SCP-2307 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2307
Expected annual
$925K
One-time setup
$659K
Annual recurring
$892K
Personnel
6
One-time setup and research/grants (~$659k) dominate capital spending; recurring yearly costs are driven by staff wages, legal/forensic monitoring, and a 20% program contingency, totaling ~$892k/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $659K
Research Grants $300K
[#27] Multi-year controlled experimentation/project seed funding (recommended $300k multi-year allocation).
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#19] Recommended one-time contingency/reserve for large unforeseen legal/repair/remediation events.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $56K
[#10, #14, #16, #20] Initial deep metallurgical/isotopic analysis setup and first-run assays, digital-forensics/immutable-archive initial setup, initial amnestic stock, and documentation/LIMS/ELN setup.
Legal Coverup Setup $50K
[#17] One-time legal/cover-story/provenance setup and initial payments to establish plausible custody and procurement cover.
Equipment $38K
[#1, #3, #4, #8, #9, #11, #18, #22, #24] Aquarium tanks/stands/plumbing and initial water storage/chiller/sensors, museum case hardware (capital portion counted here), CCTV installation, UPS/generator hardware, metrology imaging equipment, transport containers, initial PPE kit, and archival ingestion hardware.
Conservation And Stabilization Initial $15K
[#5, #25] Professional conservator initial treatment and initial adhesives/consolidants and micro-repair materials for SCP-2307-02.
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $892K/yr
Staff Wages $511K/yr
[#7, #13, #14] Security staff (2 guards including benefits/overhead), dedicated research team salaries (PI + 2 researchers + benefits), and digital-forensics analyst(s) salaries.
Contingency Multiplier $149K/yr
[#30] Program contingency equal to 20% of recurring annual line items to cover unpredictable interventions and prolonged cases.
Research And Monitoring $62K/yr
[#6, #10, #11, #20, #23, #24] Ongoing preventive conservation (weekly inspections & cleaning), annual follow-up assays, imaging/data storage, documentation/sysadmin/licensing maintenance, public-records monitoring, and long-term archival storage.
Facilities Maintenance $62K/yr
[#12, #8, #9, #4] Facilities/cost-recovery overhead allocation for lab space, CCTV monitoring/maintenance, UPS/generator fuel & upkeep, and museum-case calibration/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $27K/yr
[#17, #26] Annual legal/PR retainer and ongoing ethics/oversight committee costs related to cover stories, provenance maintenance, and counsel.
Annual Audit And Compliance $25K/yr
[#29] Annual containment/audit/compliance review and small contingency for unplanned tests/repairs.
Per Exposure Remediation Reserve $20K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve to cover monitoring, amnestics, legal/financial remediation and reintegration for exposed subjects (annualized estimate; per-subject 10-year cost varies).
Logistics And Transport $14K/yr
[#2, #18, #28] Water procurement field trips/travel (domestic baseline), transport-readiness/training, and travel/cultural-liaison for UK stakeholder engagement.
Training And Certification $10K/yr
[#21] Annual memetic-safety, handling, PPE and emergency-procedure training and psychological screening costs.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#3, #16, #22, #25] Water conditioning reagents and drums consumables, annual amnestic resupply/training, PPE replacements/disposables, and conservation consumables/adhesives maintenance.
Per Move Transport Average $5K/yr
[#18] Average annualized per-move transport cost allowance (assumes occasional secure moves/off-site work).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $892K/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful operational year with routine testing, no accidental exposures requiring major remediation, and typical procurement of lake water.
scheduled tests routine water procurement no accidental exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $967K/yr
20.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Single accidental contact or localized record-alteration event that requires targeted remediation, legal intervention, and emergency testing.
accidental subject contact localized public-record anomaly small transport incident
🚨 Major Breach $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Multiple exposures or a public/professional discovery requiring extensive legal/PR operations, long-term remediation for several subjects, and large forensic/legal costs.
multiple simultaneous exposures public records scrutiny extended legal action
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two Level-2 guards assigned as primary watchers; salaries and overhead included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 3 [#13] PI + 2 researchers/technicians (salaries and benefits included in staff_wages).
Digital Forensics Analyst 1 [#14] Analyst monitoring immutable archives and public-record changes (salary included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on line-item analyst figures with conservative mid-range choices; uncertainty remains around exposure frequency, site proximity (affects travel), and number/severity of subject remediation cases, hence medium confidence.
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