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SCP-2238 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2238
Expected annual
$5.0M
One-time setup
$7.4M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
25
Estimated first-year one-time costs are approximately $7,385,000 driven primarily by central facility construction, large-scale transmitter retrofits, and contingency reserves. Recurring annual costs are approximately $4,907,000 driven mainly by staff wages, long-term R&D, data storage/monitoring, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.4M
Facilities $5.4M
[#1, #12, #14] Central monitoring facility buildout, broadcast-transmitter retrofit capex for regional mitigation, and emergency power/environmental control installation.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#23] One-time contingency reserve for major incidents, legal emergencies, surge operations, or rapid transmitter replacements.
Equipment $685K
[#4, #7, #13, #15] Signal analysis/RF hardware, forensics/chain-of-custody hardware (one-time component), direction-finding rigs/vehicle rig purchases, and initial IT security/hardening costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#6] Initial SAN/onsite capture servers and lab/testbed setup for continuous HD capture and archival.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#2, #6, #15, #16, #21, #7] Live-feed acquisition/subscription fees, cloud storage/egress & maintenance, recurring SOC/IT security services, experimental/test-broadcast lab operations, long-term R&D program funding, and small recurring forensics maintenance.
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#3, #5, #10] 24/7 monitoring/operators (shifted watch staff), permanent research staff, and short-term detention facility staffing/security (salaries for guards/medical staff/admin).
Personnel Benefits And Overhead $465K/yr
[#20] Benefits, payroll taxes, HR overhead and program management (~30% of salary base assumption).
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#17, #18] Legal retainers/regulatory liaison, per-incident cover/compensation budgets, and public relations/misinformation budget for leak responses.
Facilities Maintenance $315K/yr
[#1, #12, #14] Ongoing building utilities/maintenance for central hub, maintenance/repair contracts for transmitter retrofits, and generator/fuel maintenance/testing.
Logistics And Transport $260K/yr
[#11, #13] Field operations, travel, vehicles/lodging for technical teams, and recurring maintenance/fuel for direction-finding/mobile RF-tracking units.
Detention And Processing Per Incident $100K/yr
[#8] Annual recurring estimate for transport, processing, temporary holding, medical assessment and administrative costs (assumes ~50 civilian incidents/year at median per-person cost).
Amnestic Procurement And Med Admin $100K/yr
[#9] Recurring procurement and administration of Class-A amnestics (assumes ~50 doses/year at median ~$2,000/dose).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#19] Regular training, drills and SOP development for monitors, field techs, and medical staff.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#7, #10] Consumables for forensics and PPE/medical observation supplies related to detention/processing.
Evidence Destruction $12K/yr
[#22] Secure wipe and physical destruction services for archival media and drives.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year of operations with ongoing monitoring, routine incidents handled within expected resource use.
routine monitoring workload regular storage and R&D activities
🚨 Minor Incident $5.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Moderate localized broadcast contamination requiring increased field response, additional detentions/amnestic administrations, and extra legal/PR work.
localized multi-station hijack 20–50 civilian processing events additional field deployments
🚨 Major Breach $8.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Widespread multi-transmitter contamination or prolonged public exposure requiring large-scale retrofits, mass amnestics, major legal responses and contingency fund deployment.
region-wide broadcast contamination mass civilian detentions/amnestic requirement emergency transmitter replacements/retrofits
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Technician / Operator 8 24/7 shifted watch staff monitoring live feeds and flagging anomalies. [#3]
Research Scientist 6 Signal engineers, broadcast engineers, and media forensics staff for continuous analysis and R&D. [#5, #21]
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Short-term detention facility guards and field security for processed civilians. [#10]
Engineer / Maintenance 2 Facility, RF, and IT maintenance staff supporting capture systems, DF rigs, and generators. [#4, #13, #14]
Medical Officer 2 Licensed staff to administer Class-A amnestics and medical observation. [#9, #10]
Administrative Staff 2 Program admin, procurement, and coordination with legal/cover teams. [#17, #20]
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Site/program leadership and liaison with O5/regulatory affairs. [#1, #17]
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range values drawn from broad analyst ranges; major uncertainties remain in incident frequency, number of transmitters requiring retrofit, and chosen operational posture (monitor-only vs aggressive mitigation).
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