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SCP-2428 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2428
Expected annual
$449K
One-time setup
$103K
Annual recurring
$444K
Personnel
3
One-time setup costs are modest (~$103k) for secure storage, monitoring, and initial research seed funding; annual recurring costs are dominated by personnel allocations and ongoing research/medical follow-up (~$444.5k/year). Main cost drivers are staff wages, ongoing research/testing budgets, and psychological/medical follow-up.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $103K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#18] Seed funding / initial apparatus and project start-up for containment-focused research program to study amnestic failure and mitigation (one-time seed allocation).
Equipment $43K
[#1, #2, #3, #6, #10, #12, #15, #17] Locker retrofit ($15,000), archival cabinet/humidity/fire protection materials ($2,000), access-control/CCTV integration instrumentation ($3,000), medical monitors ($8,000), replica production ($2,000), secure server/vault ($4,000), emergency locker replacement reserve ($5,000), and video/remote-observation imaging hardware ($4,000).
Facilities $7K
[#9] Quarantine/observation room buildout and immediate-post-exposure observation space and related small structural work (one-time).
Sop And Training Dev $3K
[#7] Development of handling SOPs and initial training materials/instructor time (one-time development & initial training).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $444K/yr
Staff Wages $237K/yr
[#4, #5] Incremental assignment of two security officers for access/emergency response (~2 FTEs, ~$117,000/yr) and allocated research/handling staffing including Level-2 researchers and med-tech allocation (~$120,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $127K/yr
[#7, #8, #11, #18] Annual testing program budget and experiments (~$60,000/yr), ongoing research funding for mitigation studies (~$50,000/yr), refresher training/drills (~$2,000/yr), and psychological evaluation/counseling allocation (~$15,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#14] Annual contingency/reserve for cover-up/OPSEC/legal/PR responses in the event of exposure (~$10k–$50k/yr; mid-range allocation used).
Personnel Replacement Buffer $20K/yr
[#19] Recurring buffer for overtime, temporary backfills, and contractors to cover exposed staff or sick leave (~$10k–$30k/yr).
Long Term Liability Reserve $20K/yr
[#20] Reserve for long-term cultural/psychological monitoring, accommodation, or disability payments arising from persistent effects (~$5k–$50k/yr; midpoint allocation).
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #12, #15, #17] Cabinet-level humidity/power (~$300/yr), CCTV/monitoring storage & maintenance (~$1,500/yr), quarantine room restocking/drills (~$1,000/yr), secure server/backup maintenance (~$1,200/yr), annual locker replacement contingency (~$1,000/yr), and remote-imaging maintenance (~$500/yr).
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#13] Budgeted average for occasional inter-site secure transport/armored courier (~$2k–$5k per event, budgeted ~$3,000/yr as expected average).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#6, #16] Medical consumables & replacement leads/medicines (~$1,500/yr) and small consumables/PPE (~$500/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $444K/yr
92.4% probability / year
Uneventful year with standard testing and routine containment operations.
normal_testing routine_maintenance no_unplanned_exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $472K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$28K vs baseline
Single accidental exposure or localized containment incident requiring additional medical/psychological care and short-term backfill.
single_staff_exposure emergency_medical_response short_term_backfill
🚨 Major Incident $594K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Multiple personnel affected or an extended containment event requiring quarantine, large-scale medical/psychological treatment and investigation.
multi_person_exposure extended_quarantine external_investigation
🚨 Public Exposure $694K/yr
0.1% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Event with potential public awareness requiring major PR/legal containment, witness management, and extensive cover operations.
unauthorized_public_exposure media_attention legal_action
🚨 Research Breakthrough $544K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Research uncovers a path toward mitigation that requires scaling up experiments, additional hires, and capital equipment.
promising_mitigation_results scale_up_experiments capital_equipment_purchase
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#4] Two incremental security officers assigned for access periods and emergency response (2 FTE equivalent).
Research Scientist / Technician 1 [#5] Allocated research/handling staffing (fractional equivalents across site; approximated as 1.0 FTE equivalent to match allocated salary portion).
Medical Officer (on-call) 0 [#5, #6] Med-tech/nurse support is budgeted as an on-call/allocated cost within research staffing and consumables; no dedicated full FTE assumed here.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates and ranges for most costs, enabling a moderate-confidence estimate. Uncertainty remains in recurring research intensity (item #18), psychological caseload variability (#8), choice between hiring versus reallocating existing security/research staff (#4,#5), and infrequent per-event transport/incident frequency. Midpoint selections and conservative assumptions were used where ranges were supplied.
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