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SCP-2653 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2653
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$6.3M
Annual recurring
$3.6M
Personnel
14
Initial one-time setup is approximately $6.31M, dominated by research startup, cell construction, and a contingency reserve; annual recurring costs are about $3.60M/yr, driven mainly by security wages, medical/psychiatric care, housing, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.3M
Contingency Reserve $2.6M
[#24] Worst-case contingency reserve fund for escalation, litigation, political fallout, or large manhunts (midpoint of analyst range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.4M
[#3, #14, #15, #25] Forensic laboratory analyses and instrument/time (chemical/isotope/DNA/printer forensics), deradicalization program design R&D, and research program startup (dedicated lab space and instrumentation); also maps to analyst summary startup ballpark.
Facilities $810K
[#4, #13] Cell construction/modification for humanoid containment cells ($300k–$1.2M for 10 cells; midpoint used) and hard/smooth anti-graffiti surface installations per cell (one-time surface modification).
Equipment $282K
[#1, #11, #12] Evidence-grade refrigerated locker/freezer with alarms ($8k–$25k), per-cell CCTV/recorder installations ($10k–$40k per cell aggregated), and air-gapped/content-filter hardware for media isolation.
Legal And Pr $110K
[#18] Immediate reimbursements, local PR and legal counsel for cover-up/liaison; baseline one-time retained.
Identification And Apprehension Field Ops $30K
[#17] Field investigation costs to find purchasers/exposed civilians (local/multi-site trace); midpoint local response used.
Amnestic Stockpile Initial $28K
[#19] Initial stockpile procurement, secure storage and disposal setup for amnestics and related training despite partial ineffectiveness.
No Writing Policy Rollout $25K
[#10] One-time policy rollout, signage, secure lockers, and procurement of secure voice-to-text/logging systems for no-writing policy enforcement.
Evidence Transport $6K
[#2] Secure forensic pickup/transport costs (agents, vehicle, tamper-evident packaging, fuel, temporary storage).
Controlled Food Policy Setup $6K
[#20] One-time procedural changes, signage, and cafeteria policy modifications to ban buns near containment areas.
Protective Footwear Initial $4K
[#9] Initial purchase/distribution of quality footwear and reusable protective shoe covers for interacting personnel.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #7] Guard payroll and benefits for continuous coverage (approx. 10 guards + relief) and specialized containment/controller salaries (4 specialists) as described.
Medical And Psychiatric Care $1.1M/yr
[#8] Inpatient psychiatric care, medications, specialized therapy and related recurring medical costs (estimated ~$150k/subject/yr for baseline 7 subjects).
Research And Monitoring $945K/yr
[#15, #14, #12, #22] Ongoing SCP research staff/supplies/trials, deradicalization pilot program operations, media/content curation and compliance monitoring, and containment audit/documentation overhead.
Long Term Housing $315K/yr
[#16] Housing/food/linen/utilities/recreational-compliant items for contained civilian subjects (estimated ~$45k/subject/yr for baseline 7 subjects).
Surveillance And Recording Maintenance $50K/yr
[#11] Annual storage, maintenance, and tamper-proofing services for CCTV/recording systems.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Ongoing cell utilities, general cleaning and anti-graffiti maintenance (labor and utilities) and evidence-locker power/maintenance.
Staff Psychological Screening $30K/yr
[#21] Recurring psychological screening, counseling, and staff rotation programs to limit spillover radicalization.
Protective Footwear Maintenance $14K/yr
[#9] Recurring replacement/laundering of protective shoe covers and footwear upkeep for interacting staff.
Cell Surface Replacement $12K/yr
[#13] Recurring replacement panels or daily-swap panels to prevent permanent markings from drawing behavior.
Food Policy Enforcement $12K/yr
[#20] Ongoing enforcement costs for no-bun policy and related compliance checks.
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#23] Misc consumables (sanitizers, tamper-evident bags, seals, routine replacement consumables).
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#18] Ongoing small-scale legal/PR monitoring and retainer costs for cover operations (baseline minimal recurring).
Amnestic Stockpile Replenishment $6K/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment and training for amnestic supplies despite limited efficacy.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Media Curation And Monitoring $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.6M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine containment, research, and care costs.
no major incidents steady subject population routine audits and research
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small-scale exposure or discovery of additional exposed civilians requiring field containment, modest legal claims, or higher-than-expected care costs.
discovery of additional exposed civilians localized litigation or settlement short-term increase in containment duties
🚨 Major Breach $6.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Containment failure(es) leading to escape/public incident, large manhunt, major litigation and political fallout requiring large contingency expenditure.
subject escape publicized civilian radicalization incident major litigation or political exposure
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#6] Continuous guard coverage (3 shifts + relief) estimated at ~8–12 guards; 10 used for baseline and included in staff_wages.
Specialized Containment Specialist / Controller 4 [#7] Trained controllers/escorts/monitoring staff (baseline small team of 4) included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items (facility mods, staffing, research), allowing mid-level confidence in ballpark figures; uncertainty remains in subject count (7–42), litigation risk and research timeline, so ranges are broad.
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