SCP-2733 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2733
Expected annual
$736K
One-time setup
$345K
Annual recurring
$723K
Personnel
4
Initial containment and setup estimated at $345,000 (one-time), driven by site hardening, lab setup and contingency reserve; annual operations estimated at $723,000/year, driven primarily by staff wages (embedded agents and research staff), security/patrols, D‑class management, medical/waste handling and ongoing research.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $345K
Facilities $100K
[#1, #2, #10] Property acquisition, structural refurbishment/hardening and HVAC installation/bringing building up to code; includes asbestos/lead remediation and structural reinforcement around cabinet.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#16, #25] On-site pathology/research equipment (biosafety cabinet, centrifuge, -80°C freezer, autoclave) and initial forensic R&D program startup funds for tracking/experimental R&D.
Equipment $87K
[#3, #7, #8, #14, #20, #22, #23] Secure access hardware, surveillance/CCTV hardware, UPS/generator purchase, initial on-site medical kit, initial data/IT hardware, vehicle purchase, and specialized cabinet/shelf containment sensors and tamper hardware.
Incident Response Fund $50K
[#24] Reserve contingency fund for emergency relocation, containment breach response, large-scale decontamination, legal/PR crisis response.
Cover Story Initial $8K
[#21] Initial cover-story, legal/relations payoffs, property tax/permits or small bribes to establish plausible civilian narrative.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $723K/yr
Staff Wages $380K/yr
[#5, #17] Salaries, benefits and hazard pay for two embedded resident agents and research team (one research scientist + one technician); includes rotation/replacement budgeting.
On Call Security And Patrols $100K/yr
[#6] Periodic MTF/security patrols, rapid-response staffing and deterrence patrols (does not replace embedded agents).
Dclass Procurement And Management $75K/yr
[#18] Procurement, transport, secure accommodation, sedation and logistics for D‑Class use in sanctioned testing; cover arrangements included.
Medical Care And Casualty Handling $30K/yr
[#15] Emergency medical care, mortuary handling, hospital contracts, reagents for toxicology/histology and casualty contingencies.
Research And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing lab supplies, assay kits, imaging/per-test costs and consumables for pathology research and routine experiments.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#21] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, local relations, payments, property taxes under cover entities and legal counsel.
Psychological Support And Counseling $12K/yr
[#19] Ongoing counseling, psychiatric care and PTS mitigation for embedded agents, researchers and rotating personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#4, #9, #10, #11] Recurring maintenance/licensing for access control and biometric systems, fuel and generator service/battery replacement, HVAC energy & servicing, and basic utilities (electric/water/sewer).
Personnel Replacement And Recruitment $10K/yr
[#28] Recruiting, backgrounding, covert identity fabrication and relocation costs for replacements and contractors.
Media Monitoring And Counterintelligence $10K/yr
[#29] Monitoring social media/local news/ghost-hunting communities and takedown/PR budget to suppress or misdirect interest.
Routine Decontamination $8K/yr
[#27] Periodic full-room sterilization, laundering/replacement of contaminated soft goods and post-test deep-clean activities.
Archival Storage And Preservation $8K/yr
[#30] Long-term secure storage (cryopreservation, cold storage) and cataloging for retained tissue samples and digital data.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#12] Biological PPE and disposable consumables (gloves, gowns, disinfectants, biohazard bags, single-use instruments).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#22] Vehicle operation: fuel, insurance, maintenance and covert registration for a single unmarked site vehicle.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $5K/yr
[#13] Contracted regulated medical waste pick-up, incineration and per-incident cleanup costs.
Medical Supplies And Oncall $5K/yr
[#14] Restocking on-site trauma/medical kits and periodic on-call paramedic/medical support for high-risk tests.
Data It Operations $5K/yr
[#20] Ongoing IT operations, encryption management, hardened servers, backups and cyber-security support to prevent leaks.
Training And Certification $5K/yr
[#26] Recurring staff training, certifications and refresher courses (BSL procedures, trauma management, biometrics operations).
Surveillance Storage And Backup $3K/yr
[#7] NVR storage, encrypted off-site backups and cloud storage costs for CCTV/audio logs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $723K/yr
79.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, research, maintenance and cover-story activities.
no incidents scheduled research only
🚨 Minor Incident $738K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical event requiring extra cleanup, overtime, medical care and modest PR/legal support.
small bleaching/cleanup minor staff injury or D-class casualty
🚨 Major Breach $873K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public accidental exposure requiring emergency relocation/large-scale decontamination and legal response.
civilian discovery large-scale contamination or relocation
🚨 Public Exposure $1.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
High-profile exposure (media/ghost-hunters or leaked data) forcing major legal action, extended PR suppression and possible containment upgrade/relocation.
viral leak investigative journalism or local uproar
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (embedded resident agents) 2 Two deep-cover resident agents living on-site; salaries and hazard pay included in staff_wages [#5].
Research Scientist 1 Lead researcher responsible for experiments and oversight; salary included in staff_wages [#17].
Research Technician 1 Laboratory technician to run assays, sample handling and maintain equipment; salary included in staff_wages [#17].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing a mid-confidence estimate; uncertainty remains due to the anomalous nature of SCP-2733 (unpredictable incidents, variable D‑Class/testing cadence and potential rare high-cost exposures) and wide ranges on several line items.
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