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SCP-2350 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2350
Expected annual
$16.1M
One-time setup
$20.0M
Annual recurring
$14.7M
Personnel
34
Upfront capital and contingency reserves are the main one-time drivers (~$20.0M), while recurring annual costs are dominated by MTF staffing and sustained R&D/monitoring/medical readiness (~$14.7M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.0M
Insurance Reserve Establishment $10.5M
[#37] Establishment of insurance / large contingency reserve to cover unexpected large-scale remediation or political fallout (one-time contingency reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.8M
[#25] Biomedical lab buildout and BSL-2/3-capable facilities (PCR, cell culture, animal facilities, histology) one-time capital.
Us Records Acquisition And Negotiation Initial $2.6M
[#32] One-time budget for negotiating access to US classified records / covert acquisition costs (initial tranche).
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #2, #15, #18, #35] Secure media vault, anechoic/containment chamber, forward base construction, initial perimeter hardware per site, and generator/solar installs (construction/modification and installed infrastructure).
Liability Cover Compensation Initial $1.1M
[#33] Initial liability, cover compensation and local relief funds to address historical displacement and to fund cover operations (one-time).
Incident Response Reserve Fund $625K
[#34] Establishment of an incident response reserve pool (cash/reserve) for rapid deployment and emergency expenses (one-time).
Diplomatic Negotiation Fund Initial $500K
[#20, #21] Initial negotiation/legal/compensation fund for Vietnamese government/local agreements and land-access establishment (one-time).
Media Campaign Initial $200K
[#36] Initial media/propaganda and public health coordination campaign development for cover narratives and signage (one-time campaign costs).
Equipment $192K
[#29, #30, #6, #7] Initial specialized non-audio analysis equipment and robotic manipulators (#[#29,#30]) plus initial PPE purchase and outfitting for handlers (#[#6,#7]).
Sop Development And Implementation $120K
[#9, #10] Initial development and implementation of secure SOPs, memetic safety protocols, and certification processes (one-time setup/development cost).
Data Backups Cold Storage $30K
[#3] Redundant secure backups and cold-storage media upgrade (non-audible forms, air-gapped vault upgrades) one-time.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.7M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.8M/yr
[#24, #25, #27] Ongoing inoculation R&D program burn (program-phase recurring R&D), biomedical lab operational costs, and epidemiological/environmental monitoring programs.
Staff Wages $5.4M/yr
[#5, #12] Salaries & overhead for specialized deaf/anaural handlers (6 handlers) and two MTFs (Lambda-12 + Upsilon-4; ~24–32 operators total; midpoint staffing costs included).
Clinical Care And Isolation $1.2M/yr
[#26] Ongoing clinical care, isolation ward readiness, and treatment budgets for affected humans (annual plan budget midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#20, #28, #32, #36] Ongoing diplomatic/liaison payments, memetic takedown teams/legal actions, covert legal/negotiation follow-up, and recurring public messaging/PR coordination costs.
Logistics And Transport $450K/yr
[#13] Field-deployment logistics per-deployment budget (helicopter time, expedition support, medevac and cold-chain) — assumed one typical deployment-equivalent per year baseline.
Facilities Maintenance $270K/yr
[#16, #19, #35] Base recurring operations & maintenance, perimeter patrols & monitoring, and energy/utilities for containment facilities (annual ops and fuel/power).
Liability And Compensation Payments $200K/yr
[#33] Ongoing cover payments, local relief funds, and compensation to prevent investigation or backlash.
Incident Response Reserve Replenishment $100K/yr
[#34] Annual replenishment target for incident response reserve (to maintain a ready pool).
Uxo Clearance $50K/yr
[#23] Recurring unexploded ordnance sweeps and remediation operations in affected areas (annual average for periodic clearance ops).
Sop Training And Audits $35K/yr
[#9, #11] Recurring training, simulated incident exercises, certification renewals, and SOP audits for Site-42 staff and assigned MTFs.
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#8, #31] PPE replacement/consumables and maintenance/software licensing for specialized equipment (annual replacements and licenses).
Backup Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3, #4] Regular integrity checks, cryptographic verification, and access logging for cold backups (recurring).
Epidemiological Monitoring $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.7M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, one MTF deployment-equivalent, steady R&D burn, and no major incidents.
routine_monitoring_and_research no_major_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $16.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized SCP-2350-1 emergence requiring an additional rapid deployment, targeted UXO clearance, and increased clinical/takedown activity.
localized_SCP-2350-1_detection single_extra_deployment limited_clinical_surge
🚨 Major Breach $29.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Large, multi-site event or uncontrolled spread requiring mass deployments, broad clinical response, major UXO remediation, diplomatic emergency payouts and insurance draws.
multi-site_emergence mass_casualties_and_clinical_demand urgent_diplomatic_and_remediation_costs
🚨 Research Scaleup $24.7M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Accelerated inoculation/vaccine program requiring major additional one-year R&D and scale-up capital and clinical trial expenses.
breakthrough_or_policy_decision_to_scale large_trial_and_manufacturing_capex
👥 Personnel 34 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 28 [#12] Two MTFs (Lambda-12 and Upsilon-4) with ~24–32 operators total; midpoint used (28 agents) to represent on-staff operators.
Specialized Handlers (Deaf / anaural-only) 6 [#5] Six specialized deaf/anaural handlers for direct USB/device handling and tactile-only procedures.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have wide ranges and significant geopolitical, environmental, and scientific uncertainty (UXO clearance, diplomatic buyouts, success/timeline of inoculation R&D). Keter-class memetic unpredictability and choice-dependent R&D scale-ups reduce confidence in point estimates.
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