SCP-2257 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2257
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$637K
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
12
Initial capital outlay is approximately $637,000 driven largely by property acquisition, hardening, and equipment; ongoing annual operations are roughly $1,131,570 driven primarily by security staffing, research/monitoring personnel, contractor readiness and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $637K
Property Purchase And Closing $260K
[#1] Purchase price for suburban single-family home under shell identity plus closing/legal transfer costs.
Facilities $118K
[#2, #3, #17, #18] Interior staging/minor renovations, perimeter fencing, quarantine cell outfitting, and secure storage room/lockers (structural buildouts and containment modifications).
Equipment $118K
[#6, #7, #16, #19, #20, #21, #4] Vehicles purchase and outfitting, CCTV and sensor installation, recording/transcription hardware, incident-response kit, initial PPE kit, communications equipment, and furnishing for security residence.
Decommissioning And Long Term Disposition $112K
[#27] Estimated one-time cost to decommission site, remediate property, and disposition of anomalous instances if site retired.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12K
[#15] Initial researcher supplies, testing materials and small research-specific instruments for behavioral/linguistic work.
Cover Identity Setup $6K
[#14] Initial legal/setup costs to create and register shell identities, mail/setup, and administrative startup for cover story.
Legal Retainer $6K
[#22] Initial legal retainer for local-government liaison and rapid legal response.
Background Checks Initial $5K
[#23] Up-front background checks for initial hires and contractors (estimated batch cost).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $442K/yr
[#5] On-site security staffing (6 guards + 1 supervisor) with salary plus ~30% benefits/overhead; primary recurring personnel cost.
Contingency Reserve $134K/yr
[#28] Contingency reserve for low-probability/high-cost events (~15% of one-year operating budget maintained annually).
Research And Monitoring $123K/yr
[#15, #16] Research staffing (1 FTE researcher salary & benefits), ongoing research supplies, and transcription/archive service fees.
Remote Monitoring Staffing $110K/yr
[#8] Remote monitoring operators / SOC staffing or equivalent outsourced monitoring coverage (1–2 FTEs equivalent).
Administrative Overhead $107K/yr
[#26] Internal accounting, audit, compliance and administrative overhead (12% of pre-overhead recurring operating budget).
Logistics And Transport $82K/yr
[#6, #4, #19] Vehicle fuel/maintenance, lease for security residence across the road (baseline leasing option), and on-call incident-response contractor retainers.
Quarantine Specialist Team $50K/yr
[#17] Standing on-call specialist team for quarantine medical/psychiatric evaluations and containment readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#14, #22] Ongoing cover identity maintenance (mail, accounts) and recurring legal/liaison fees.
Background Checks Ongoing $12K/yr
[#23] Ongoing vetting, periodic background re-checks, and training costs.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#12, #20, #25] Housekeeping/consumables to maintain an "occupied" appearance, PPE consumables, and modest replacement/disposal budget for damaged items.
Cctv Storage And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#7] Video/audio storage, redundant recording costs, and monitoring platform fees.
Mental Health Care $6K/yr
[#24] Counseling and mental health services for staff exposed to sapient objects.
Medical Evaluation Reserve $5K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve to cover routine medical evaluation costs per incident.
Insurance And Property Taxes $4K/yr
[#13] Property taxes and homeowner liability/property insurance estimates.
Lawn And Exterior Maintenance $4K/yr
[#11] Weekly mowing, seasonal cleanup, snow removal, and pest control to maintain cover and property appearance.
Utilities $4K/yr
[#9, #10] Electricity, water, gas, trash for both properties (night lighting/timers included in this line).
Comms Service And Replacement $3K/yr
[#21] Recurring costs for burner phones, encrypted comms service, and periodic replacements.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#3] Minor annual maintenance on perimeter fence and structural upkeep.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no incidents routine maintenance standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring medical evaluation, minor repairs and short-term increased staffing.
single conversion or medical incident minor property damage short emergency extraction
🚨 Major Breach $1.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring remediation, legal settlement and major repairs.
public leak/exposure legal action major property remediation
🚨 Conversion Event $1.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
One or more living humans converted to SCP-2257-1 requiring long-term specialized containment and care.
unexpected human conversion long-term containment required expanded quarantine/medical costs
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Core 24/7 guard coverage (6 guards across shifts).
Security Supervisor 1 [#5] On-site shift supervisor/lead.
Remote Monitoring Operator 2 [#8] Remote feed/SOC monitoring staff or equivalent outsourced FTEs.
Research Scientist 1 [#15] Dedicated researcher for interviews, behavioral and linguistic analysis.
Quarantine Specialist / Medical Officer 1 [#17] On-call specialist for quarantine, medical evaluation and containment support.
Administrative Staff 1 [#14, #22] Administrative support for cover identity maintenance, bookkeeping and liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling moderate-confidence point estimates; uncertainties remain around property purchase vs lease choices, frequency of conversion events, and contingency sizing, so figures are approximate.
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