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SCP-2467 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2467
Expected annual
$130.4M
One-time setup
$841.6M
Annual recurring
$122.9M
Personnel
25
Initial capital costs are very large (~$842M) driven primarily by a dedicated satellite constellation, acquisition/armament of a Legend‑class cutter, and associated maritime hardware. Recurring annual costs are substantial (~$123M/year), dominated by cutter operations, vessel replacement/reserve funds, and logistics/surveillance/analysis.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $841.6M
Equipment $747.9M
[#1, #5, #6, #9, #10, #11, #12, #14, #22, #23, #27] Satellite constellation + ground stations; Legend-class cutter acquisition; cutter armament; RHIBs and davits; small collection boats; initial trauma gear; ocean buoys; industrial ROVs; secure transport vehicles; communications hardware; PPE/decon installations.
Contingency And Escalation Reserve One Time $60.0M
[#30] Recommended one-time contingency/escalation reserve fund.
Facilities $30.0M
[#15] Secure coastal research site / pier and lab construction.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.7M
[#4, #17, #18, #19, #24] Predictive software development and initial model/tooling; initial specialized forensic equipment; secure clinical imaging/ward upgrades for mind-affecting research; initial amnestic kits/training; initial ingestion/ingest/archival tools.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $122.9M/yr
Logistics And Transport $85.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #22, #30] Cutter operational costs (crew, maintenance, fuel, dockage); amortized replacement/contingency reserve for cutter loss/refit; RHIB and small craft maintenance; small watercraft operational fuel/decontamination costs; secure transport and vehicle operations; recurring contingency fund (amortized).
Supplies And Consumables $7.3M/yr
[#6, #16, #19, #27] Cutter munitions/munitions maintenance; hazardous biological/human remains processing and disposal per-cadaver costs; amnestic drugs and field kits (recurring consumables); PPE consumables and replacements.
Research And Monitoring $6.9M/yr
[#4, #14, #17, #18, #24, #25, #26, #29] Predictive model maintenance and data licensing; ROV/submersible operators and maintenance; forensic/material analysis recurring costs; clinical research and long-term studies for mind-affecting anomaly; data storage/indexing (recurring); training/drills; environmental remediation/public-health monitoring; psychological care/long-term treatment.
No Aircraft Redundancy Premium $6.0M/yr
[#13] Premium for redundancy due to no-aircraft restriction (increased sea/space assets and longer patrols).
Cover Story And Legal $5.6M/yr
[#20, #21, #28] Disinformation campaigns and paid cover operations; witness management and compensation funds; ongoing legal counsel, diplomacy, and covert liaison costs.
Satellite Operations And Compute $5.0M/yr
[#2] Satellite tasking, imagery processing, archive storage and leased cloud/GPU compute for predictive models and change detection.
Facilities Maintenance $3.9M/yr
[#12, #15, #23] Maintenance and utilities for secure coastal site and pier; buoy maintenance, telemetry, and communications upkeep.
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#3] Analysts, forecasting team and 24/7 watch staff (~25 personnel at fully-loaded ~$90k each).
At Sea Rescue And Medical Recurring $600K/yr
[#11] Recurring costs for trained rescue teams, paramedics, SAR training, medevac procedures and consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $122.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled patrols, routine waste collection, ongoing research, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_surveillance regular_waste_processing
🚨 Minor Incident $132.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized boarding/abduction or waste-dump event requiring emergency response, increased salvage, additional amnestics and disinformation.
boarding_event waste_retrieval_surge public_witnesses
🚨 Major Breach $422.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Large multi-vessel engagement or severe damage/loss of SCPS Sunderland requiring replacement/major refit, international inquiries and large-scale covert operations.
multi-vessel_incident cutter_damage_or_loss international_exposure
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Analysts, Forecasting & Watch Staff 25 [#3] 24/7 watch/forecast team; fully-loaded ~$90k per person (matches staff_wages entry).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most major cost drivers (satellites, cutter, recurring patrols), enabling middling confidence in ballpark estimates; significant uncertainty remains in scenario frequencies, choice of midpoints within wide ranges, and whether Foundation already owns naval/satellite assets.
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