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SCP-2569 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2569
Expected annual
$367K
One-time setup
$677K
Annual recurring
$360K
Personnel
2.1
Initial containment and basic monitoring are modest (~$677k one-time) while recurring annual operations are driven by medical readiness, research staffing, and cover-up/legal funds (~$360k/yr). Large public-exposure incidents could add six-figure to million-dollar emergency and remediation costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $677K
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#15] One-time emergency contingency reserve for large public-exposure response (quarantine centers, mass transfusion mobilization).
Facilities $75K
[#1, #4] Secure storage locker retrofitting and prepared testing chamber retrofit (locker + electrical interlock, tamper seals, and sealed biohazard-capable test room).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $58K
[#12, #23] Laboratory analysis equipment baseline (centrifuge/spectrophotometer/hematology analyzer; not high-end MS) plus sample storage freezer (–80°C).
Equipment $41K
[#2, #5, #6, #18] Local CCTV/alarm hardware, remote activation/robotic handling hardware, medical monitors (one-time), and secure transport crate.
Initial Personnel Medical And Typing $3K
[#9, #14] Initial pre-test blood typing/cross-matching for staff (10-person example) and initial personnel medical surveillance/clearance costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $360K/yr
Staff Wages $160K/yr
[#3, #7, #13] Incremental security staffing/site checks (~0.5–1.0 FTE), retained on-call medical standby (anesthesiology/ICU standby if retained), and research staffing (senior researcher fraction + lab technician fraction).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#16, #17] Recurring fund for amnestic/disinformation operations, legal/PR retainers and settlement/cover-up costs (annualized small operation retainer + incident readiness).
Supplies And Consumables $26K/yr
[#6, #8, #10, #11, #12, #20, #23] Arterial kits/consumables per experiment, blood-bank standby inventory overhead, PPE and biohazard supplies, biohazard waste disposal, lab reagents/consumables, decontamination/post-test cleanup, and sample consumables/electricity for freezers.
Research And Monitoring $10K/yr
[#12, #21, #22] Ongoing laboratory analysis/outsourced testing/calibration, secure recordkeeping/IT, and training/drills/protocol updates.
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#2, #24, #25] CCTV/alarm monitoring & maintenance, small-item containment maintenance and repairs, and allocated site overhead/utilities share.
Personnel Medical Surveillance $3K/yr
[#14] Ongoing periodic health screens, bloodborne-pathogen training, and re-testing of staff.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#18] Average annual allocation for occasional secure moves/transport paperwork (per-move staff/fuel costs averaged over time).
Incident Autopsy Per Incident $0/yr
[#19] Forensic autopsy/body handling costs are per-incident ($2k–$10k) and are modeled as scenario-driven costs rather than baseline recurring expenditure.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $360K/yr
96.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with periodic testing, maintained medical readiness, and routine monitoring; no major public incidents.
scheduled_testing routine_maintenance no_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $441K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$81K vs baseline
Isolated unauthorized powering or single-civilian exposure resulting in one or a small number of casualties and a limited containment/amnestic/legal response.
unauthorized_powering single_fatality witness_exposure
🚨 Major Public Exposure $1.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Public activation with multiple civilian exposures requiring mass medical response, large-scale quarantines, heavy PR/legal remediation and large amnestic operations.
public_activation multiple_civilians_exposed mass_casualties
👥 Personnel 2.1 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.75 [#3] Part-time / incremental security staffing (periodic checks, alarm responses).
Research Scientist (Senior Researcher) 0.3 [#13] Fractional FTE senior researcher oversight for experiments and protocol approval.
Research Technician / Lab Tech 0.75 [#13] Lab technician time for sample handling, experiments, and analysis.
Medical Officer / On-call ICU Specialist 0.3 [#7] Retained on-call anesthesiology/critical-care standby for experiments (retainer-based equivalence).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, but many items have wide ranges and incident-driven costs are highly uncertain; medium confidence in baseline/recurring estimates and low confidence in incident frequency/magnitude.
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