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SCP-2627 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2627
Expected annual
$12.2M
One-time setup
$23.5M
Annual recurring
$12.0M
Personnel
45
Initial capital outlay is approximately $23.5M driven by mapping program reserves and contingency funds; annual recurring costs are roughly $12.0M/yr dominated by personnel wages (MTF + researchers + admin) and ongoing mapping/research operations and cover/legal/community costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.5M
Scale Up Contingency $10.5M
[#26] Reserved capital for long-term containment/scale-up if anomaly expands or requires relocation/major cover-up.
Long Range Mapping Program $6.0M
[#16] Initial multi-year continental mapping program (2–3 year program capital).
Contingency Reserve $2.8M
[#20] Reserve capital for large settlements, contingencies, or major one-off expenses.
Equipment $1.5M
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #15] Surveillance systems, comms hardware, initial drone fleet, underwater/ROV equipment, boats/vehicles purchase, and initial data/server hardware.
Local Compensation Fund $1.1M
[#18] Initial compensation/mitigation seed fund for businesses and community impacts.
Cover Repairs Fund $550K
[#17] Upfront environmental mitigation / cover repairs fund to create public record and contract work.
Facilities $440K
[#3, #4, #21] Temporary command/support modular units, one-time generator purchases/installation, and permanent bollards/barricades and site-hardening.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#12] Mobile wet lab benching, cold-chain (-80°C), centrifuges, PCR and basic BSL-2 setup for initial experiments.
Legal Lobbying One Time $275K
[#19] One-time legal/lobbying/setup fees to arrange permits, retainers, and initial regulatory influence.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.0M/yr
Staff Wages $6.7M/yr
[#1, #2, #11, #22] 24 MTF operatives (~$3.85M), 6 on-site command/admin (~$900k), ~9 research staff (~$1.66M), and ~6 local contract guards (~$320k). Includes salaries, benefits, hazard pay, training, and administration.
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #14, #15, #16] Satellite/comms service contracts, drone operations & maintenance, underwater survey ops, sample storage/sequencing, data storage/compute/licenses, and ongoing mapping program operations.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#17, #18, #19, #25] Ongoing cover/repairs spending, community relations/PR, legal retainers, and archival/reporting costs to maintain the official record and local relationships.
Opportunity Cost Monitoring $550K/yr
[#27] Annual allowance for monitoring economic/political impacts and mitigation planning.
Logistics And Transport $380K/yr
[#9, #10] Fuel/maintenance for boats and vehicles, plus charter/retainer costs for rapid-response air support (helicopter).
Supplies And Consumables $285K/yr
[#12, #13, #29] Lab consumables, animal testing costs/veterinary/hazardous disposal, and miscellaneous PPE/small equipment replacements.
Incident Response Reserve $175K/yr
[#28] Per-year reserve to fund emergency staged responses, media management, and rapid cover operations (standing reserve).
Insurance And Contingency Premiums $125K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance/legal premium equivalents and smaller contingency replenishment for liabilities.
Facilities Maintenance $117K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #21] Maintenance for modular facilities, generator fuel & maintenance, surveillance maintenance, and bollard/gate upkeep.
Training And Exercises $90K/yr
[#24] Regular drills, drone/operator training, search/rescue and contamination-avoidance exercises.
Medical And Biohazard $60K/yr
[#23] Contracts for medical response, morgue access, hazardous waste disposal, and ad-hoc offsite medical/lab services.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, research, and cover activities only.
stable containment routine research operations no public incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $12.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
A civilian crosses SCP-2627 or a small localized exposure occurs requiring emergency response, PR, and minor payouts.
unauthorized crossing small medical emergency local media attention
🚨 Major Breach $15.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or larger-scale incident requiring major legal settlements, large emergency operations, and accelerated containment measures.
public breach/exposure civilian harm large-scale incident response
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $15.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Discovery of new properties or expansion of anomaly triggers an accelerated, larger-scale research & mapping program requiring significant additional annual spending.
new anomalous properties discovered evidence of network expansion decision to aggressively scale mapping
👥 Personnel 45 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#1] 24 operatives (12 per side) to provide 24/7 coverage, shifts, and relief; cost included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Command & Admin Staff 6 [#2] Site commander, security chief, admin, logistics coordinator, base medic, liaison; cost included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 9 [#11] Biologists, ecologists, mycologists, geologists, remote-sensing analysts and data scientists consolidated as ~9 research staff; cost included in staff_wages.
Local Contractor Guard 6 [#22] 4–8 local guards used for cover/checkpoints (midpoint 6); cost included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but many items (mapping program scale, contingency reserves, legal/compensation strategy) are intentionally open-ended and range widely, producing moderate confidence in point estimates.
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