SCP-2792 — SCP-2792 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2792 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-2792

Expected annual

$23.0M

One-time setup

$92.0M

Annual recurring

$21.7M

Personnel

Initial one-time containment and specialized cryogenic infrastructure is large (primarily cryo-rated SHC construction, redundancy and disaster reserves), with most ongoing expense driven by research, insurance/reserve provisioning, and specialist staff. Expected initial capital outlay is on the order of tens of millions; annual operating costs are dominated by research and liability/insurance reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $92.0M

Catastrophic Cleanup Reserve $50.0M

[#30] Large catastrophic-failure remediation reserve (one-time reserve allocation to cover potential regional infrastructure restoration; conservative institutional seed within analyst range).

Facilities $20.0M

[#1, #8, #19] SHC-368 retrofit/cryogenic-rated structural work, environmental isolation zones/airlocks/insulating buffers, and site-wide HVAC/utility upgrades (mid-range sums of provided estimates combined). Includes structural reinforcement, permits and blast/pressure safety features.

Contingency Reserve Seed $11.0M

[#15] Seed contingency fund for immediate post-incident mobilization (one-time seed, site-dependent; midpoint of analyst range chosen).

Equipment $8.8M

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #9, #10, #20, #21, #27] Active thermal control hardware, redundant generators/UPS, cryo-hardened monitoring/sensor suite, cryo-compatible robotics, Class-A suits, containment fixtures, meteorological instrumentation, mobile containment crates/vehicles, thermal-cycling-rated hardware, data-logging uplinks, and initial spares inventory (midpoints of ranges aggregated).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M

[#13] Cryo-lab buildout and specialised scientific instruments required to begin the research program (one-time lab fit-out and instrument purchases; mid-range).

Medical Quarantine Fitout $600K

[#14] One-time fit-out for frostbite/hypothermia treatment, decontamination/isolation wards and quarantine-capable facilities.

Initial Training Certification $300K

[#11] Initial MTF/guard force specialized cryogenic operations training, certifications and simulations (one-time training and setup).

Archivist Systems $90K

[#25] Secure records management hardware and physical vaulting systems (one-time acquisition; midpoint).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.7M/yr

Research And Monitoring $7.0M/yr

[#13, #24] Ongoing laboratory research program and long-term R&D into countermeasures/mitigation (aggregation of routine research program and ambitious long-term R&D budgets; midpoint aggregation).

Insurance And Liability Reserve $5.5M/yr

[#17] Annual reserve/modeling budgeting for insurance-like coverage and catastrophic-loss modeling (midpoint of analyst range).

Staff Wages $2.2M/yr

[#11, #12, #22] Dedicated MTF/guard wages and overhead (~10 dedicated personnel), 1–2 FTE psychologists and hazard pay, and legal/compliance/liaison staff (midpoint salary aggregates).

Catastrophic Replenish $2.0M/yr

[#30] Annual replenishment contribution toward catastrophic remediation reserve.

Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr

[#16] Baseline cover-story operations, PR, coordination with local agencies, and legal mitigation (ongoing annual program costs; midpoint).

Contingency Fund Replenish $1.0M/yr

[#15] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain a ready contingency fund after draws.

Facilities Maintenance $410K/yr

[#8, #19, #20] Ongoing maintenance of thermal isolation, heated corridors/pipe tracing and site-wide HVAC/utility upkeep; repairs of thermal-cycling-rated structural hardware (mid-range sums).

Redundant Power Maintenance $325K/yr

[#3] Fuel, routine maintenance and testing costs for onsite generators, UPS and transfer systems (N+1 redundancy).

Logistics And Transport $290K/yr

[#10, #28] Per-transfer logistics, insulated transport crates, and an expected average of relocation/secure-move costs (aggregated per-year operational expectation).

Meteorological Operations $275K/yr

[#9] Continuous meteorological monitoring, modelling, alerts and liaison with national weather services (staff and operations).

Medical Quarantine Operations $250K/yr

[#14] Annual operations and treatments cost for medical/quarantine facilities (staff, consumables, treatments).

Active Thermal Maintenance $175K/yr

[#2] Annual maintenance, testing and spare parts for high-capacity emergency heaters and control systems.

Training Drills $175K/yr

[#23] Regular drills, simulations and contracted exercises for breach and mass-casualty cold-weather response.

Medical Monitoring $175K/yr

[#26] Ongoing occupational health screening, specialist consultations and long-term monitoring for staff.

Staff Rotation Costs $175K/yr

[#29] Costs associated with shorter tours, rotation, resiliency training and backfill.

Robotics Maintenance $125K/yr

[#5] Maintenance, spare parts and servicing for cryo-compatible manipulators and mobile platforms.

Supplies And Consumables $105K/yr

[#18] Cryogenic consumables (LN2 or equivalents), specialized lubricants, seals and routine consumables for cryo-operations.

Monitoring Maintenance $100K/yr

[#4] Calibration, replacement and upkeep of cryo-hardened cameras, fiber-optic temperature sensors and telemetry.

Spares Replenishment $90K/yr

[#27] Annual replenishment of spare parts inventory for fast-failing components.

Suit Servicing $65K/yr

[#6] Annual servicing, consumables and periodic replacement for Class-A insulated environment suits.

Containment Replacements $60K/yr

[#7] Replacement and consumable costs for cryo-rated fixtures, locks, CCTV housings and in-cell equipment.

Data Backup And Bandwidth $60K/yr

[#21] Off-site backups, hardened comms and satellite uplink bandwidth/maintenance.

Archivist Operations $50K/yr

[#25] Secure records management operations and vaulting upkeep (annual operating budget).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.7M/yr

90.5% probability / year

Normal operational year with planned maintenance, research, and no containment failures.

routine operations scheduled research activity regular maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $26.5M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$4.8M vs baseline

Localized containment event requiring targeted repairs, temporary evacuations, transport of SCP, and modest cover-up expenses.

localized breach short-term transport minor weather anomaly within local area

🚨 Major Breach $81.5M/yr

1.5% probability / year +$59.8M vs baseline

Significant containment failure with regional weather effects, large-scale remediation, extended relocation and major cover-up/liability costs.

widespread blizzard propagation multi-site impact large-scale infrastructure damage

👥 Personnel 14 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	10	Dedicated specialized MTF/guard force trained for cryogenic operations; salaries and overhead included in staff_wages [#11].
Psychologist	2	1–2 FTE psychologists for thrice-weekly counseling under Hayward Protocol; salaries included in staff_wages [#12].
Legal / Compliance Liaison	2	Legal/compliance and civil-authority liaison staff for cover operations and coordination; salaries included in staff_wages [#22].

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint estimates, but several items (insurance reserves, catastrophic cleanup, frequency of moves/incidents, and long-term R&D scope) have large tails and site-dependent variation, producing moderate confidence in aggregate numbers.

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