SCP-2571 — SCP-2571 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2571 Euclid ? low confidence

SCP-2571

Expected annual

$36.2M

One-time setup

$57.0M

Annual recurring

$35.2M

Personnel

Total one-time build and stockpile costs are dominated by large contingency and stockpile purchases (~$57.1M one-time); recurring annual costs driven by medical treatment and longitudinal care programs (~$34.6M/yr) and operational monitoring/MTF staffing.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $57.0M

Large Scale Stockpile $30.0M

[#28] Optional large-scale stockpile (e.g., 100k doses) for surge/mass-treatment capability.

Incident Response Reserve $10.0M

[#24] Liquid contingency fund reserved for emergency deployments, mass events, or major public leaks.

Equipment $6.8M

[#7, #13, #17, #21, #3] Neuroimaging purchase / scanners (#13), MTF equipment & vehicles (#7), mobile clinic vehicle units (#17), field forensic/audio kit (#21), initial data-storage hardware (#3).

Facilities $4.2M

[#12, #16, #13] Clinical research facility build-out (#12), secure containment ward build (#16), and neuroimaging installation costs (installation portion of #13).

Amnestic Stockpile Initial $3.5M

[#9] Initial stockpile example (10,000 doses) of amnestic medications and supplies purchased for inventory.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M

[#4, #15, #29] Initial detection model R&D and training-data/setup (#4), controlled replication/VR simulation suite initial build (#15), initial training/certification curriculum development (#29).

I O Mandela Development $1.0M

[#1] One-time development of the I/O-MANDELA detector/monitoring backbone, NLP model integration, scraping/parsing pipelines.

Cybersecurity Hardening $175K

[#23] Initial hardening, encryption, VPNs, red-team work and OPSEC setup.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $35.2M/yr

Longitudinal Followup $12.5M/yr

[#11] Longitudinal psychiatric follow-up program for cohorts (baseline cohort estimate ~10,000 patients).

Amnestic Administration $6.5M/yr

[#10] Per-case amnestic administration & aftercare costs (baseline assumed from analyst estimate treating ~10,000 cases/year).

Staff Wages $6.0M/yr

[#5, #6, #14, #25] Wages for online analysts (#5), MTF personnel salaries (#6), research staffing (#14), and ethics/compliance team salaries (#25).

Misc Overhead $2.5M/yr

[#30] Utilities, admin support, insurance, HR and facility overhead allocations.

Secure Containment Ward Ops $2.0M/yr

[#16] Staffing and clinical operations for secure containment ward (observation beds, clinical staff).

Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr

[#8, #17, #20] MTF recurring operational expenses (fuel/maintenance/travel) (#8), mobile clinic staffing/resupply and ops (#17), and international liaison & travel (#20).

Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr

[#2, #3, #4, #13, #15, #26] Ongoing I/O-MANDELA operations and monitoring (#2), data storage & retention recurring (#3), detection model maintenance (#4), neuroimaging operations/scan costs if outsourced (#13), controlled replication ops (#15), and epidemiological/monitoring studies (#26).

Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr

[#18, #19] Public relations / cover operations (#18) and legal / covert administrative fees (takedowns, sealed records) (#19).

Archival Records Maintenance $600K/yr

[#26] Archival and long-term records maintenance, epidemiological surveys and cohort tracking.

Cybersecurity Recurring $250K/yr

[#23] Ongoing cybersecurity, encrypted storage, red-team testing, and OPSEC maintenance.

Community Outreach $200K/yr

[#22] Budget for online suppression, sockpuppets, paid moderators, and alternative narrative seeding.

Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr

[#27] Consumables and laboratory supplies (PPE, reagents, single-use medical supplies).

Training Recurring $138K/yr

[#29] Recurring training, refresher courses, and certification program costs.

Field Forensic Maintenance $20K/yr

[#21] Annual maintenance/calibration for field forensic & audio analysis kits.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $35.2M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with routine monitoring, scheduled treatments, and no large spikes or public exposure.

steady detection rates no major online viral events standard caseload (~10k cases/year)

🚨 Minor Cluster Outbreak $37.4M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$2.2M vs baseline

Localized cluster or viral post producing a noticeable increase in cases and temporary elevated deployment and PR activity.

regional social media virality localized cluster of new cases short-term spike in MTF deployments

🚨 Major Mass Event $79.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$44.4M vs baseline

Widespread outbreak or mass event requiring large-scale emergency response, surge treatments, and heavy use of contingency resources.

rapid global online surge mass exposure event large public leak necessitating emergency response

👥 Personnel 51 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	30	[#6] MTF Phi-7 operational personnel (assumed 30 personnel at fully-burdened cost basis).
Online Analyst / Moderator	9	[#5] Human analysts to triage I/O-MANDELA alerts (6–12 range; midpoint used).
Research Scientist	9	[#14] Neuroscientists, memetics researchers, and data scientists (6–12 FTE range; midpoint used).
Ethics / Compliance Officer	3	[#25] Ethics oversight, documentation, and audit team (staffing to cover review and audits).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are based on wide analyst ranges, uncertain prevalence and transmission vectors, and many high-variance items (treatment rates, stockpile needs, contingency events). Many costs (medical treatment volumes, breach frequency) are poorly constrained.

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