SCP-2672 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2672
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
4.05
Estimated one-time containment and mitigation setup is roughly $1.41M driven by POS monitoring development, legal/reserve set‑asides, and buyback/destruction reserves; ongoing annual costs are approximately $2.04M driven by legal/PR, monitoring/analysis, psychological support, and field retrieval operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Pos Monitoring Development $350K
[#4] POS-monitoring software development and initial covert deployment (development midpoint plus modest initial install budget).
Legal Defense Reserve $300K
[#15] Legal defense and litigation contingency reserve (one-time set-aside).
Buybacks Initial Reserve $200K
[#7] Initial buyback/reimbursement reserve (budgeted for a moderate-scale removal ~5,000 units at retail-equivalent).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#10, #11] Forensic lab setup and scientific instrumentation (forensics lab setup #10: $50,000; RF/audio equipment #11: $100,000).
Equipment $133K
[#1, #16, #17] Locker purchase/installation (#1: $3,000), initial secure-transport kit (#16: $10,000), and purchase of 3 dedicated retrieval vehicles (#17: $120,000).
Human Subjects Study Setup $100K
[#12] One small controlled human-subjects study setup (IRB-equivalent protocols, hospital/lab rental, medical staff, indemnities) budgeted conservatively despite O5 constraints.
E Waste Destruction Initial $100K
[#18] Bulk electronic-waste destruction budget (forensic-proof destruction for moderate volumes).
Opportunity Mitigation Initial $50K
[#26] Initial opportunity/reputational mitigation fund for retailers (promos, replacements) to prevent exposure.
Retail Recall Campaign $40K
[#6] Design, printing and discrete in-store notices for an initial recall campaign.
Legal Structuring $40K
[#9] One-time legal structuring and cover arrangements for covert operations and liability mitigation.
It Initial Setup $35K
[#19] Initial encrypted database and secure logging server setup and secure backups.
Training Development $15K
[#21] Initial development of training materials, safe-seizure protocols, and retail briefing modules.
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $665K/yr
[#9, #14, #15, #20, #23, #26] Recurring legal retainer and liaison (#9 ~$150k/yr), ongoing PR management (#14 ~$50k/yr), ongoing litigation costs (#15 ~$100k/yr), social media/web monitoring and content suppression (#20 ~$140k/yr), international/localization support (#23 ~$175k/yr), and ongoing opportunity/reputational mitigation (#26 ~$50k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $410K/yr
[#5, #10, #11, #24] Ongoing POS monitoring and escalation team (#5 ~ $225k/yr), per-unit forensic analysis workload (#10 recurring analyses estimated $80k/yr), contracted RF/audio test sessions (#11 ~ $30k/yr), and cross-object investigative work (#24 ~ $75k/yr).
Psychological Support $300K/yr
[#13] Counseling and victim management (~$1,500 per reported case assumed; modeled for ~200 reported cases → ~$300k/yr).
Staff Wages $255K/yr
[#2, #8] 0.05 FTE admin/record-keeping (#2 ~ $5k/yr) and regional covert operative team wages (#8 ~ $250k/yr for a 3–5 operative regional team; modeled as 4 operatives).
Logistics And Transport $190K/yr
[#3] Field seizure operations (agent time, vehicle mileage, per-diem and incidentals; modeled at ~$1,900/op * 100 seizures ≈ $190k/yr).
Emergency Incident Fund $125K/yr
[#22] Rapid-response contingency fund to manage spikes in police reports, reimbursements, and temporary operations (~$50k–$200k/yr; midpoint used).
It Hosting And Maintenance $50K/yr
[#19] Hosting, secure backups, audits, and ongoing IT maintenance for POS alert databases and logs.
Vehicle Maintenance $24K/yr
[#17] Maintenance, insurance and modest upkeep for 3 retrieval vehicles (~$8k/vehicle/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#16, #25] Per-seizure consumables and evidence consumables (#16 ~ $6k/yr assuming ~100 seizures) plus long-term archival storage overhead (#25 ~ $5k/yr for a small retained sample set).
Training Refresher $10K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher training and per-briefing costs budget (~$5k–$20k/yr; midpoint used).
Facilities Maintenance $200/yr
[#1] Locker electricity and basic maintenance (~$200/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, seizures, analysis, and steady PR/legal upkeep; no large-scale public exposure or mass buyback.
routine POS alerts periodic seizures standard monitoring and counseling caseload
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Localized spike in public reports requiring emergency response, limited buybacks/destruction, and increased legal/PR activity.
clustered police reports short-term media attention regional recall/buyback operation
🚨 Major Breach $5.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Widespread exposure or discovery of tens of thousands of units, requiring mass buyback/destruction, heavy litigation, and major PR/operational surge.
nationwide media exposure large-scale discovery of inventory class-action litigation or government inquiry
👥 Personnel 4.05 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#8] Regional covert retrieval/operative team (modeled at 3–5 operatives; 4 used here).
Administrative Staff 0.05 [#2] 0.05 FTE for access-control logging, chain-of-custody, and audit overhead.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and typical midpoints; many costs (number of stores/units in circulation, seizure frequency, litigation exposure) are uncertain, so figures are medium-confidence but could vary substantially if circulation scale differs.
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