SCP-2508 None ~ medium confidence
SCP-2508
Expected annual
$225K
One-time setup
$417K
Annual recurring
$200K
Personnel
1
Initial setup is modest (hundreds of thousands) with ongoing annual costs driven primarily by resident compensation, contingency/response budgets, and periodic mobile operations; optional advanced in-situ lab purchases and large contingency reserves are the main potential capital spikes.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $417K
Death Benefit Reserve $100K
[#11] One-time death benefit / family payout reserve to cover disappearance or death benefits.
Opportunity Cost Replacement $75K
[#20] Programmatic one-time-equivalent charge for the lost operative (replacement/training/recruitment cost).
Advanced In Situ Lab Equipment $50K
[#9] Optional higher-tier portable lab (portable sequencer, qPCR, centrifuge) — optional capital spike if purchased.
Contingency Reserve $50K
[#18] Emergency reserve / contingency fund held for unpredictable anomalies or extraordinary purchases.
Resident Recruitment $30K
[#1] Recruitment, screening, travel, enhanced psychological screening and selection cohort.
Long Term Archival $30K
[#19] Reserve for future ingestion, forensic analysis and long-term archival if retrieval becomes possible.
Containment Sop Development Initial $20K
[#14] Initial legal & ethics review, SOP development, program manager setup costs.
Heating Power Setup $14K
[#7] Off-grid power/heating purchase and installation (solar array, battery bank, backup generator, fuel cache).
Pre Deployment Training $10K
[#3] Orientations, survival/maintenance training, SOP documentation and laminated copies left in the house.
In Situ Research Kit $10K
[#8] Rugged air-gapped laptop, cameras, audio recorders, environmental sensors, portable microscope, sample containers.
Initial Food Water Cache $9K
[#5] Multi-year initial food/water/consumables cache (3–5 year sized estimate; alternative is recurring resupply).
Containment Kit $6K
[#4] Tools, spare pump components, sealants, carpentry tools, batteries, long-lived consumables sized for multi-year use.
Pre Entry Medical $5K
[#2] Full physical, psychiatric baseline, dental, vaccinations and fitness-for-isolation assessments (per resident).
Psychological Support Initial $4K
[#12] Pre-entry counseling materials, in-situ mental health toolkit (books, pre-recorded therapy modules) initial kit.
Medical Supplies Initial $4K
[#6] Initial on-site medical supplies and emergency pharmaceuticals, first-aid/trauma stock.
Documentation Initial $350
[#10] Laminated SOPs, logbooks, waterproof storage, archival supplies (initial purchase).
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $200K/yr
Staff Wages $100K/yr
[#11] Resident salary/compensation, hazard pay and benefits (fully loaded annual cost).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#16] Mobile reaction/contingency team budgets, periodic operations, simulated entry/exit experiments and small field campaigns.
Cover Story And Legal $38K/yr
[#15, #14] Annual cover-up/public remediation budget (amnestic operations, witness control, compensation) plus ongoing legal/ethics oversight/admin (~$7,500/year).
Research And Monitoring $5K/yr
[#17] Data custody, external archival metadata upkeep, cataloguing any retrievable items and program recordkeeping.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#7, #13] Fuel replacement for heating/backup (~annual) and routine inspection/structural repair materials (monthly checks, seasonal hatch management).
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#5, #6, #10, #12] Baseline food/consumables (~$2,000/year), medical replacement supplies (~$750/year), documentation replacements (~$125/year), psychological refreshes (~$500/year).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $200K/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine maintenance, one resident, standard cover-up budget and no major operations.
steady operations no large incidents standard resupply via caches
🚨 Minor Incident $240K/yr
25.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Year with elevated civilian encounters or a localized incident requiring additional MTF response, added amnestics and remediation.
civilian encounter(s) increased amnestic use local MTF deployment
🚨 Major Operation Attempt $500K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Planned expensive experimental campaign (attempted retrieval/scale-up research, on-site advanced lab purchase, or large MTF operation).
experimental retrieval attempt purchase/deployment of advanced lab equipment large-scale MTF operation
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Resident / Isolated Operator 1 Primary on-site individual; compensation accounted for in staff_wages recurring costs [#11].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide concrete line items and ranges for most costs, but uncertainties remain about resupply strategy, frequency of civilian encounters, and whether optional advanced lab equipment or recurring contingency replenishments will be purchased; those unknowns justify a medium confidence.
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