SCP-2648 — SCP-2648 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2648 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2648

Expected annual

$2.5M

One-time setup

$2.7M

Annual recurring

$2.4M

Personnel

Estimated one-time capital costs of $2,741,000 for containment upgrades and equipment, with recurring annual costs of $2,636,950 driven primarily by staff wages, ongoing research/monitoring, custody costs, maintenance, and remediation reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M

Facilities $1.2M

[#1, #2, #3] Reinforced shipping-container containment unit, short-term perimeter cordon, optional full-property perimeter fencing/towers and associated structural/site work. Range-based items summarized to midpoint estimates.

Relocation Attempt $600K

[#20] Contingency for heavy-lift/specialty transport and major relocation attempt (cranes, permits, biocontainment transport).

Equipment $550K

[#11, #12, #13, #14, #15, #16, #26] Mobile command center/trailer, surveillance hardware, on-site NAS/servers, patrol/off-road vehicles, drones, PPE initial kit, and generator/solar/battery hardware (one-time purchases).

Environmental Remediation Event $200K

[#10] One-time remediation for a serious contamination event (pump-and-treat, soil removal).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K

[#19] One-time purchases of scientific instrumentation and lab buildout (spectrometers, sensor arrays, portable imaging if feasible).

Legal Setup $30K

[#22] One-time legal/cover-story setup and liaison startup costs.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr

Staff Wages $520K/yr

[#4] Salaries/benefits for 5–7 containment personnel (modeled as 6 full-time-equivalent positions at foundation-loaded pay, includes hazard/overtime/overhead).

Research And Monitoring $425K/yr

[#7, #9, #19, #13, #29] MTF Lambda-14 monitoring operations, laboratory analyses per sample, ongoing scientific research staffing/supplies, cloud data retention and bandwidth, and long-term archival monitoring fund.

Administrative Overhead $329K/yr

[#30] Administrative overhead, procurement, auditing and insurance contingencies (estimated at ~15% of operational recurring budget).

Holding Custody $275K/yr

[#21] Costs to maintain, feed, medically monitor, and guard POI-2648 on-site indefinitely (guards, support staff, sedative/medical supplies).

Facilities Maintenance $251K/yr

[#2, #3, #12, #14, #28, #26] Maintenance and power for short-term and full-property perimeters, surveillance maintenance, vehicle maintenance/fuel, replacement/repairs, and generator/solar fuel & upkeep.

Cover Story And Legal $170K/yr

[#22, #27, #23] Recurring legal/cover-story/local liaison budgets, minimal civilian compensation/relocation assistance, and amnestics inventory/administration (Class-B).

Environmental Remediation Reserve $100K/yr

[#10] Annual reserve for environmental remediation contingencies (pump-and-treat, soil remediation readiness).

Incident Response Fund $100K/yr

[#25] Contingency fund for rapid redeployment, MTF call-outs, equipment replacement, and emergency remediation.

Logistics And Transport $85K/yr

[#6, #15] Transport/fuel/mileage for rotating personnel and MTF deployments, and drone pilot/insurance/parts recurring costs.

Medical Support $50K/yr

[#17] On-call EMT/paramedic contracts, medevac readiness contracts, trauma supplies, and medications for exposures.

Supplies And Consumables $37K/yr

[#8, #16, #18] Field sampling kits and consumables, PPE consumables/replacements, routine biohazard waste handling/disposal.

Training And Personnel Certification $30K/yr

[#24] Annual hazmat, containment, wilderness survival and related certification/training for containment staff.

Mobile Command Comms $20K/yr

[#11] Recurring satellite/comm/secure-link fees for mobile command center and continuous encrypted communications.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal year with continuous containment, routine monitoring, and no major incidents.

steady containment operations routine monitoring no major contamination or relocation

🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$445K vs baseline

Localized incident such as an escape attempt, vehicle accident caused by SCP, or targeted equipment damage requiring overtime, amnestics, and repair.

small containment breach or attack emergency medical evacuations equipment damage requiring replacement

🚨 Major Contamination Event $3.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline

Serious environmental contamination or spread requiring large-scale remediation, major legal/compensation payouts, or an urgent relocation attempt.

groundwater/soil contamination spreads off-property major cleanup or multi-party exposure forced relocation attempt or large-scale remediation

👥 Personnel 6 total

Role	Count	Notes
Containment Personnel (Site-42 rotation)	6	[#4] Five to seven personnel rotate on 28-day intervals; budget modeled as six full-time-equivalent containment/observation positions covered by staff_wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most categories, but many estimates are wide ranges (optional full-property works, remediation, relocation) and depend on uncertain operational choices; therefore confidence is medium.

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