SCP-2720 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2720
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$7.8M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
10
One-time capital costs are dominated by the optional purchase of the Awashima Hotel (multi-million USD). Recurring annual costs for a conservative operational posture are roughly $1.75M/yr driven by staff wages, field/research operations, security, insurance, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.8M
Facilities $7.3M
[#1, #2, #15, #30] Purchase/long-term control of Awashima Hotel (purchase option), structural reinforcement/secure-room retrofits, quarantine build-out, and potential decommissioning/restoration costs combined.
Equipment $370K
[#3, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #21, #29] Access-control hardware, call-recording setup, secure data storage hardware, CCTV, field safety gear, small research boat(s), drones/ROVs, GPS/tagging equipment, and specialized monitoring/experiment instrumentation.
Vehicle Fleet $40K
[#24] Purchase of local utility vehicle(s) for staff/equipment transport.
Training Initial $15K
[#23] Initial group training and certifications (animal handling, cliff/marine rescue, HAZMAT).
Permitting Application Fees $6K
[#16] One-time permitting/application fees associated with local compliance.
Decon Training $6K
[#22] Initial decontamination/biosecurity training and setup.
Archive Setup $5K
[#27] Secure physical archive environmental-control setup for Document 2720-Ku.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $575K/yr
[#4, #5, #7] Security staffing (24/7 guards), containment researchers/monitoring staff, and part-time translator/analyst salaries.
Property Lease $300K/yr
[#1] Alternative to purchase: long-term lease expense estimate for controlling Awashima Hotel (recurring option).
Research And Monitoring $214K/yr
[#14, #20, #26, #21, #8, #29] Diagnostic lab services (sequencing/pathology), field monitoring/tracking of manifested penguins, long-term ecological study costs, GPS/telemetry subscriptions, IT hosting/security, and specialized experiment operations.
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#28] Hotel-site operating expenses and utilities maintained for the containment site (electricity, water, cleaning, laundry).
Emergency Fund $112K/yr
[#19] Contingency reserve for rapid response, emergency extractions, injured animals, or unforeseen incidents.
Insurance And Hush Funds $112K/yr
[#25] Annual insurance/indemnity allocations and reserved funds for discreet payments or legal defense.
Quarantine Operations $75K/yr
[#15] Operating costs for quarantine/isolation and rehabilitation (feed, heating, staff, permits) if animals are brought into baseline.
Veterinary Services $45K/yr
[#6] Retainer for contracted marine/wildlife veterinary services, per-call costs, and emergency veterinary fund allocation.
Permitting And Legal $42K/yr
[#16] Annual legal retainers, compliance liaison, and municipality liaison costs to maintain cover and permits.
Logistics And Transport $28K/yr
[#11, #24] Fuel/maintenance/mooring for marine craft and vehicle operating costs.
Specialized Equipment Operation $28K/yr
[#29] Operational and analysis costs for custom extra-dimensional monitoring rigs and R&D instrumentation.
Cover Story And Legal $22K/yr
[#17] Cover-story/public relations budget to manage hotel reputation and occasional guest compensation.
Lost Revenue $16K/yr
[#18] Estimated lost hotel revenue from reserving/locking room(s) for containment operations.
Auditing And Compliance $15K/yr
[#30] Annual internal audits and compliance reviews to ensure containment standards are met.
Decontamination And Biosecurity $9K/yr
[#22] Ongoing consumables and procedures for decontamination and biosecurity to prevent cross-ecosystem contamination.
Drone Rov Maintenance $6K/yr
[#12] Spare batteries, repairs, and service contracts for drones/ROVs/remote-sensing gear.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#13, #10] Biological sampling consumables, PPE, and field-equipment consumables/replacements.
Cctv Maintenance $4K/yr
[#9] CCTV system maintenance, video storage and repair.
Training Recurring $4K/yr
[#23] Annual recertification costs for field and HAZMAT training.
Access Control Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance and service for card/biometric systems and key-control hardware.
Telecom Services $2K/yr
[#7] Dedicated phone lines, call-recording telecom service and monthly connectivity.
Archive Operations $1K/yr
[#27] Ongoing environmental controls and secure-access operations for Document 2720-Ku archive.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing containment/monitoring under a lease posture; no major incidents or capital purchases.
routine_operations scheduled_fieldwork
🚨 Purchase Property $8.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$6.7M vs baseline
Foundation decides to purchase Awashima Hotel outright during the year (one-time capital outlay replaces lease payments).
decision_to_purchase_property long_term_control
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$52K vs baseline
Localized emergency requiring veterinary intervention, short-term field surge, and small legal/cover expenditures.
injured_animals external_investigator_contact
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$472K vs baseline
Significant containment incident (e.g., leak/exposure, media leak or GoI interference) requiring large-scale response, decontamination, and legal costs.
physical_breach media_exposure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] 24/7 on-site guard coverage with rotation and redundancy.
Research Scientist 1 [#5] Senior containment/research lead for penguin biology and monitoring.
Field Technician 2 [#5] Field technicians for observations, sample collection, and iteration access.
Translator / Analyst 1 [#7] Japanese-language call logging, transcription, and Document 2720-Ku archival support (part-time role counted as 1 headcount).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have well-defined ranges (staffing, equipment, leases) but several choices are optional (purchase vs lease, scale of research, ownership of boats/ROVs). Estimates are midpoint-based aggregates from ranges provided; significant variance remains if Foundation chooses purchase or scales up R&D.
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