SCP-2539 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2539
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
21
Initial capital/setup costs (barriers, fencing, sensors, vehicles, research rigging) are roughly $2.37M including optional BSL-3; baseline annual operating costs are approximately $2.80M per year. Main recurring drivers are continuous security staffing, research personnel, legal/contingency reserves, and specialized medical/forensic contracts.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Bsl3 Upgrade $1.2M
[#24] Optional on-site BSL-3 construction/certification (midpoint of $1.0M–$1.5M). Optional; included here for full-capability scenario.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#11] Initial research and test rigging (instrumented vehicles, telemetry, instrumentation) estimated midpoint of $200k–$500k.
Facilities $325K
[#1, #2, #7] Two hardened vehicle gates, crash-rated bollards, perimeter fencing and installation, and modular operations building / command post construction ($120k + $95k + $110k).
Equipment $205K
[#4, #5] Patrol vehicles purchase ($120,000) and fixed surveillance/sensor network setup hardware excluding storage appliances ($85,000).
Remote Power And Comms $60K
[#6] Trenched power, solar + battery backups, UPS at nodes, redundant encrypted comms setup.
Cover Story Setup $50K
[#14] Initial legal/administrative setup for covert cover story, permits and local liaison setup.
Medical Setup $35K
[#8] On-site medical/triage equipment (IVs, oxygen, monitors) purchase.
Cold Storage Purchase $30K
[#17] Portable mortuary refrigerator / refrigerated trailer purchase.
Decontamination Setup $25K
[#18] Decon showers / washdown bay and initial consumables/PPE stock.
Video Data Storage $15K
[#16] Initial secure NVR/appliance purchase and offsite archival setup.
Drones Purchase $15K
[#21] Drone package purchase for aerial patrols/ROIs (helicopter not included here).
Training Setup $12K
[#20] Initial SOP development and high-intensity training/drill setup.
Baseline Summary $0
[#25] Reference summary estimate (no additional cost).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $700K/yr
[#11] Research personnel ($600k) and test operations (vehicles, D-class, consumables $100k) annual budget for controlled testing.
Staff Wages $600K/yr
[#3] 24/7 on-site security staffing (salaries, benefits, hazard pay; ~9 FTEs per analyst note).
Data Analysis Staff $360K/yr
[#23] Salaries for anthropologist/psychologist/geophysicist/engineer (4 FTEs ~ $90k each incl benefits).
Contingency Fund $200K/yr
[#13] Rapid response fund for accidents, legal settlements, emergency operations; replenished as needed.
D Class Program $150K/yr
[#12] D-class/personnel management, medical oversight and program governance costs.
Bsl3 Operational $150K/yr
[#24] Optional BSL-3 operating costs if on-site high-containment capability is constructed.
Legal Litigation Reserve $100K/yr
[#15] Litigation reserve for occasional defense/settlements if required.
Helicopter Retainer $100K/yr
[#21] Optional helicopter retainer/occasional flight hours if rapid aerial intercepts are retained (expensive; optional).
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#14] Ongoing covert cover/PR and local government liaison fees; periodic payments and administrative costs.
Medical Contracts $60K/yr
[#8] Ambulance/EMS contract, consumables restocking and medical supplies replacement.
Forensic Testing $50K/yr
[#10] Outsourced pathology, DNA/toxicology/radiology and histology budget (plans ~$50k/year to cover expected caseload).
Psych Aftercare $50K/yr
[#19] Counseling and long-term healthcare budgets for recovered civilians (budgeted ~$50k/year for caseload expected).
Legal Support $40K/yr
[#15] Retained counsel for subpoenas, FOI/record redaction, and routine legal support.
Surveillance Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance, storage/retention costs, encryption and tamper-detection upkeep for cameras/sensors.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#4] Patrol vehicle operations (fuel, tyres, service) ongoing costs.
Video Data Storage $20K/yr
[#16] Offsite/cloud archival fees, IT personnel costs for secure backups and chain-of-custody storage.
Road Maintenance $20K/yr
[#22] Real maintenance work and visible contractor activity to support the cover story.
Training $18K/yr
[#20] Periodic refresher training, certifications and mock-intercept drills.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#7] Utilities, limited building maintenance for modular operations building and site upkeep.
Decontamination Operations $8K/yr
[#18] Consumables, solvents, PPE replacement and routine decon bay maintenance.
Drones $8K/yr
[#21] Drone maintenance, operator training and occasional payload replacement.
Remote Power And Comms $6K/yr
[#6] Power, satellite/WAN fees, battery replacement cycles and periodic comms maintenance.
Biohazard Handling $5K/yr
[#9] Routine PPE, packaging and secure courier handling baseline; per-incident transport/containment is $2k–$10k (handled in incident scenarios).
Cold Storage Maintenance $3K/yr
[#17] Electricity and maintenance for refrigerated evidence storage.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
90.9% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: containment in place, regular research and monitoring, no major incidents or lawsuits.
continuous security operations routine testing and data collection no public exposure incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Single-vehicle incident requiring emergency medical transfer, forensic testing and evidence transport; limited local publicity.
single recovered vehicle with scorched tissue ambulance activation and outsourced forensic panels limited legal/PR engagement
🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Multiple affected civilians or a publicized event requiring helicopter response, expanded forensic campaigns, larger legal costs and PR containment.
multiple casualties or high-profile media exposure extensive forensic and medical support significant legal/settlement costs
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.8M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Severe public disaster, multiple deaths/injuries, large-scale litigation and rebuilding or severe PR costs.
mass-casualty event civil litigation and government inquiry facility rebuild or prolonged operations surge
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#3] 24/7 gate teams, rover and supervisor as estimated in analyst notes (~9 FTEs).
Research Scientist 8 [#11, #23] Combined research/test personnel and data-analysis staff (research/test program + 4 mid-level scientists), budgeted across research_and_monitoring and data_analysis_staff.
Administrative Staff 2 [#14, #15] Local liaison, records management and administrative support for cover story and legal coordination.
Medical Officer 1 [#8, #12] On-site triage/medical oversight and coordination with ambulance contract and D-class medical oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#6, #18, #7] Facilities/equipment maintenance (power/comms, decon bay, vehicles and site maintenance).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates, but many entries are ranges and several large optional items (helicopter retainer, on-site BSL-3) significantly change totals. Probabilities for incidents are expert judgment given Euclid-class stability; uncertainty around incident frequency and per-incident forensic/legal costs reduces confidence to medium.
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