SCP-2700 — SCP-2700 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2700 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-2700

Expected annual

$3.7M

One-time setup

$20.6M

Annual recurring

$3.7M

Personnel

Initial capital outlay is dominated by secure vault construction, major contingency reserves, and specialized instruments (~$20.6M one-time). Ongoing annual operations (security, technical staff, monitoring, and readiness) run roughly $3.6M/year, driven primarily by staff wages, specialized monitoring/research, and legal/cover overhead.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.6M

Decommissioning Fund $10.0M

[#25] Fund reserved for safe dismantling, hazardous-material disposal, and environmental remediation.

Contingency Reserve Insurance $5.0M

[#20] Insurance-style reserve for rapid nationwide response, remediation and legal fallout (program reserve).

Facilities $2.0M

[#1] Vault construction/retrofit: 10m x 5m x 10m concrete vault, blast doors, HVAC segregation, airlocks and structural reinforcement.

Beam Dump Engineering $1.0M

[#27] One-time engineering and construction of beam-dump/absorber infrastructure and Faraday containment hardware if required.

Transport Oncall Reserve $500K

[#24] On-call specialized vehicle/airlift leasing or contingency for emergency relocation capability.

Non Contact Instruments $400K

[#11] High-end spectrometers, high-speed imaging, neutron/gamma detectors, X-ray radiography equipment initial procurement.

Perimeter Security Hardware $300K

[#2] Fencing, vehicle barriers, anti-intrusion sensors, biometric turnstiles, mantrap vestibules, hardened CCTV, motion sensors, Faraday options.

Contamination Response Reserve $200K

[#14] One-time contingency stock for hazardous-material disposal contracts or emergency contaminated-material handling (event reserve).

Spare Shielding Materials $200K

[#22] Initial stock of replacement lead/tungsten shielding plates and certified disposal contracts.

Environmental Hvac $150K

[#6] Clean-room grade, vacuum-safe HVAC install, dedicated ducting, HEPA/charcoal filtration and negative-pressure cascade hardware.

Backup Power $150K

[#9] UPS, on-site diesel generator and switchgear for extended outages.

Classified Network $150K

[#10] Secure servers, isolated SCADA/telemetry hardware, encrypted logging and off-site backup provisioning.

Robotic Manipulators $150K

[#13] Remote manipulators and vacuum-compatible robotic tooling to avoid human exposure.

Monitoring Instrumentation $100K

[#7] CCTV, redundant sensors, vibration/acoustic/vacuum gauges, secure data-logging hardware initial purchase.

Heavy Lift Equipment $100K

[#21] Cranes, forklifts, hoists, fixtures required to handle heavy shielding/components.

Rf Shielding $60K

[#29] Initial RF isolation / Faraday shielding installation to prevent remote activation.

Vacuum Maintenance Equipment $50K

[#8] Turbomolecular/backing pumps, vacuum gauges, feedthrough spares and initial spare parts stock.

Personnel Clearance Processing $50K

[#16] Initial background investigations, polygraphs and clearance processing startup costs for program personnel.

Radiation Instruments $30K

[#5] Initial radiation/hazard instrumentation, calibration sources and dosimetry setup.

Equipment $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr

Staff Wages $1.9M/yr

[#3, #4] 24/7 armed security payroll (guards + supervisors) and specialized on-site technical staff (2–4 FTEs) with hazard/clearance premiums.

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#15, #23] Legal/regulatory overhead, front companies, classified procurement overhead, public-facing cover maintenance and PR/FOIA handling.

Research And Monitoring $280K/yr

[#12, #19, #26] Annual material analysis/research budgets, secure archival/data preservation, provenance archival climate control and classified data suppression budgets included here.

Program Management $250K/yr

[#30] Program manager(s), accounting, procurement and classified logistics overhead.

Personnel Clearance Program $150K/yr

[#16] Recurrent background investigations, training, retention bonuses and clearance maintenance programs.

Radiation Monitoring And Rso $120K/yr

[#5] Recurring RSO salary, periodic surveys, dosimetry, calibration and instrument servicing.

Cybersecurity Ops $100K/yr

[#10] SOC/cybersecurity staffing, audits, intrusion detection and secure backups.

Emergency Response Drills $100K/yr

[#18] On-call hazmat/EOD contracts, yearly drills and mutual-aid arrangements.

Medical Surveillance And Healthcare $80K/yr

[#17] Baseline and periodic medicals, biodosimetry capability and emergency healthcare readiness.

Hvac Operation Maintenance $60K/yr

[#6] Energy costs, filter replacements, and HVAC maintenance for clean-room / vacuum-safe systems.

Power Fuel Maintenance $50K/yr

[#9] Fuel, testing and maintenance for on-site generator and UPS upkeep.

Beam Dump Readiness $50K/yr

[#27] Readiness staffing, inspection and maintenance for beam-dump/absorber systems if constructed.

Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr

[#14, #28] PPE, contaminated-material handling consumables, calibration gases and reference materials; routine consumables and disposables.

Non Contact Operation $40K/yr

[#11] Calibration, operation and support contracts for spectrometers, detectors and non-contact diagnostics.

Perimeter Security Maintenance $30K/yr

[#2] Annual maintenance and service contracts for fencing, barriers, sensors and CCTV upkeep.

Robotic Maintenance $30K/yr

[#13] Maintenance and spare parts for remote manipulators and inspection robots.

Monitoring Maintenance $25K/yr

[#7] Storage, data retention, redundant logging and maintenance of continuous monitoring instrumentation.

Spare Shielding Refresh $20K/yr

[#22] Inventory refresh and disposal contracts for shielding materials.

Heavy Lift Maintenance $15K/yr

[#21] Service contracts and maintenance for cranes/forklifts/hoists.

Vacuum Spares Consumables $10K/yr

[#8] Spares, seal replacements and consumables for vacuum pumps and gauges.

Rf Monitoring $10K/yr

[#29] Active RF monitoring and periodic testing of shielding/isolation.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr

94.5% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with routine operations, maintenance, monitoring and staff payroll only.

routine_operations no_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline

Localized contamination or equipment failure requiring emergency response, limited remediation and use of contingency reserves.

localized_contamination unexpected_particle_emission equipment_failure

🚨 Major Breach $15.6M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$11.9M vs baseline

Attempted activation, significant containment breach, or serious radiological/hazardous release requiring large-scale remediation, emergency national response and partial decommissioning.

attempted_activation containment_loss YK_event_threat

👥 Personnel 19 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	12 guards across 3 shifts to provide continuous armed presence; core of security payroll included in staff_wages. [#3]
Security Supervisor	2	Supervisory staff for rotations and leave coverage; included in staff_wages. [#3]
Research Scientist	3	Specialized scientists (accelerator physicist, materials scientist, etc.); included in technical staff wages. [#4, #12]
Engineer / Maintenance	2	Electrical/mechanical engineers for monitoring, vacuum and systems maintenance; included in technical staff wages. [#4, #8]

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from analyst ranges in the notes; many costs (contingency reserves, decommissioning, beam-dump engineering) have wide ranges and depend on unknown anomalous behaviors, so confidence is medium rather than high.

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