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SCP-2315 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2315
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$754K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
8
Initial one-time containment and tooling costs are moderate (~$0.75M) dominated by software development and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are substantial (~$1.37M/yr), driven primarily by dedicated MTF staffing, legal/cover activities, sustained research/testing and surveillance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $754K
Software Development $275K
[#14] One-time software/dev project to build non-invasive mitigation & tooling (2–3 engineers, 3–6 months): $150k–$400k; midpoint used.
Contingency Field Response Reserve $200K
[#16] Seed contingency reserve for emergency interventions: $200,000 (within $100k–$300k).
Advanced Geo Campaign $125K
[#22] Advanced geo/environmental investigation campaign (optional per-campaign cost): $125,000 (midpoint of $50k–$200k). Included as an available one-time campaign cost.
Equipment $84K
[#2, #5, #13] Ring-detection & logging sensor ($3,000 midpoint), spectrum analysis / direction-finding initial kit ($75,000 chosen within $25k–$200k), and initial data-capture hardware ($6,000 midpoint of $2k–$10k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K
[#4] Forensic hardware analysis campaign (chip-off, X-ray, SEM) estimated $25,000 (midpoint of $5k–$50k per major campaign).
Training And Sop Development $20K
[#17] Initial SOP/training development: $20,000 one-time.
Facilities $18K
[#1, #3] Containment locker ($6,500 midpoint of $3k–$10k) and Faraday/RF test enclosure build ($12,000 midpoint of $2k–$25k).
Spare Devices $3K
[#21] Spare/decoy devices (multiple factory iPhone 6 units) estimated $3,000 (within $1k–$5k).
Disposal Capability $3K
[#25] Secure destruction capability when retiring device: $3,000 (midpoint of $1k–$5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $640K/yr
[#6, #12] MTF Upsilon-3 team and operating costs (6 FTE × $80k fully-burdened ≈ $480k plus vehicles/ops ≈ $600k) plus incremental on-site guard coverage/overtime (~$40k) → total rounded to $640,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $298K/yr
[#8, #9, #15, #19] Ongoing controlled testing program recruitment ($50k/yr), psychological care & clinical follow-up (~$150k/yr), field surveillance of mothers (~$90k/yr), and medical/genetic verification ($7,500/yr) — combined ~$297,500/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Legal/cover-up, settlements, retainer fees baseline: $100,000/yr (analyst baseline).
Insurance And Indemnity $100K/yr
[#23] Internal liability/insurance & risk pooling: $100,000/yr (midpoint of $50k–$150k).
Trace Operations $90K/yr
[#7] Annual trace/legal operations with telecom providers (subpoenas, data purchases, liaison): $90,000/yr (midpoint of $30k–$150k).
Contingency Replenish $50K/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment target for contingency response fund: $50,000/yr.
Software Maintenance $35K/yr
[#14] Ongoing maintenance/patching for mitigation software/tools: $35,000/yr (within $20k–$50k).
Incident Documentation $20K/yr
[#24] Administrative incident documentation, audits, and compliance: $20,000/yr (midpoint of $10k–$30k).
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#11] Secure transport & courier for device moves: $10,000/yr midpoint of $5k–$15k.
Spectrum Equipment Maintenance $10K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance/calibration for spectrum analysers and DF equipment: $10,000/yr (within $2k–$20k).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#20] Consumables and small equipment (SIM tools, batteries, lab disposables): $6,000/yr midpoint of $2k–$10k.
Background Checks $5K/yr
[#10] Background checks and mandatory reporting monitoring: ~$5,000/yr for audits & periodic checks.
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#17] Annual training refreshers and tabletop exercises: $5,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#1, #3] Small annual maintenance for locker and RF enclosure upkeep and tamper systems: estimated $3,000/yr.
Data Storage Maintenance $3K/yr
[#13] Secure data capture/storage & backups maintenance: $3,000/yr midpoint of $1k–$5k.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment in-place, routine testing and monitoring, no major investigations or campaigns.
routine_reporting scheduled_tests no localized source found
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$130K vs baseline
One-off elevated activity: additional forensic campaign(s), increased legal/settlement activity, and extra trace/surveillance work following several civilian reports.
multiple civilian reports single forensic campaign heightened legal exposure
🚨 Major Investigation Campaign $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$625K vs baseline
Escalated year with major localization effort (advanced geo/environmental campaign), multiple forensic campaigns, large legal/cover-up expenses and contingency deployments.
failed DF leads to advanced geo campaign multiple prolonged forensic campaigns large settlements or emergency interventions
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Upsilon-3 / Signal Analysts & Field Techs 6 [#6] Dedicated multidisciplinary team (6 FTEs) responsible for tracing, analysis, and field ops; costed into staff_wages.
Security Officer / On-site Guards 2 [#12] On-site guard coverage / security detail during tests; incremental positions/overtime accounted in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many items use broad ranges and some costs (e.g., advanced campaigns, legal settlements) are highly variable; aggregated totals use midpoints where ranges exist, so confidence is medium.
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