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SCP-280 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-280
Expected annual
$2.7M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
12
First-year capital to build and outfit a lightproof, reinforced 5x5 m containment cell and specialized monitoring/robotics is approximately $2.43M; annual operations including staffing, incident response, biohazard handling and legal/cover costs are about $2.42M, driven mainly by security and specialist personnel and frequent biohazard/repair needs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Facilities $900K
[#1, #2] Structural cell construction and interior non-metallic reinforcement (shell, double airlock, vibration isolation, composite lining and sacrificial panels).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $790K
[#17, #18, #28] Initial SOP development, high-speed imaging and specialized research instrumentation, and an initial allocation for long-term research/neutralization program start-up.
Equipment $725K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #19, #21, #24] Light-control systems, HVAC install, UPS/generator, dark-spectrum cameras and NVR, localized IR sensors, tactical flashlights, IR goggles, ID strobes/tracking, PPE kits, biohazard initial kit, remote manipulators, CCTV/NVR initial, rapid-response vehicle.
Permits And Regulatory Fees $15K
[#29] Initial permits, environmental/regulatory consultancy and fee costs.
Rough Order Of Magnitude $0
[#30] Summary/RoR note — included as non-additive reference (overall first-year capital range already reflected in line items).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#14, #15, #16] On-site security (6 guards + supervisor and premiums), scientific staff (lead + 2 associates with benefits), and medical/trauma medics and training.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#22] Legal fees, cover stories, PR, liaison costs and amnestic deployment budget.
Research And Monitoring $192K/yr
[#6, #18, #19, #21, #28] Monitoring equipment maintenance & storage, experimental instrumentation upkeep and consumables, robotic service contracts, CCTV/NVR operations and ongoing long-term R&D program recurring costs.
Admin And Overhead $184K/yr
[#27] Administrative overhead estimated at ~15% of payroll (procurement, accounting, facility management).
Insurance And Worker Compensation $150K/yr
[#26] Elevated insurance premiums, worker compensation reserves and liability buffers.
Contingency Fund $100K/yr
[#23] Reserve for emergency repairs, replacement of sacrificial panels and rapid rebuilds after containment damage.
Mortuary Services $80K/yr
[#13] Casualty handling, mortuary work, autopsies, forensic documentation, death benefits and secure storage/cremation.
Supplies And Consumables $62K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #20] Flashlight battery/consumables, IR goggles maintenance/calibration, ID strobe upkeep, PPE replacement, and general consumable spares.
Biohazard Cleanup $60K/yr
[#12] Recurring costs for biohazard response teams, disposals, incineration/cremation access and incident autopsies depending on incident frequency.
Psych Support $60K/yr
[#25] Psychological counseling, debriefing, turnover mitigation and recruitment/training costs due to trauma/PTSD risk.
Training Drills $50K/yr
[#17] Recurring training, frequent drills, SOP refreshes and resilience training costs (initial SOP dev is one-time).
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#4, #5, #7] HVAC operation/maintenance and light-baffled ventilation O&M, generator fuel & maintenance, and localized sensor maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#24] Operation and upkeep of rapid-response/armored vehicle and transport for remains/equipment.
Regulatory Compliance $6K/yr
[#29] Ongoing permit renewals, compliance monitoring and consultant fees.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
60.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard operations, no major containment incidents beyond routine maintenance and trainings.
no major attacks routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized attack or small breach requiring elevated biohazard cleanup, overtime, mortuary services and moderate equipment replacement.
single-staff casualty extensive biohazard disposal overtime and limited equipment replacement
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach spreading through facility, multiple fatalities, heavy structural/equipment damage and major legal/amnestic/PR response.
cell breach multiple casualties site-wide re-illumination and equipment destruction
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#14] 6 guards (2 per shift) plus 1 security supervisor as described for 24/7 coverage.
Research Scientist 3 [#15] 1 senior researcher (lead) and 2 research associates (on-call/study staff).
Medical Officer 2 [#16] 2 full-time trauma medics / emergency responders.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment requirements and staffing needs are clearly described, giving a reasonable basis for cost categories and magnitudes, but many estimates (incident frequency, extent of structural damage, and long-term R&D scope) are highly variable, producing moderate confidence.
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