SCP-2740 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-2740
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $2,132,500 driven by property acquisition, reserve funds (incident response and insurance), facility fit-out and equipment; annual recurring costs are approximately $1,518,000 driven primarily by security and research staffing, legal/cover-story work, and reputation/contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Facilities $518K
[#1, #2, #17, #18, #30] Purchase/compensation for the Lee property, temporary/permanent exclusion infrastructure, possible demolition/abatement contingency, secure storage fit-out (facility structural work), and permits/compliance.
Incident Response Reserve $500K
[#19] Initial reserve fund to enable rapid MTF deployment, emergency amnestic distribution, quarantine, and immediate PR spending.
Insurance Reserve $500K
[#20] One-time insurance/liability reserve and legal defense fund for third-party claims and suits.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#7] Initial cognitohazard R&D lab buildout, secure pharmacy stockpile setup, and initial clinical testing infrastructure.
Equipment $160K
[#5, #6, #22] One-time procurement and installation of surveillance/sensor systems, robotic inspection/telepresence hardware, and initial IT/secure-comm equipment/server hardware.
Legal And Cover Story Initial $40K
[#13] Initial cover-story development and supporting paid reports/tests (Delta-4B gas-leak narrative).
Witness Relocation One Time $40K
[#15] One-time witness relocation/payments for initial relocation(s) to reduce publicity risk.
Training Curriculum Setup $40K
[#12] One-time development of cognitohazard training materials, tabletop exercises, and certification curriculum.
Public Facing Remediation Setup $20K
[#26] One-time contracting/staging costs to create plausible public-facing repair/remediation activity to support the cover story.
Community Remediation One Time $15K
[#23] Upfront environmental/public-health tests and supporting community remediation to back the cover story.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $860K/yr
[#3, #9] 24/7 on-site security staffing (8 personnel with supervisor/spares and hazard pay) and cognito-research team staffing (approx. 4 specialists).
Reputation And Opportunity Cost Reserve $200K/yr
[#28] Annual budget cushion for reputational damage, diverted administrative attention, and opportunity costs if leaks occur.
Cover Story And Legal $135K/yr
[#14, #16, #24, #26] Ongoing legal retainers, municipal cooperation, internet/media monitoring and takedown, discrete local official payments, and modest annual public-facing contractor activity to sustain the gas-leak narrative.
Research And Monitoring $103K/yr
[#5, #10, #29, #25] Ongoing surveillance monitoring/storage, clinical imaging/testing budgets, long-term monitoring/archive review, and periodic containment/decision-support analysis.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#4] Patrol vehicle operating costs (fuel/maintenance/insurance) and amortized vehicle replacement included in annual logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#18, #2, #30] Ongoing storage/ops for secure evidence facility, upkeep of exclusion fencing/barriers and permit-related maintenance/compliance costs.
Amnestic Administration $30K/yr
[#8] Recurring costs to administer amnestics (medication, medical staff time, observation) for civilians or staff (10–50 administrations/yr assumed midpoint).
Amnestic Stockpile Replacement $30K/yr
[#7] Replacement of amnestic stock, secure pharmacy resupply, and clinical oversight for stockpile.
Mental Health Support $30K/yr
[#11] Counseling, psychiatric care, EAP contracts and treatment capacity for exposed staff.
Civilian Medical Incident Fund $20K/yr
[#27] Annual provisioning for smaller-scale civilian medical responses; large incidents reserved separately.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#21] Batteries, replacement sensors/cameras, PPE, cleaning supplies, signage refresh and other small consumables.
Robotics And Inspection Ops $15K/yr
[#6] Maintenance, operations, and minor replacements for robotic inspection and telepresence equipment.
Training Refreshers $10K/yr
[#12] Annual refresher training, certification renewals and tabletop exercises for personnel handling cognitohazards.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring and no major incidents.
no breach standard operations periodic testing
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized exposure or small-scale public sighting requiring multiple amnestic administrations, extra PR and limited medical response.
small public exposure 10–50 amnestic administrations targeted memetic cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Significant breach or large-scale dissemination requiring emergency MTF deployment, large medical response, major legal action and replenishment of reserves.
public mass-exposure major media coverage large legal/medical response
🚨 Demolition And Remediation $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Decision/necessity to demolish or abate the property and perform major remediation, driving large one-time costs in an operating year.
policy decision to demolish failed containment options environmental/abatement requirements
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#3] 24/7 on-site security presence with supervisors and relief crew (8 personnel used in wage estimate).
Research Scientist 4 [#9] Cognitohazard research team (2–4 cognitive scientists, 1 memeticist, 1 PI — 4 staff included in wage estimate).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items are range-based and scenario-dependent (property price, number of amnestic administrations, reserve sizing). Unknowns about SCP behavior (containment stability) and social risk create uncertainty, so estimates are midpoint-based and rated medium confidence.
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