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SCP-2411 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2411
Expected annual
$22K
One-time setup
$221K
Annual recurring
$19K
Personnel
2
One-time lifecycle costs are dominated by recovery, forensic testing, disassembly/destruction, staff time, and archival/legal work (~$220,650). Recurring annual costs for storage, inspections, legal/FOIA, IT maintenance, and small contingency reserves are modest (~$18,850/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $221K
One Time Staff Time $62K
[#11] Allocation of researchers', investigators', security, and administrative staff time for recovery, testing, disassembly, and archiving (several personnel over weeks/months).
Opportunity Cost $55K
[#19] Estimated organizational loss due to neutralization (foregone research value); non-cash but quantified as mid-range of analyst estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $52K
[#4, #5, #6, #17] Ballistics and materials testing, controlled test firings, machine-shop/disassembly and destructive testing, consumables and small tools/PPE used during testing and teardown.
Custom Law Enforcement Coordination $9K
[#2] Foundation liaison/legal officer time, paperwork, potential reimbursements/overtime for local police and federal liaison fees.
Equipment $6K
[#8, #18] Includes custom lock fabrication and initial IT/authentication hardware required for elevating the file to Level-4 access (tokens, ACL hardware).
Security Clearance One Time $6K
[#12] Initial vetting/background checks for Level-4 access (estimate assumes ~3 personnel undergoing clearance).
One Time Archival Initial $6K
[#14] Hardened-server setup, secure media, off-site vaulting and initial integrity/backups for restricted digital and physical records.
Custom Recovery And Initial Logistics $5K
[#1] Field recovery team, evidence bags, temporary storage at a Field Office, armored/secured transport or federal agents for initial pickup.
One Time Contingency Initial $4K
[#20] Initial reserve for unexpected follow-ups, witness issues, or additional short-notice work.
One Time Legal Initial $4K
[#15] Initial legal counsel for cover stories, FOIA strategy, and interagency coordination.
Custom Secure Transport $4K
[#3] One-way secure transport to Site-30 with armed escort, vehicle, driver, and insurance.
One Time Classified Doc Handling $4K
[#13] Secure redaction, typesetting, secure printing, binders, and initial IT configuration for restricted files.
One Time Psychological Support $3K
[#16] Initial critical-incident counseling for staff involved in recovery, autopsy review, and testing.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $1K
[#7] Disposal fees for contaminated metal/chemical waste, permits, and documentation after destruction.
Facilities $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19K/yr
Staff Wages $6K/yr
[#10] Ongoing marginal security staffing for periodic inspections, access escorts, and limited escort/administrative time (a few hours/week distributed across shifts).
Contingency Reserve $4K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve for unexpected follow-ups, additional audits, or small incident response.
Cover Story And Legal $3K/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal counsel and FOIA management for any record requests or public-facing issues.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#9] Marginal share of Site-30 overhead for low-value locker storage (space, utilities, inventory administration, periodic inspections).
Security Clearance Rechecks $2K/yr
[#12] Periodic rechecks/renewals for personnel holding Level-4 access to SCP-2411 records.
Research And Monitoring $1K/yr
[#14] Periodic integrity checks, off-site backup audits, and minimal monitoring of archived testing logs.
It Security Maintenance $600/yr
[#18] Token replacements, minor ACL maintenance, and IT security upkeep for Level-4-restricted digital records.
Psychological Counseling $500/yr
[#16] Ongoing counseling availability and follow-up sessions as-needed for affected staff.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $19K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: only recurring archival, security inspections, legal monitoring, and small contingency draws.
routine inspections archival backups periodic clearance rechecks
🚨 Minor Incident $39K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small follow-up investigation or evidence-related discovery requiring additional field work, forensic re-analysis, and extra legal time.
witness emerges new evidence discovered limited FOIA/dispute
🚨 Classified Leak And Legal Action $269K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Significant leak or public exposure of restricted testing logs leading to costly litigation, PR mitigation, extended legal defense, and possible relocation of assets.
unauthorized disclosure FOIA escalation litigation or political exposure
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#10] Part-time/rotating security coverage for inspections, access control, and occasional escorts; covered by the recurring security staffing allocation.
Administrative Staff / Archivist 1 [#9, #13, #14] Part-time archivist/administrator responsible for maintaining restricted records, coordinating backups, and handling access requests.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide explicit ranges for nearly all line items, enabling mid-point estimates; uncertainty remains for opportunity-cost valuation, contingency sizing, and the probability of adverse scenarios, so confidence is medium.
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