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SCP-221 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-221
Expected annual
$682K
One-time setup
$350K
Annual recurring
$648K
Personnel
6
Initial setup is modest (~$350k one-time) dominated by contingency reserves and specialized vehicle purchase; recurring annual costs are moderate (~$648k/year) driven primarily by security staffing, contracted medical support, and ongoing monitoring/response costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $350K
Crisis Response Reserve $200K
[#30] One-time funded reserve for worst-case containment breach/major public-exposure cleanup and legal operations (mid-range contingency).
Transport Vehicle $40K
[#12] Option to acquire a secure/armored transport vehicle for rapid response and object movement; mid-range vehicle cost.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $35K
[#17, #26] Initial protocol development and analytical instrumentation/time for chemical/isotopic/microscopy analyses and initial lab setup for small-scale research.
Recovery Contingency Fund $25K
[#22] Initial seed fund for emergency recovery operations and loss/theft mitigation.
Equipment $12K
[#1, #3, #4] Fabrication of containment box, physical access control hardware (card/biometric/keyed backup), CCTV and tamper sensors (hardware + installation).
It Security Initial $10K
[#20] Initial secure server/encryption key setup, cybersecurity hardening for containment records and video.
Security Training Initial $6K
[#7] Initial security training and background check/upfront vetting costs for authorized handlers.
Facilities $5K
[#2] Minor retrofit/re-allocation of existing secure room; new-build costs possible but modeled separately in scenarios.
Restraint Initial $5K
[#11] Initial procurement of sedation/restraint equipment, training for use, and secure-controlled-substances licensing startup.
Researcher Training Initial $5K
[#25] Initial specialized training course development and per-attendee costs for researchers handling compulsive artifacts.
Evidence System $4K
[#19] One-time setup of chain-of-custody digital systems, logging infrastructure, and document control.
Vetting Initial $2K
[#24] Initial background checks/clearance fees for the small authorized team.
Ppe Initial $2K
[#10] Initial personal protective equipment kit (disposable and durable PPE, sterile trays, handling tools).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $648K/yr
Staff Wages $420K/yr
[#6, #8, #19] Salaries for security guards (4 FTEs), one assigned research scientist, and one administrative/records clerk (including benefits/overtime estimates).
Medical Contracts $60K/yr
[#9] Retainer and on-call contracts for emergency medical staff, anesthetists, and psychiatric evaluators (preferred over full in-house FTEs in baseline).
Medical Treatment Per Incident $50K/yr
[#13] Budgeted annual expected cost for surgical/ICU care from testing/incidents (modeled as average per-year expense).
Research And Monitoring $21K/yr
[#5, #17, #26, #14] CCTV storage/monitoring retention, ongoing protocol oversight, recurring analytical follow-ups, and routine data review.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#12, #27] Operating costs for secure transport readiness, outsourced per-use armored courier costs averaged annually, and annual drill transport costs.
Opportunity Cost $12K/yr
[#29] Internal chargeback representing allocation of scarce secure facility space.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#23] Baseline annual legal/liaison/cover-story expenses and occasional liaison with local authorities averaged over time.
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#10, #11, #15, #16, #21] PPE replenishment, consumable restraints and sedatives replenishment, small-scale biohazard disposables and sharps handling supplies.
Incident Response Drills $6K/yr
[#27] Annual full-scale drills and tabletop contingency planning exercises.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#2, #4] HVAC/isolation maintenance, door/room upkeep, sensor/camera servicing infrastructure.
Autopsy Per Incident $5K/yr
[#14] Annual expected autopsy/forensic costs averaged (per-incident budget averaged across years).
Recovery Reserve $5K/yr
[#22] Annual top-up to recovery/response contingency fund.
Psychological Monitoring $5K/yr
[#18] Counseling and post-exposure psychological monitoring for staff (EAP, periodic evaluations).
It Security Maintenance $4K/yr
[#20] Ongoing cybersecurity monitoring, backups, and encryption key rotation.
Security Training Recurring $3K/yr
[#7] Annual refresher training for guards and authorized personnel.
Restraint Replenishment $2K/yr
[#11] Annual replenishment and licensing costs for controlled sedatives and restraints.
Disposal Contracts $2K/yr
[#15] Regulated medical waste removal contracts and permits.
Decontamination Budget $2K/yr
[#16] Annual cleaning/decon supplies and occasional deep-clean events averaged.
Evidence Maintenance $2K/yr
[#19] Ongoing maintenance of chain-of-custody systems, clerical time, and auditing.
Researcher Training Recurring $2K/yr
[#25] Ongoing refresher courses and per-attendee recurring training costs.
Biobank Storage $2K/yr
[#14] Long-term sample storage and biobank fees.
Archive Storage $2K/yr
[#28] Secure archival storage for human subject records, video, and chain-of-custody archives.
Ppe Replenishment $1K/yr
[#10] Annual replenishment of single-use PPE and sterile supplies.
Vetting Recurring $800/yr
[#24] Annual reclearance costs per authorized team (pro-rated across small team).
Consumable Lock Maintenance $600/yr
[#21] Replacement seals, batteries, and routine lock servicing.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $648K/yr
67.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, contracted medical coverage, and no major breach.
routine_testing no_breach contracted_medical_response
🚨 Minor Incident $728K/yr
30.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
Single serious testing/containment incident requiring major surgery, autopsy, transport, and legal response.
serious_test_injury single_hospitalization
🚨 Major Breach $898K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized breach/violent escalation with multiple casualties, law-enforcement involvement, and significant cover-up/legal expenses.
unauthorized_removal multiple_casualties public_exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $1.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Major uncontrolled event with widespread casualties/public exposure requiring large-scale cleanup, legal settlements, and long-term PR/cover operations.
mass_exposure public_scandal extensive_cleanup
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#6] 24/7 guard coverage (three shifts plus backup) per containment requirements.
Research Scientist 1 [#8, #25, #26] Level-2 researcher assigned for testing, protocol oversight, and analysis.
Administrative Staff 1 [#19, #28] Records/evidence clerk for chain-of-custody, logs, and archive management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item ranges were provided in analyst notes, allowing reasonable mid-range estimates; however incident frequency and ultimate size of breach/response costs are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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