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SCP-2717 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-2717
Expected annual
$10.1M
One-time setup
$57.1M
Annual recurring
$9.8M
Personnel
21
Estimated one-time buildout and contingency/decommissioning dominate capital costs (~$57.1M), while recurring annual operations are driven by controlled-substance procurement (propofol), specialist research staff, radiation operations and contingency reserves (~$9.78M/year). Major uncertainty centers on daily effluent volume which can change sterilization and municipal costs by orders of magnitude.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $57.1M
Decommissioning $52.5M
[#26] Long-term decommissioning and major sewer remediation (worst-case planning reserve).
Equipment $2.1M
[#1, #7, #10, #11, #17, #18] Inline pumps, benchtop irradiator (baseline), remote retrieval tooling, robotic biopsy tool purchase/development, security/monitoring installation, and shielding/modeling costs.
Facilities $1.3M
[#2, #15, #16, #21] Pump foundations/civil work, airlock & positive-pressure systems, on-site med room setup, and HVAC installs.
Emergency Contingency $550K
[#16] Emergency fund / evacuation contingency reserved (one-time portion described with med/emergency planning).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $298K
[#9, #12, #24] Effluent testing equipment amortization, cold-storage/freezers, and secure IT/database setup.
Electrical Infrastructure $162K
[#3] Upgrade/transformer, UPS and emergency power infrastructure (one-time portion).
Reservoir Lining $150K
[#6] Underground effluent reservoir lining (acetal resin) installation.
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#23] One-time cover-story / legal setup and municipal agreements.
Flow Metering $45K
[#8] Forensic hydrology/flow metering campaign to resolve 20 Ml ambiguity.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.8M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $3.2M/yr
[#4, #15, #10] Daily propofol procurement and controlled-substance handling costs, PPE recertification, and solids incineration/disposal per-event.
Contingency Reserve $2.8M/yr
[#25] Recommended annual reserve for emergency remediation, rapid response, large-scale sterilization or temporary relocation.
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#9, #12, #22] Effluent testing events, per-sample sequencing/histology processing, and research program consumables/equipment amortization (specialist program salaries accounted in this category's budget line items).
Staff Wages $665K/yr
[#11, #17, #16] Robotic operator/support labor, security staff wages (baseline 4–8 FTEs), and on-site medic staffing.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#23] Legal retainers, PR/cover-story maintenance and municipal non-disclosure arrangements.
Insurance $275K/yr
[#27] Internal insurance/liability accounting for medical claims, environmental damage and third-party claims.
Radiation Program $212K/yr
[#18] Radiation safety officer salary & program costs, dosimetry, licensing/inspection fees (recurring components of radiation safety).
Power And Energy $145K/yr
[#3] Ongoing electricity to run pumps and control systems (baseline ~50–100 kW continuous estimate converted to annual electricity expense).
Logistics And Transport $120K/yr
[#13] Quarterly pruning operations: crew logistics, decontamination, confined-space rescue standby and associated operational costs.
Municipal Coordination $110K/yr
[#19] Administrative coordination with municipal wastewater authorities and covert funding/surcharges (baseline administrative portion).
D Class Management $110K/yr
[#14] Medical screening, psychological evaluation, annual health monitoring and personnel management costs associated with D-class handling.
Radiation Operations $100K/yr
[#7] Operational costs, licensing and routine inspections for a small/low-throughput cobalt-60 irradiator (baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $92K/yr
[#21, #12] HVAC and climate-control ongoing costs; freezer maintenance/power.
Data Management $85K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure hosting, backups and IT support for sequencing/surveillance databases and access logs.
Equipment Maintenance $60K/yr
[#11] Spares, maintenance and upkeep for robotic biopsy tools and other remote equipment.
Controlled Substance Compliance $55K/yr
[#5] Auditing, secure inventory systems, diversion controls, legal counsel and background checks specific to propofol handling.
Environmental Monitoring $55K/yr
[#20] Upstream/downstream environmental sensors, groundwater testing, pest control and consultant reporting.
Reservoir Maintenance $28K/yr
[#6] Periodic liner replacement/maintenance and access port servicing for the effluent reservoir.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.8M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year under the small/benign-volume assumption with routine maintenance, daily propofol administration, testing, and reserve contributions.
routine_operations no_major_breach small_effluent_volume_assumption
🚨 Minor Incident $10.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident during pruning or sampling causing increased medical response, cleanup, temporary shutdowns and short-term remediation.
pruning_casualties localized_breach unexpected_biomass_growth
🚨 Industrial Volume $21.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Discovery/confirmation that daily effluent is large (megaliters/day), triggering industrial-scale sterilization, municipal upgrades, and large energy and coordination costs.
discovery_of_megaliter_flow municipal_detection need_for_industrial_irradiation
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#17] Baseline guarded 24/7 access, 4–8 FTEs estimated; mid-point used.
Research Scientist 5 [#22] Molecular biologists/histopathologists/bioengineers; salary pool budgeted for 3–6 specialists.
Radiation Safety Officer 1 [#18] Required if onsite cobalt-60 irradiator is operated; recurring RSO program costs budgeted.
Medical Officer 2 [#16] On-site medics for pruning operations and immediate response; staffing budgeted in recurring med costs.
Robotic Operator / Technician 1 [#11] Operator/support labor for robotic biopsy tool; recurring labor budgeted.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #21] Electrical/HVAC/maintenance capability for pumps, transformers and infrastructure upgrades.
Class-D Personnel 6 [#13, #14] Three quarterly crews (2 D-class each) present during pruning operations; costs for recruitment/management are budgeted.
📋 Confidence Notes
Major uncertainties (the reported '20 Ml' ambiguity, the massive daily propofol volume, and the choice between benchtop vs industrial irradiation) produce order-of-magnitude variance. Many estimates are midpoints of wide ranges and depend on local (Amsterdam/EU) regulatory and municipal constraints.
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