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SCP-2253 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2253
Expected annual
$912K
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$904K
Personnel
10
Estimated first-year one-time setup is approximately $1.86M, driven primarily by property acquisition, buildout for a public brewery and an underground lab, and instrumentation. Recurring annual costs are approximately $903,500, driven mainly by staff wages (brewers, researchers, and security), utilities/maintenance, and analytical/research operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #2, #3] Property acquisition/lease and physical conversion: purchase/closing and/or lease startup costs, public brewery renovation/code upgrades, and underground lab excavation/shoring and reinforcement.
Equipment $269K
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #10, #18, #24, #27, #29] Brewery production equipment, on-site security installation, CCTV installation, secure storage cabinets for Site-77, transport vehicle purchase, initial PPE purchase, containment sensors installation, initial IT/hardened infrastructure, and initial archival shelving/setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $260K
[#7, #8] Analytical instrumentation purchase and setup (GC-MS, HPLC, ancillary instruments) and inline automated sampling/integration hardware to detect the ~5% anomalous batches.
Contingency Fund $100K
[#28] Contingency / incident response reserve for emergencies, legal emergencies, medical response, or unexpected relocation/repair.
Insurance And Regulatory Setup $10K
[#21] Initial insurance, licensing and regulatory setup fees for operating a public taproom (one-time legal/licensing setup).
Legal Cover Setup $10K
[#22] Initial legal/cover-story setup (business formation, lawyer/accountant setup) to create and harden the front organization.
Historical Research Initial $10K
[#23] One-time archival access and initial historical research costs to investigate SCP-2253-1's identity.
Background Checks Initial $5K
[#14] Initial background checks and clearance processing (one-time vetting costs for staff).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $904K/yr
Staff Wages $530K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Salaries and benefits for brewers/taproom staff (~2 brewers, manager, bartenders), research staff (2 lab staff/scientists), and on-site security (3 guards) to maintain cover and run research.
Facilities Maintenance $82K/yr
[#5, #6, #19, #20, #26] Annual monitoring/licensing for security systems and CCTV cloud/storage, waste handling/disposal, utilities for brewery and underground lab (electricity/HVAC/water), and cleaning/janitorial contracts.
Logistics And Transport $64K/yr
[#10] Driver salary for secure transfers, vehicle fuel and maintenance, and per-trip operational costs for transferring anomalous samples to Site-77.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#21, #22, #30] Annual insurance and licensing, ongoing legal/accounting fees, PR and reputation maintenance to sustain the public brewery front.
Supplies And Consumables $52K/yr
[#17, #18] Laboratory consumables, reagents, disposables (vials, tips, solvents) and PPE restock/consumables for ongoing operations.
Research And Monitoring $34K/yr
[#7, #23, #24, #29] Instrument service/calibration contracts, ongoing historical/research access budget, data storage and analyst time for containment sensors, and recurring archival/storage maintenance.
Human Testing Program $20K/yr
[#16] Costs for tasting panels: participant compensation, informed-consent documentation, clinical monitoring, and associated ethics/legal contingencies.
Medical Monitoring $20K/yr
[#15] Occupational health program costs: medical exams, GI monitoring, vaccinations, and incident response for staff sampling anomalous beverages.
Inline Sampling Consumables $18K/yr
[#8] Consumables and analyst time specific to inline automated sampling and rapid test workflows to detect the ~5% anomalous batches.
It And Information Security Maintenance $10K/yr
[#27] Ongoing maintenance for secure networks, server backups, SOC services, and intrusion detection protecting instrumentation, CCTV, and logs.
Training And Emergency Drills $8K/yr
[#25] Annual staff training, drills for spill response, de-escalation, sample handling, and protocol adherence.
Site77 Storage Fees $3K/yr
[#9] Per-sample handling and space allocation fees charged by Site-77 for storing anomalous bottles.
Background Checks Monitoring $2K/yr
[#14] Recurring monitoring and periodic rechecks for background/security clearances for staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $904K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine sampling, research, and cover operations proceed as planned.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $928K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small-scale medical or contamination event requiring localized medical response, cleanup, and PR/legal handling.
local_medical_reaction small_batch_contamination minor_property_damage
🚨 Major Breach $1.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Hostile attempt to seize or damage the site (histor precedent of attempted seizure), or a larger-scale public incident requiring repairs, legal action, and amnestics.
hostile_attempted_seizure large_scale_property_damage widespread_public_incident
🚨 Research Scaleup $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Research breakthrough or new experimental program requiring rapid instrumentation purchases, hire of additional staff, or expanded lab capacity.
research_breakthrough need_for_additional_instrumentation scale_up_experiments
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Brewer / Taproom Staff 5 [#11] Two brewers (covered as cleared Level-2), one manager, and 2 bartenders to maintain the public-facing brewery and plausibility of operations.
Research Scientist 2 [#12] Two researchers/technicians to run the underground lab, analyses, and sample handling.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#13] Three on-site guards to provide shift coverage for the taproom perimeter and lab access control.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and standard Foundation cover operations; many line items have wide ranges (real estate, construction, instrumentation), and site-specific factors (purchase vs lease, production scale) materially affect totals.
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