SCP-2748 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2748
Expected annual
$4.4M
One-time setup
$4.0M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
13
Estimated up-front capital and setup costs are approximately $4.02M, driven by landslide isolation, lab/fabrication buildout, and facility retrofits; ongoing annual operations are roughly $4.18M, driven by staff wages, D-class program costs, transport/recovery logistics and insurance/legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.0M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.7M
[#12, #14, #26] One-time laboratory and specialized fabrication setup: wet-lab/BSL upgrade and associated instrumentation (#12), initial translation/research stipend for Daozang work (#14), and specialized fabrication/materials lab setup (#26).
Facilities $1.2M
[#2, #9, #10] One-time costs for controlled landslide/road isolation (#2), construction/retrofit of Anomalous Vehicle Sector bays at Site-316 (#9), and one-time HVAC/filtration installation for vehicle bays (#10). Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges.
Emergency Reserve $550K
[#24] One-time emergency/legal contingency reserve as noted for large settlements or emergency buyouts.
Equipment $376K
[#5, #8, #19, #21, #27, #30, #17] One-time purchase/installation of surveillance/sensor array (#5), secure ignition-key locker/safe (#8), test instrumentation (#19), onsite fuel storage unit (#21), IT/secure-comms hardware (#27), occasional cold-storage unit capital (#30), and compliance-enforcement simulator/device hardware (#17).
Front Company Setup And Bribery $175K
[#7] One-time setup costs for front company establishment, initial legal counsel and local fixer/bribery contingencies for cover.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#4, #13] Salaries for on-site security force and scientific staff (security guards 4–8; research specialists 3–10). Estimate uses midpoints of provided salary ranges and assumed staffing levels.
D Class Program $850K/yr
[#15] Recurring costs to maintain D-class program: housing, processing, security escorts and program overhead. Midpoint of provided range used.
Logistics And Transport $598K/yr
[#6, #20, #21, #22] Secure transport/extraction of instances (#6), field clearance crews (#20), fuel/tyres and vehicle consumables (#21), and recovery/long-range tracking operations including air assets when needed (#22). Assumes a moderate number of activations/year (baseline scenario) to convert per-event ranges into annual costs.
Research And Monitoring $428K/yr
[#12, #26, #19, #14] Ongoing lab staffing and supplies (#12), fabrication lab operations (#26), data/storage/maintenance for test instrumentation (#19), and recurring translation/cultural research stipends (#14).
Insurance And Legal $275K/yr
[#24] Worker insurance, liability reserves and ongoing legal contingency funding (annual insurance/reserve portion).
Cover Story And Legal $215K/yr
[#1, #7, #29] Ongoing front-company registration/fees/local taxes and small cover staff (#1), ongoing legal/PR retainer and local fixes (#7), and retainer for public-incident response/PR (#29).
Public Incident Retainer $138K/yr
[#29] Portion of public-incident contingency budget allocated as an annual retainer for rapid-response PR/INTEL and black-ops contingencies.
Medical Support $110K/yr
[#23] On-call medics, trauma care provisioning, routine medical screening and incident medical costs (baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $82K/yr
[#3, #10] Ongoing slope/closure monitoring and maintenance (#3) plus HVAC/filtration energy & maintenance (#10).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#16] Per-test consumables and PPE replaced per activation (#16). Assumes a moderate activation tempo and median per-activation consumable cost.
Biohazard Disposal $53K/yr
[#11] Recurring hazardous-waste contractor costs and per-vehicle disposal fees. Includes median annual contractor costs plus per-activation disposal assumptions.
Staff Training $42K/yr
[#28] Annual training, SOP development and live drills for anomalous vehicle protocols.
Odor And Pest Control $36K/yr
[#25] Regular deodorization, fumigation and deep-clean operations for vehicle interiors; includes per-intense-clean costs converted to an annual baseline.
Archiving And Storage $28K/yr
[#30] Long-term storage and archival costs for samples, documents and retired vehicles. Recurring cold/dry storage and cataloguing.
It And Comms $28K/yr
[#27] Recurring IT, secure comms subscriptions, backups, intrusion monitoring and remote link maintenance.
Surveillance Maintenance $11K/yr
[#5] Recurring maintenance and communications/backhaul costs for remote surveillance and sensor arrays.
Gps Tracking And Sims $5K/yr
[#18] Data plans, SIMs and replacement trackers for GPS telemetry per test. Assumes reusable hardware and typical data-plan costs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine tests and no major incidents.
routine_tests scheduled_research no_unplanned_exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $4.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$62K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring recovery, additional medical treatment, targeted PR/settlements and modest emergency response.
offsite_vehicle_escape localized_civilian_exposure extended_recovery_ops
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or civilian casualties requiring large-scale emergency response, major PR/legal operations, and use of emergency reserves.
public_media_exposure civilian_casualties international_diplomatic_incident
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] On-site armed guards and local supervisors. Count chosen within 4–8 guard range; salaries aggregated into staff_wages.
Research Scientist 7 [#13] Pathologists, biologists, sinologists and engineers (3–10 specialists). Count and average salary chosen so total matches scientific portion of staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling mid-range point estimates, but many items depend on activation tempo, jurisdictional secrecy needs, and frequency of recoveries; ranges are therefore moderately uncertain.
← SCP-2747 ↑ All SCPs SCP-2749 →