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SCP-2618 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2618
Expected annual
$203K
One-time setup
$236K
Annual recurring
$200K
Personnel
2
Initial one-time setup estimated at a few hundred thousand USD driven by a secure locker upgrade, specialized Faraday enclosure and analytical program; recurring annual costs are dominated by medical monitoring, specialist consultants, staffing, and a replenished contingency/reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $236K
Risk Reserve Establishment $100K
[#23] Establishment of an insurance-equivalent reserve / contingency capital fund to cover unknowns and major incidents.
Facilities $45K
[#1, #13] Locker upgrade (secure small-vault with EMI shielding) and isolation/quarantine room outfitting estimated as one-time facility work.
Equipment $38K
[#2, #3, #8, #12, #15] Faraday containment enclosure, electrical measurement/monitoring instruments, initial protective handling gear, secure transport case, and one-time documentation/storage system setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#10] Initial mineralogical/isotopic analysis and full-material characterization (XRD, SEM/EDS, ICP-MS) and associated lab startup costs.
Disposal Decommissioning $15K
[#22] One-time cost for secure destruction or transfer to deep storage and associated reviews.
Training Program Development $4K
[#7] One-time development of training program and SOPs for safe handling and emergency procedures.
Transport Case $2K
[#12] Secure transport case (one-time purchase) for controlled movement between rooms/sites.
Replica Production $2K
[#11] Initial production of inert replicas for training/cover; small stock (3–10 replicas) purchased one-time.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $200K/yr
Staff Wages $70K/yr
[#9, #5] Allocated wages: partial/security coverage (~$20k/yr allocation) and retained part-time psychologist (~$50k/yr) to meet mandatory psychological exam and counseling needs.
Specialist Consultants $25K/yr
[#20] Part-time consultant fees (neurologist, electrical engineer, mineralogist) aggregated annually.
Risk Reserve Replenishment $20K/yr
[#23] Ongoing replenishment to maintain risk premium / insurance-equivalent reserve.
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#10] Follow-up experiments, analytical follow-ups and ongoing materials analysis budgeted annually.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#16] Legal/PR and cover-story management budget for leak handling and civilian explanations.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $10K/yr
[#13] Annual replenishment/turnover to maintain contingency fund liquidity for incident response.
Incident Response Costs $10K/yr
[#14] Budgeted annual average for search/retrieval/medical recovery operations (per-incident range $20k–$150k, averaged into yearly reserve).
Per Activation Costs $10K/yr
[#24] Incremental operational costs per activation (staff time, exams, consumables); assumed ~10 activations/yr at ~$1,000 average per activation.
Medical Diagnostics $8K/yr
[#4] Regular neurological monitoring (EEG/EMG/cognitive testing) estimated ~$4,000/yr per monitored individual; assumed 2 regular monitored individuals.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#12] Per-move logistics, vetted courier/team costs and specialized transport for <10 moves/year scenario.
Psychological Services $5K/yr
[#5] Additional per-exam counseling, ongoing psychological services outside retained part-time psychologist.
Maintenance And Calibration $4K/yr
[#19] Annual calibration of measurement instruments, Faraday cage integrity checks, and lock servicing.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#17, #13] Annual utilities and basic facility upkeep (incremental power, HVAC for test room) and upkeep of isolation capability.
Documentation And Storage $3K/yr
[#15] Secure logs, archival maintenance and storage (digital & physical) ongoing costs.
Archival Storage $2K/yr
[#21] Climate-controlled evidence/component storage and long-term archival retention costs.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#8, #18] Replacement protective equipment, batteries, connectors, labeling and decontamination consumables.
Medication Provision $1K/yr
[#6] Sertraline provision, dispensing and adherence monitoring for medicated users (assumed ~2 medicated users).
Training Refreshers $1K/yr
[#7] Annual refresher courses for trainees (~$200–$500/trainee; assumed small team).
Replica Maintenance $400/yr
[#11] Minimal annual maintenance for inert replicas.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $200K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled testing, routine monitoring, and no major incidents.
routine_testing no_incident regular_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $230K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Localized mis-teleportation or medical event requiring search/retrieval and treatment, limited repairs.
mis-teleportation_local medical_treatment on-site_recovery
🚨 Major Breach $350K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Complex incident (inter-site retrieval, severe casualties, extended investigation and legal/PR response).
inter-site_retrieval severe_medical_care legal_exposure
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#9] One security officer allocation (partial FTE equivalent budgeted at ~$20k/yr).
Psychologist 1 [#5] One retained part-time psychologist for mandatory exams and counseling (~$50k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided explicit ranges for nearly every cost element, enabling midpoint estimates; remaining uncertainty comes from assumed number of regular users, activation frequency, and chosen midpoint selections.
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