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SCP-2293 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2293
Expected annual
$266.6M
One-time setup
$5.5B
Annual recurring
$199.1M
Personnel
154
Initial infrastructure and large contingency reserves drive very high one-time costs (~$5.52B), while baseline operations (monitoring, staff, legal/PR, and equipment maintenance) require roughly $199M per year; episodic demolition/compensation events can add hundreds of millions to multi-billions in a single year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.5B
Contingency Catastrophe Fund $3.0B
[#20] Large catastrophe reserve recommended to cover multi-km² urban demolitions, long-term compensation, and escalation scenarios.
Civilian Compensation Reserve $2.0B
[#12] Joint Foundation–government compensation/resettlement reserve for displaced civilians (recommendation: multi-billion minimum).
Amnestic Stockpile $255.0M
[#13] Bulk stockpile procurement of Class-A/B amnestics (100k–1M doses) and delivery systems.
Political Indemnities And Payments $200.0M
[#15] One-time large political payments/indemnities if a major nation is involved.
Equipment $37.2M
[#1, #6, #7, #9, #10] One-time purchase/deployment of AI/server hardware (GPUs/TPUs), MTF specialized kits, vehicles/aircraft fleet procurement, Protocol-GLEAN field kits, and small-scale secure-destruction/forensics hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $11.0M
[#4, #16] Research lab buildout, initial datasets, instrumentation, and memetic-safe forensic laboratory setup.
Controlled Demolition Assets $5.5M
[#10] One-time purchase/contracting of heavy equipment and explosives teams for controlled demolition capability.
Initial Legal Setup $5.2M
[#3] Initial legal frameworks, contracts, and covert agreements setup costs to enable communications interception and plausible deniability.
Facilities $3.0M
[#8] One-time procurement of modular shelters, barriers, temporary housing and checkpoint infrastructure.
Covert Financial Infrastructure Setup $2.8M
[#24] One-time setup of shell companies, secret ledgers, and covert financial control infrastructure.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $199.1M/yr
Insurance And Indemnity $50.0M/yr
[#21] Annual insurance, indemnity payments, settlements, and legal defense budgets for exposure risk.
Cover Story And Legal $43.2M/yr
[#3, #14, #27] Ongoing global cover operations, PR teams, news suppression/takedowns, communications-control capability maintenance and recurring legal/diplomatic costs.
Supplies And Consumables $26.2M/yr
[#13, #10, #9] Amnestic replenishment and quality control, digital scrubbing contracts/consumables, forensic kit replenishment and disposables.
Staff Wages $25.4M/yr
[#5, #6, #15] Salaries and fully-loaded costs for permanent research staff, analysts, MTF hazard pay (personnel element), and diplomatic/liaison staff (recurring personnel costs).
Research And Monitoring $17.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #16, #19] Colocation/cloud inference costs for global monitoring infra, data licensing acquisition, model retraining and forecasting research, lab operations, and HUMINT analytic expenses.
Facilities Maintenance $14.0M/yr
[#7, #8] Ongoing maintenance, rental, and upkeep for deployment fleets, shelters, checkpoints, and related physical infrastructure.
Logistics And Transport $8.5M/yr
[#7] Fuel, maintenance, charters, standby contracts, and forward-deploy supply caches for emergency deployment logistics.
Public Health Coordination $5.5M/yr
[#25] Coordination with public health agencies, epidemic-response integration, and public-safety liaison costs.
Covert Financial Operations $5.0M/yr
[#24] Ongoing operation costs for covert ledgers, shell companies, and financial administration of joint compensation accounts.
Psychological Support $1.6M/yr
[#18] Counseling, debriefing, medical surveillance, and trauma support for deployed personnel.
Training And Certification $1.1M/yr
[#17] Annual memetic-safety training, simulations, and certification programs for personnel.
Audit And Oversight $1.1M/yr
[#28] Internal audit teams and oversight boards to manage secrecy protocols and budgetary control.
Per Event Demolition And Remediation $0/yr
[#11] Per-event urban demolition/remediation costs extremely variable (see scenarios). Baseline recurring allocated as zero; handled in scenario/event budgets.
Civilian Compensation Annual Reserve $0/yr
[#12] Per-event compensation costs are event-driven and reserved in one-time funds; baseline recurring allocation set to zero.
Long Term Surveillance $0/yr
[#23] Periodic sweeps and monitoring of previously cleared zones are funded as-needed; baseline set to zero (scales per km² when required).
Per Event Environmental Remediation $0/yr
[#22] Environmental impact assessments and compliance are per-event costs handled in scenario budgets.
Per Event Replacement Of Cultural Assets $0/yr
[#26] Replacement or reproduction of cultural assets is per-incident; baseline recurring set to zero.
Opportunity Costs Indirect $0/yr
[#29] Indirect economic impacts are event-dependent and not included in baseline recurring; modeled per event where relevant.
Per Incident Pr Damage Control $0/yr
[#30] Large, retrospective cover-up/PR mitigation costs are incident-driven; baseline recurring set to zero.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $199.1M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, research, and readiness; no large-scale demolition or major exposures.
routine monitoring and model retraining minor localized SCP-2293 sightings handled without demolition
🚨 Minor Incident $209.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized SCP-2293 event requiring MTF deployment, limited quarantines, temporary sheltering, targeted amnestic use, and PR takedowns.
small-area outbreak targeted MTF response localized media seizure and amnestic distribution
🚨 Major Demolition Event $2.9B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.7B vs baseline
Urban-area SCP-2293 outbreak surpasses density threshold, resulting in large-scale demolition, remediation, mass compensation, and long-term monitoring.
density ≥1300 occurrences/km² in dense urban area authorized area-level demolition and mass resettlement
🚨 Political Exposure $1.4B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2B vs baseline
Major leak or international incident leading to expensive legal settlements, indemnities, and large-scale PR/retrospective cover-up operations.
significant leak to press or foreign government public investigations requiring settlements and indemnities
👥 Personnel 154 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 15 [#4, #5] Senior researchers focused on predictive forecasting and memetic studies.
Memetics Specialist / Cultural Analyst 5 [#5, #17] Specialists for memetic risk assessment and cultural context analysis.
Data Engineer / ML Engineer 6 [#1, #4, #19] Engineers managing AI pipelines, model training, and data ingestion.
Analysts / Monitoring Operators 10 [#1, #5] Operators monitoring AI outputs and handling triage of detections.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#6] MTF operatives (ready-deploy battalion equivalent) for quarantines and field operations.
Medical Officer 5 [#13, #18] Medical staff to administer amnestics, decontamination, and monitor side-effects.
Administrative Staff / Financial Operations 6 [#24, #15] Covert financial managers, accounting, and liaison administrators for covert payments and compensation accounts.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#15] Executive oversight and diplomatic liaison leadership.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#7, #16] Maintain vehicles, deployment equipment, and lab/facility systems.
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide uncertainty from extremely variable per-event demolition/remediation and compensation estimates, reliance on covert international agreements, and large ranges for amnestic stockpiles and contingency reserves. Numbers are midpoint-driven estimates; actual costs could be orders of magnitude different in event scenarios.
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