SCP-2631
Keter
~
medium confidence
SCP-2631
Expected annual
$449.6M
One-time setup
$158.1B
Annual recurring
$410.5M
Personnel
620
Foundation one-time capital and contingency set-aside ~ $158.1 billion (driven primarily by a $150B itemized catastrophic contingency reserve plus specialized CRUCIFORM SNARE satellites, launch and weaponization). Recurring annual Foundation operational cost ~ $410.5M/year (staff, satellite stationkeeping, MTF readiness, research and OPSEC). This corrected estimate replaces previously un‑itemized round billions with explicitly itemized large cost drivers and corrects implausible near-zero incident figures from the prior report.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $158.1B
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $410.5M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$410.5M/yr
Normal year: ongoing monitoring, maintenance, research, cover operations and readiness; no major activations of CRUCIFORM SNARE or full MTF deployments.
no_alerts_from_SNEWS_or_JPL_Sentry
no_activation_of_CRUCIFORM_SNARE
routine_operations_only
🚨
Minor Incident
$419.0M/yr
Localized activation or false-positive requiring MTF scramble, short-duration intercept sorties, limited evacuations, localized cleanup and forensic analysis; no satellite sacrifice.
localized_deployment_of_MTF_teams
short-term_air_intercepts_and_overtime
limited_localized_radiological_cleanup
🚨
Major Breach
$5.1B/yr
Activation requiring use of CRUCIFORM SNARE (sacrificing satellites), multiple tactical intercepts, substantial replacement and recovery operations, and international liaison.
confirmed_relativistic_object_impact_threat
execution_of_99-Tripurantaka_with_satellite_detonations
widespread_deployment_of_MTF_assets_and_asset_replacement
🚨
Catastrophic Breach
$150.4B/yr
Full XK/NK-scale event (planet-scale collision or equivalent) requiring activation and large draws on the program's catastrophic contingency reserve for global mitigation, rescue, relocation and reconstruction.
planet-scale_collision_or_global_nuclear-scale_event
widespread_uncontainable_environmental_damage
activation_of_catastrophic_contingency_measures
Personnel
620 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Satellite mission-control / Operations engineers | 60 | 24/7 telemetry/operators for CRUCIFORM SNARE and ground control; includes shift coverage and ops engineers. |
| Satellite systems / Space engineers | 40 | Systems engineering, guidance, avionics, testing and on-orbit maintenance planning. |
| Security Officer / MTF Ground Agent | 200 | Frontline MTF ground operatives and armed security for vaults, field teams and site protection; includes EOD specialists and decon teams. |
| Pilot / Aircrew / MTF Sigma-31 | 30 | Operational aircrew, mission pilots and weapons officers required to maintain an interceptor alert posture. |
| Maintenance / Aircraft & Ground Engineers | 80 | Aircraft and satellite maintenance staff, avionics techs and launch-integration engineers. |
| Security Custodial / Nuclear Handling Staff | 50 | Vault custodians, radiological technicians, special handling teams for warhead custody and certification. |
| Research Scientist | 60 | Neutrino detection, cognitive-effects, materials and sensor R&D staff. |
| Data Analysts / Signal Processing | 36 | Long-baseline signal analysts, neutrino and radio processing teams and HPC operations. |
| Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison / Cover Ops | 50 | Procurement, legal liaison, cover-company administration and program management. |
| Medical Officer / Radiological Medicine | 10 | Medical surge, radiological triage and occupational health. |
| Site Director / Executive Staff | 4 | Program leadership and high-level liaison with O5/partners. |
Confidence Notes
This re-evaluation materially corrected the prior report by: (1) itemizing all large (> $1B) one-time costs (especially the catastrophic reserve) per Rule 1 instead of presenting a single unbroken round number; (2) correcting implausible near-zero incident costs and providing realistic incremental costs for minor and major activations; (3) separating Foundation operational spend from systemic economic impacts per Rule 4. Residual uncertainty remains in satellite unit-costs, warhead replacement profiles and the probability estimates for rare activations, so confidence is 'medium.'