SCP-2754 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2754
Expected annual
$84K
One-time setup
$136K
Annual recurring
$80K
First-year one-time setup costs are front-loaded for PR/legal, equipment, and community goodwill (~$136,000). Ongoing annual costs are modest recurring expenditures for disinformation maintenance, travel, storage/analysis, and contingency reserves (~$63,900/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $136K
Optional Staged Demo $30K
[#20] Optional one-off staged LED/drone demonstration to strengthen cover narrative (included as optional).
Disinformation Creation $25K
[#2] Initial creation of cover narrative, multimedia production, domain registration, and legal vetting.
Equipment $21K
[#6, #7] Surveillance equipment and off-grid power kit (cameras, mounts, comms, solar/battery/generator).
Community Liaison Initial $20K
[#1] Initial negotiation/legal fee and goodwill grant to secure local cooperation.
Cultural Outreach Initial $15K
[#12] Seed program (sponsored activities/scholarships) to normalize the cover explanation.
Sample Analysis Incident $15K
[#9] Representative one-off budget per artifact/sample recovery for specialist analysis (materials/spectroscopy/etc.).
Legal Retainer Initial $6K
[#13] Initial legal counsel retainer for Niue/New Zealand jurisdictions and pre-deployment legal work.
Archival Setup $2K
[#17] Initial secure archival and chain-of-custody system setup.
Training Initial $2K
[#15] Initial cultural-sensitivity/disinformation training for deployed personnel.
Facilities $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $80K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $26K/yr
[#1, #3, #12, #13, #18, #16] Ongoing disinformation maintenance, local stipends, cultural outreach upkeep, insurance, PR/legal damage control, and local media placements.
Research And Monitoring $14K/yr
[#8, #9, #17] Secure data storage/analysis, standing sample-analysis reserve, and archival maintenance.
Research Sample Reserve $10K/yr
[#9] Standing budget for incident-driven sample transport, containment, and specialist testing.
Emergency Fund Reserve $10K/yr
[#14] Rapid-extraction / medevac / charter reserve kept available annually.
Logistics And Transport $9K/yr
[#4, #10] Annual field-team travel/per-diem and per-deployment shipping/logistics to Niue.
Pr Damage Control $5K/yr
[#18] Annual budget for occasional takedowns, rebuttals, or legal pushes when viral content appears.
Small Hush Fund $2K/yr
[#19] Petty discretionary fund for ad-hoc local payments.
Local Hires $1K/yr
[#5] Payments to local contractors/liaisons/translators during festival period.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#11] Annual storage lease or small locker to house equipment between festivals.
Local Media Placements $1K/yr
[#16] Paid placements in local/regional outlets to reinforce cover locally.
Power Maintenance $650/yr
[#7] Solar/battery/generator maintenance for remote equipment.
Training Refresher $500/yr
[#15] Annual cultural-sensitivity/refresher training for deployed personnel.
Archival Maintenance $500/yr
[#17] Ongoing archive/compliance recordkeeping costs.
Staff Wages $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $80K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with annual monitoring, disinformation upkeep, travel, data archiving, and standing reserves.
annual festival monitoring routine disinformation upkeep no viral disclosure
🚨 Minor Incident $89K/yr
12.0% probability / year +$8K vs baseline
Localized exposure or viral post requiring rapid PR/legal response, extra takedowns, minor goodwill/top-up payments, and moderate additional analysis.
viral social-media footage local complaint requiring payouts targeted takedown/legal actions
🚨 Major Breach $159K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$78K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or difficult-to-contain footage requiring emergency extraction, large-scale PR/legal operations, and one-off staged demonstration or expanded goodwill.
widespread international media coverage legal action or diplomatic attention activation of staged demonstration / emergency extraction
👥 Personnel
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0 Field researchers are Foundation personnel; wages not itemized in these notes.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0 Security presence during deployments referenced but wages not included in this budget.
Administrative Staff 0 Administrative coordination assumed covered centrally; no direct recurring wage costs provided.
Local Contractor (liaison/translator) 0 Local hires are budgeted as contractor payments (see local_hires); headcount/wages not itemized as Foundation staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing reasonable scenario construction, but many figures are ranges and discretionary (optional staged demo, contingency reserves), so numeric estimates use mid-to-conservative choices and carry moderate uncertainty.
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