening/post-test follow-up programs, specialist reverse-engineering R&D team costs, training/certification programs, long-term subject care fund allocations, and recurring documentation/archival maintenance.
Insurance And Risk Reserve $100K/yr
[#21] Annual contribution to captive insurance / risk reserve for liabilities and accidents when commercial insurance is unavailable or inadequate.
Supplies And Consumables $54K/yr
[#7, #13, #15, #24, #14] Calibration/medical consumables, suit consumables and repairs, small connector/cabling repairs, per-test disposables and incremental HVAC/power usage, and cleaning consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#20] Regulatory, legal compliance, IRB/ethics administration and cover-story maintenance costs.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#3, #4, #14] Recurring generator fuel/testing, HVAC filters/energy costs, and equipment maintenance related to cleaning/decontamination systems.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled testing, routine maintenance, and ongoing R&D at steady-state levels; no major incidents.
scheduled tests routine maintenance ongoing R&D
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Non-catastrophic suit failure or equipment fault causing subject injury requiring short-term medical care, modest repairs, cleanup and investigation.
suit malfunction minor electrical fault localized contamination
🚨 Major Medical Incident $2.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Severe subject injury or hospitalization, extended long-term care obligations, legal/compensation expenses, and major equipment replacement.
severe neural/physical injury EM burst or node explosion subject fatality or long-term incapacity
🚨 Research Scale Up $2.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Accelerated research year with hiring of additional specialists, major equipment purchases, and increased test cadence.
positive research findings authorized intensive reverse-engineering grant or program decision to scale
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Provides 24/7 coverage for Secure Storage Unit B-89, multiple shifts and relief staff. [#9]
Research Scientist 2 Level-3/2209 researchers required for authorization and execution of tests and analysis. [#10]
Engineer / Maintenance 1 Engineer/AV specialist for systems operation, cabling, UPS/HVAC and equipment maintenance. [#10, #15]
Medical Officer / Medical Technician 2 One full-time EMT/med-tech and physician oversight (fractional) for testing and follow-up. [#8]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling reasonable estimates, but significant uncertainty remains due to anomalous technical unknowns (unknown alloy, unpredictable neural effects), variability in incident frequency/severity, and discretionary choices about reserve sizes and research intensity.
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