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SCP-2236 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2236
Expected annual
$99K
One-time setup
$389K
Annual recurring
$89K
Personnel
0.95
Initial one-time containment and minimal research setup is moderate, driven primarily by optional in-house analytical equipment and a contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages and ongoing monitoring/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $389K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $303K
[#17, #18] In-house analytical equipment purchase and lab upgrades (GC-MS, Raman, fume hood mods) plus sample protocol development and safe sampling materials.
Facilities $20K
[#1] Secure storage vault / safe cabinet installation and reinforcement at Site-32.
Contingency Reserve One Time $20K
[#26] Contingency reserve for unforeseen research needs or upgrades (one-time allocation).
Equipment $19K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9] Airtight environmental case, UPS backup, custom pouches, initial CCTV/tamper alarm installation, access-control hardware initial integration, environmental/tamper sensors initial hardware, handling kit, and initial PPE/equipment.
Insurance Reserve $10K
[#10] Small-item insurance / asset recovery & replacement fund (one-time reserve).
Administrative And Sop Development $6K
[#11] Chain-of-custody, SOP writing, redaction, classification paperwork and legal/security vetting (development costs).
Outsourced Gas Analysis One Time $6K
[#16] Outsourced gas analysis campaign (GC-MS/FTIR/Raman) as a one-off campaign.
Legal Cover Story Initial $5K
[#23] Initial legal/cover-story contingency (one-time setup/retainer).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $89K/yr
Staff Wages $65K/yr
[#12, #13, #14] Fractional FTE research curator (~$20k/yr), lab technician support (~$15k/yr), and security guard coverage (~$30k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#7, #15, #19, #25] Sensor data storage/maintenance (~$600/yr), psychological screening/post-use monitoring (~$2,500/yr), hazardous waste disposal per campaign (~$500/yr), and audit/compliance & periodic review (~$2,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#23] Ongoing legal/cover-story retainer and small PR contingency (~$5,000/yr).
Contingency Replenishment $5K/yr
[#26] Annual replenishment allowance for contingency reserve if expended or for small unforeseen needs.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#5, #6, #21, #22] CCTV/monitoring subscription and maintenance (~$1,200/yr), access-control licenses/logging (~$1,000/yr), energy costs for environmental case (~$200/yr), and maintenance/calibration of controllers and seals (~$1,500/yr).
Incident Response And Drills $3K/yr
[#24] Annual incident response planning, tabletop exercises and small contingency for investigations/drills.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#20] Secure transport & chain-of-custody for off-site analysis or movement (assumed ~2 moves/yr at ~$1,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $900/yr
[#9, #18] PPE and decontamination consumables replacement (~$400/yr) and sampling consumables/exppendables if occasional (~$500/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $89K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with standard monitoring, fractional staff, and routine maintenance; no major incidents or capital purchases.
routine_checks fractional_staffing no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $99K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Small containment/asset incident: sensor failure, minor tamper attempt, or small local damage requiring replacement/repair and investigation.
sensor_or_case_damage minor_tamper_or_entry small_investigation
🚨 Major Research Buildout $537K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$448K vs baseline
Decision to perform full in-house analytical buildout (purchase of GC-MS/Raman and lab upgrades) plus hiring/upscaling staff.
in-house_analysis_decision capital_equipment_purchase hiring_additional_staff
🚨 Catastrophic Loss $134K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$45K vs baseline
The instrument is lost, destroyed, or stolen requiring full response: investigation, replacement/insurance, legal/PR response.
theft_or_total_destruction major_breach public_exposure_risk
👥 Personnel 0.95 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Curator 0.25 [#12] Fractional FTE (0.1–0.5 FTE) responsible for approvals, supervision, and reporting (~$20,000/yr).
Lab Technician 0.2 [#13] Fractional technician support for checks and assistance (~$15,000/yr equivalent).
Security Officer / Guard 0.5 [#14] Pooled or shared guard coverage for the vault area (~$30,000/yr prorated).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many costs are well-scoped (case, sensors, PPE, fractional staffing), but large optional items (in-house analytical equipment, size of contingency, and frequency of outsourced analyses) introduce uncertainty; hence medium confidence.
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