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SCP-2456 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2456
Expected annual
$26.8M
One-time setup
$375.2M
Annual recurring
$25.1M
Personnel
44
Establishing containment requires ~USD 375 million in one-time capital (driven by contingency reserves, MOBAB prototype and global surge capacity) and recurring operations on the order of USD 25M/year (driven by R&D, MTF staffing, and global monitoring/logistics). Major breaches could add hundreds of millions in emergency response and deployment costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $375.2M
Containment Contingency Fund $200.0M
[#20] Large liquid reserve for emergency mass-response, immediately available for surge deployments and mass amnestic distribution.
Mobab Prototype And Planning $130.0M
[#21] Prototype development and logistics planning for Protocol MOBAB (prototype + deployment planning).
High End R And D Initial $20.0M
[#30] Initial program capital for reality-warp mitigation and high-end physics modelling capability.
Memetic Kill Agent Development $12.5M
[#14] R&D program to develop Class-III memetic kill agents (prototype development budget).
Equipment $4.8M
[#2, #8, #9, #11] Dedicated HVAC installation, MTF field kit hardware, field transport fleet purchase, and secure transport containers/Faraday/audio-proof stowage.
Facilities $3.6M
[#1, #4, #9, #26] Construction/retrofit of Class-III MKHC suites, climate-controlled vault setup and helipad/decontamination facility adjustments.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#14, #16, #18] Research lab buildout and initial instrumentation (includes initial dispensers for memetic kill-agent R&D), initial research program setup, and air-gapped research cluster hardware.
Long Term Subject Housing Initial $625K
[#28] Initial setup costs for specialized long-term housing for contained β-instances (assumes setup for multiple subjects).
Memetic Kill Agent Stockpile Initial $600K
[#15] Initial stockpile purchase of consumable cartridges/agent stock for facility and field dispensers.
Webcrawler Development $400K
[#5] Initial engineering and deployment of WebCrawler GH739U (Lorem Ipsum) including memetic keyword tuning and compliance work.
Archive Digitization One Time $275K
[#19] One-time cost to digitize sensitive manuscripts with automated redaction and secure offline backups.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.1M/yr
Research And Monitoring $14.6M/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #19, #22, #29, #30, #31] Ongoing thematic neutralization R&D, specialist hires (psycholinguists/theologians), secure IT/air‑gapped cluster ops, archive maintenance, global monitoring/epidemiology, red-team/compliance, high-end R&D ongoing, and containment audit/third‑party contracts.
Staff Wages $4.8M/yr
[#7, #12] Salaries/benefits for MTF ψ-10 team and on-site medical staff (core containment/security payroll).
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#23] Ongoing legal/diplomatic/cover-up budgets and baseline media influence operations.
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#10, #24, #9] Field transport operations (fuel/maintenance/pilots/charter) plus per-mission covert overhead averaged for expected annual overseas missions.
Supplies And Consumables $875K/yr
[#13, #15, #26, #32] Class‑D amnestic production & stockpile replenishment, memetic-agent replenishment, decontamination operations/contracts, and miscellaneous consumables.
Training Drills $500K/yr
[#25] Regular containment training, simulations, tabletop exercises, and interagency drills.
Staff Support $350K/yr
[#27] Staff mental-health care, indemnities, overtime reserves, and long-term counseling for exposed personnel.
Webcrawler Operations $300K/yr
[#6] Cloud/colocation costs, storage, ML tuning, and analyst support for WebCrawler GH739U operations (servers + analysts included).
Long Term Subject Housing Recurring $180K/yr
[#28] Ongoing care, staffing, medical, and security for contained β-instances (per-subject recurring costs aggregated).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#4, #1] Maintenance, multi-factor access control upkeep, and structural servicing for vaults and containment suites.
Hvac Operation Energy $100K/yr
[#2, #3] Continuous power and fuel for high-load HVAC, negative-pressure systems, filtration, and agent-dispensing readiness.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.1M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, monitoring, and R&D proceed as planned.
no major outbreaks routine R&D and monitoring periodic deployments only
🚨 Minor Incident $27.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or small cluster requiring multiple overseas retrievals, surge amnestic use, and elevated legal/cover efforts.
localized β-instance clusters 3–5 overseas retrieval missions surge amnestic deployments
🚨 Major Breach $175.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Significant outbreak approaching epidemic threshold requiring partial deployment of contingency reserves, large-scale MOBAB mobilization/planning, mass suppression, and international emergency operations.
widespread β-instance transmission regional epidemic threshold approached mass amnestic/memetic countermeasure deployment
👥 Personnel 44 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent / Security (ψ-10) 30 [#7] Field/deployment team with memetic SOP training; represents the full MTF complement assigned to SCP-2456 operations.
Medical Officer / Medics 4 [#12] On-site physicians, emergency medics, and psychiatry support for α/β handling and post-event care.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#2, #3, #26] Facilities/HVAC/filtration maintenance and decontamination support staff.
Administrative Staff 6 [#31, #23] Site admin, logistics coordinators, and legal/cover liaison support (day-to-day operations).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16, #21] Program leadership and interagency coordination for containment and MOBAB planning.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges provided in analyst notes; many single-shot risks (contingency fund, MOBAB) dominate one-time costs and have large uncertainty. Recurring R&D and global monitoring scale depend heavily on policy choices and threat prevalence, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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