SCP-2510 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2510
Expected annual
$258K
One-time setup
$674K
Annual recurring
$251K
Personnel
2
One-time setup and investigative costs are moderately low (~$674,000) but dominated by a large contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are modest (~$250,800/yr) driven mainly by personnel, monitoring, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $674K
Contingency Escalation Reserve $500K
[#16] Reserved contingency for escalation (mass amnestics, emergency PR/operations) — recommended minimum reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $65K
[#4, #15] Forensic autopsy and advanced testing (#4) plus initial containment/research push and lab supply setup (#15).
Vehicle Purchase $35K
[#17] One-time purchase of an unmarked vehicle for site visits and rapid response.
Legal Cover Setup $15K
[#10] One-time legal/setup fees for coordinating falsified records and initial negotiations with local officials.
Amnestic Administration Initial $12K
[#5] Initial amnestic administration to named individuals (Zachary Amos + McArthur family members).
Equipment $9K
[#2, #12] Refrigerated transfer crate (#2) and containment equipment/PPE/evidence locker (#12) capital purchase and initial outlay.
Psych Care Initial $9K
[#14] Initial block of psychological care/therapy for amnestic recipients (initial sessions).
It And Records Setup $8K
[#13] Secure database setup, encrypted backups and initial configuration for logs and records.
Public Relations One Time $6K
[#11] One-time costs for staging a plausible public narrative, obituary/memorial, and reimbursements.
Disposal Final $6K
[#20] One-time potential costs for cremation, secure disposal, or long-term transfer if final disposition decided.
Transport And Escort $5K
[#3] Secure refrigerated transport, security escort and chain-of-custody for moving remains to storage.
Archival Setup $2K
[#19] Initial archival storage setup for evidence retention and chain-of-custody records.
Local Payments One Time $2K
[#21] Discretionary one-time goodwill/hush payments to local officials or service providers.
Facilities $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $251K/yr
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#7] Small dedicated monitoring team (approx. 2.0 FTE fully loaded — part-time mix).
Research And Monitoring $35K/yr
[#9, #15] Local surveillance/intelligence and ongoing containment research/analysis/experiments.
Logistics And Transport $16K/yr
[#8, #17] Regular site visits (travel, lodging) plus annual vehicle operating costs (fuel, insurance, maintenance).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#10, #22] Ongoing legal retainer and annual legal/cover coordination; includes insurance/liability retainer estimates.
Administrative Overhead $12K/yr
[#23] Fractional HR/procurement/finance/admin support for contracts, FOIA mitigation and paperwork.
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#1, #18] Ongoing secure cold-storage rental/maintenance and energy/utilities for freezer if internally housed.
Amnestic Followup $6K/yr
[#6] Periodic booster amnestics and associated medical follow-up for treated individuals.
Psychological Care Ongoing $3K/yr
[#14] Ongoing psychiatric monitoring and follow-up therapy for amnestic recipients.
It Hosting And Maintenance $1K/yr
[#13] Hosting, maintenance and secure backups for records and logs.
Local Payments Recurring $1K/yr
[#21] Occasional small stipends or goodwill fees to local contacts to maintain cover.
Archival Storage Audit $600/yr
[#19] Annual audit and archival storage fees for retained evidence and records.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $251K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine monitoring, personnel costs, and periodic maintenance with no public incidents.
no public exposure routine monitoring only
🚨 Minor Incident $301K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small-scale exposure or leak requiring additional targeted amnestic administrations, extra PR/legal work and limited emergency response.
local journalist or social media attention family/legal dispute small public disclosure
🚨 Major Escalation $751K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or deliberate disclosure requiring mass amnestic operations, large-scale PR campaign, emergency logistics and possible temporary isolation measures.
widespread publicization mass disclosure event legal injunctions forcing public response
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.25 Part-time field agents assigned to monitoring and rapid response (partial FTE).
Medical Officer / Psychologist 0.5 Part-time medic/psychologist for amnestic administration and follow-up.
Administrative Staff 0.25 Fractional admin support for scheduling, procurement and liaison tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear categories, so estimates for routine costs and initial work are medium-confidence; substantial uncertainty remains around escalation scenarios and the size/timing of contingency spending, so confidence is not high.
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