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SCP-2798 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-2798
Expected annual
$187.4M
One-time setup
$1.2B
Annual recurring
$178.9M
Personnel
25
Large upfront capital if RCS REVENANT or BSL‑4 labs/powerplants must be built; main recurring drivers are station upkeep, logistics/resupply and long‑term monitoring and research staff.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2B
Facilities $1.1B
[#4, #6, #8, #15] Includes one‑time capital for BSL‑3/4 vault upgrades (#4), BSL‑4 lab build/retrofit (#6), RCS REVENANT capital amortization/new construction (#8) and major powerplant overhaul/replacement (#15).
Equipment $86.5M
[#2, #7, #9, #11, #19] Hardware purchases and vehicle repairs: archival storage hardware and initial cluster (#2), FLS Mercy repair/partial replacement and spare parts (#7), contingency/response prep equipment (#9), comms equipment (#11), HPC on‑prem hardware (#19).
Public Relations Reserve $5.0M
[#12, #17] One‑time immediate cover/PR/legal reserve to suppress exposure and initial indemnities.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#5] Initial lab instrumentation and start‑up costs for xenobiology, genomics and magnetospheric simulation campaigns.
Decontamination Major Campaigns $500K
[#16] Per‑major decontamination / remediation campaign (one‑time per campaign estimate).
Opportunity Cost Loss $0
[#20] Qualitative lost-science/opportunity cost (non‑monetary strategic loss; not quantified here).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $178.9M/yr
Facilities Maintenance $107.5M/yr
[#4, #6, #8, #11, #15, #16] Ongoing maintenance and operations for BSL facilities, station upkeep (RCS REVENANT), comms operations, powerplant maintenance and decontamination/waste handling.
Logistics And Transport $50.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #14] Resupply and transport to off‑Earth assets (propellant, cargo runs), ongoing shuttle/station operational logistics and spare parts turnover.
Security Enforcement $5.0M/yr
[#13] Recurring costs for administrative enforcement, monitoring and (if required) patrol/interdiction assets.
Contingency Readiness $5.0M/yr
[#9] Readiness retention, crew training and standby vehicle maintenance for rapid response.
Staff Wages $4.2M/yr
[#3, #5, #10] Core team salaries and benefits including dedicated personnel, research staff and secure long‑term medical/psychological observation staff for survivors.
Research And Monitoring $3.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #5, #19] Dedicated astronomical monitoring (telescopes, receivers, duty on arrays), archival processing/crypto compute, ongoing major analysis campaigns and HPC compute time.
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#12, #17] Ongoing legal, information control, cover operations, liaison with external agencies and FOIA/press handling.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#4, #5, #16] Consumables: cryogens/freezers, PPE, lab consumables, waste handling and routine sample/container consumables.
Training $200K/yr
[#18] Regular training, drills and simulation exercises.
Data Archival And Storage $150K/yr
[#2] Ongoing archival storage costs, backups, cloud/physical redundancy and storage power/maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $178.9M/yr
90.3% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, research and maintenance only; no major incidents or exposure.
no recurrence detected routine station operations scheduled research campaigns
🚨 Minor Incident $188.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized incident such as equipment failure, single‑shuttle damage or limited contamination event requiring emergency response and modest repairs.
shuttle repair/partial loss limited contamination/decon campaign emergency extraction mission
🚨 Major Breach $428.9M/yr
1.5% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Significant loss/damage: RCS REVENANT or multiple assets damaged, large‑scale recovery/repair, expanded containment and heavy PR/legal costs.
station damage loss of one or more shuttles significant sample contamination or leak
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.2B/yr
0.2% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Catastrophic multi‑asset failure or public exposure requiring full remediation, replacement of major infrastructure and extensive legal/compensation payouts.
total station loss widespread public exposure major contamination with international fallout
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 8 Astrophysicists, xenobiologists and simulation specialists conducting monitoring, genomics and magnetospheric modelling. (Contributes to research_and_monitoring and staff_wages.)
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Security presence for sample custody, enforcement of no‑expedition policy and protection of facilities.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 Station, reactor/power and vehicle maintenance staff for RCS REVENANT and shuttle systems.
Medical Officer 2 Primary medical staff for survivor care and medical monitoring.
Psychologist / Psychiatrist 2 Long‑term psychological observation and therapy for survivors; part of survivor care costs.
Administrative Staff 1 Logistics, procurement and administrative coordination for missions and cover operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Senior oversight and liaison with Foundation command; executive decision making for containment policy.
Contractors / On‑call Specialists 4 Rotational or contract specialists (accelerator/plasma lab access, cryptanalysis, deep‑space ops) accounted for in staff_wages as recurring engagement cost.
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide ranges in analyst notes, dependence on whether the Foundation already operates station/shuttle assets, uncertainty about recurrence/contagion; many costs are contingent on decisions (build vs marginal operate), so estimates carry low confidence.
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