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SCP-2248 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2248
Expected annual
$7.2M
One-time setup
$22.8M
Annual recurring
$7.0M
Personnel
58
One-time establishment and capital works are large due to island construction, pier/erosion control and contingency reserves (~$22.8M). Recurring annual costs are dominated by onsite staff wages, research/medical surveillance, transport and security operations (~$7.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.8M
Facilities $12.8M
[#2, #3, #12, #14] Construction of Reliquary/Bio-Research Site-369, E-class holding cells, erosion/shoreline stabilization and sewage treatment module one-time capital costs.
Catastrophic Reserve $4.0M
[#23] One-time reserve fund for catastrophic scenarios (demolition, relocation, large-scale cover-ups or international settlements).
Sovereign Agreement And Legal $3.0M
[#1] One-time costs to secure control/lease/agreements with host nation, legal fees and initial diplomatic payments to establish the naval-base cover.
Equipment $2.0M
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #13, #18] Surveillance cameras, IT/secure servers, primary genset/solar/battery hardware, patrol boats purchase, conservation/climate-control equipment, incinerator, and physical security equipment one-time purchases.
Legal Secrecy Setup $500K
[#22] One-time legal/secrecy/censorship arrangements and initial retainers to establish ongoing cover protocols.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#5, #16] Initial D-class processing and pilot research studies / lab setup (pilot experiments, initial instruments for research).
Incident Response Initial $175K
[#17] Initial fire suppression, emergency equipment and training costs for incident response setup.
Archaeological Compliance $88K
[#20] One-time archaeological surveys, permits and documentation costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#4] Recurring payroll for onsite personnel including security, researchers, medical staff, maintenance, IT/admin, director and support staff (Western European wages + island premiums).
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#6, #16, #7, #8] Medical surveillance & ophthalmology for affected individuals, funded ongoing research, camera/storage maintenance and IT/security archival costs related to monitoring and studies.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#1, #19, #22, #20] Ongoing liaison/PR to maintain naval-base cover, payments to local partners, controlled media interactions, legal retainers and ongoing archaeological compliance consultancy.
Replacement Reserve $400K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for accelerated degradation and periodic replacement of marine-exposed equipment (generators, boats, cameras).
Supplies And Consumables $375K/yr
[#15, #25] Consumables for botanical work, lab disposables, seed/sample storage, plus local operating costs (food, potable water, laundry, office supplies).
Logistics And Transport $350K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance, fuel and crewing for patrol/utility boats and helicopter lease/retainer for medevac/rapid transport and logistics.
Security Ops $300K/yr
[#18] Recurring security operating costs not included in wages (maritime patrols, perimeter maintenance, cyber monitoring, background checks).
D Class Operations $250K/yr
[#5] Recurring D-class recruitment, rotation, transport, housing, screening and administration costs.
Power And Fuel $200K/yr
[#9] Fuel resupply, genset maintenance, solar/battery upkeep and associated logistics for uninterrupted power.
Training And Turnover $125K/yr
[#24] Ongoing training for staff, security, medical protocols and turnover/replacement costs.
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#12, #14] Ongoing inspection, repairs and maintenance for erosion control, seawalls, docks, helipad and sewage treatment operations.
Incident Response And Insurance $100K/yr
[#17] Annual emergency drills, medical evacuation readiness and insurance/reserve for accidents.
Hazardous Waste Operations $40K/yr
[#13] Ongoing hazardous-plant handling, incineration operations, hazardous waste contractor fees and ash certification.
Artifact Conservation $35K/yr
[#11] Ongoing conservation and climate-control maintenance for the marble statue and shrine in salt-air environment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine maintenance, staff wages, research and cover operations as budgeted.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Localized incident such as a small fire, limited equipment damage, or a medical evacuation leading to repair costs and legal/PR response.
localized_fire medical_evacuations equipment_damage
🚨 Major Breach $15.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or large-scale site loss requiring controlled demolition/relocation attempts, major legal settlements and international diplomacy.
public_exposure large_scale_fire site_loss
👥 Personnel 58 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#4, #18] Armed guards for 3x8 shifts and maritime patrol personnel.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#4] Senior management and liaison responsibility.
Research Scientist 3 [#4, #16] Senior research staff for botany/ophthalmology and anomalous studies.
Botanist 2 [#4, #16] Onsite botanical specialists for seedbank, containment and experiments.
Ophthalmologist / Medical Officer 1 [#4, #6] Specialist for retinal screening and treatment oversight.
Medical Technician 2 [#4, #6] Routine fortnightly exams, telemedicine coordination and clinical support.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#4, #9] Power, generators, solar systems, pier and facility maintenance staff.
IT / Administrative Staff 4 [#4, #8] Network, secure storage, administrative and cover-story paperwork.
Custodial & Kitchen Staff 6 [#4, #25] Support staff for daily operations, food preparation and facility housekeeping.
Class-D Personnel 12 [#5] Pool of D-class for direct visual contact rotations and replacements.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are derived directly from analyst line items and midpoints; many figures are order-of-magnitude due to island logistics, host-nation negotiation uncertainty and unpredictable anomaly-driven incident costs, so confidence is medium.
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