SCP-2801 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2801
Expected annual
$33.7M
One-time setup
$10.1B
Annual recurring
$30.7M
Personnel
83
Initial capital costs are dominated by contingency/reserve options (Project Lethe / SCP-2000) and lab/R&D instrumentation, while recurring annual costs are driven by specialized staff wages, large-scale content-forensics operations, MTF deployments, screening programs, and opportunity costs from lost productivity.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.1B
Scp2000 Reserve $10.0B
[#28] SCP-2000 / full-reset contingency (engineering/political cost; lower-bound estimate).
Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#26] Contingency reserve for major containment breach (post‑breach lockdowns, accelerated takedowns, emergency procurements).
Project Lethe Reserve $50.0M
[#27] Reserve estimate for a Project Lethe–scale mass-amnestic operation (example magnitude).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.5M
[#2, #14] Development of safe sandbox/formal verification and R&D lab equipment (wet labs, instrumentation, fMRI/MEG-equivalent equipment procurement decision deferred to OPEX).
Facilities $7.0M
[#1, #8] Secure memetic laboratory construction and secure human containment cell construction (3–6 cells) — combined estimate.
Equipment $1.6M
[#2, #3, #7, #22] Hardened analysis workstations and sandbox hardware (#2), initial high-performance compute/storage hardware (#3), EEG rigs (#7), initial memetic PPE issuance (#22).
Global Safehouses Setup $350K
[#13] Setup cost for 8–12 safehouses / logistics caches (one-time setup).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $30.7M/yr
Staff Wages $10.7M/yr
[#5, #9, #12, #15, #24, #14, #4] Salaries for cyber team, containment cell staff, MTF Theta-8 personnel, forensic analysts, auditors/compliance, R&D scientists, and webcrawler operators.
Opportunity Cost $3.1M/yr
[#25] Lost productivity due to screening, training, briefings and downtime.
Content Forensics $2.8M/yr
[#17] Content sanitization & device forensics operations (travel, seizure, forensic overwrite, reimaging).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#18, #20] Public disinformation/PR campaigns, legal retainers, international legal liaisons and covert diplomatic fixers.
Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#14] Non-wage R&D recurring costs (lab consumables, animal models, experiment costs).
Mtf Theta8 Ops $2.0M/yr
[#12] MTF Theta-8 non-wage operational costs: equipment, vehicles, tactical deployments, comms, and consumable gear.
Global Safehouses $1.5M/yr
[#13] Rent/operations for global rapid-response & safehouse network.
Screening Program $1.4M/yr
[#6] Continuous screening program (biweekly/monthly rapid tests for personnel and confirmatory testing).
Termination Operations $1.0M/yr
[#10] Termination operations, clandestine disposal, cover-up, amnestic purchases and administration for routine cases.
Bribes Informants $600K/yr
[#19] Payments to forum admins, hosting contacts, informants and outsourcing incentives.
Honeypots Sinkholes $550K/yr
[#16] Honeypot/sinkhole deployment and maintenance, offensive 'poisoning' strategies.
Long Term Surveillance $525K/yr
[#30] Ongoing surveillance of file-sharing & hacker communities (undercover agents, tooling updates).
Recruitment And Training $450K/yr
[#11] Hiring, background checks, memetic-safety training and replacement costs.
Incident Drills $300K/yr
[#31] Physical & cyber incident drills, tabletop exercises and penetration tests.
Psychological Support $275K/yr
[#23] Psychological counseling and critical-incident staff support.
Webcrawler Infrastructure $250K/yr
[#4] Dedicated webcrawler/monitoring infrastructure and operations (servers, VPN/Tor endpoints, scraping tooling).
Secure Archival Systems $250K/yr
[#29] Secure non-recordable archival systems, controlled transcripts and redaction workflows.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#21] Energy, HVAC, generator fuel, UPS and general facility OPEX.
Contracted Neuroimaging Scans $200K/yr
[#7] Recurring contracted fMRI/MEG scan costs when outsourcing rather than purchasing scanner hardware.
Hardware Replacement Cycle $150K/yr
[#32] Replacement & upgrade amortization for memetic-safe hardware (server/workstation refresh cycles).
Compute Maintenance $60K/yr
[#3] Maintenance and upkeep for high-performance compute & classified storage systems.
Memetic Personnel Ppe $50K/yr
[#22] Recurring replacements for memetic-personnel PPE and filtered headsets.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $30.7M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing monitoring, routine takedowns, and no major containment breach.
routine_detections regular_screening scheduled_R&D
🚨 Minor Incident $35.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized repost spikes or a small cluster of infections requiring additional takedowns, extra forensics and short MTF deployments.
localized_reposts small_cluster_infections accelerated_takedowns
🚨 Major Breach $55.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Coordinated or widespread re-distribution causing multiple site infections, site lockdowns, mass screenings and extended suppression operations.
coordinated_distribution multiple_site_infections extended_lockdowns
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $100.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$70.0M vs baseline
Global-level outbreak or failure to contain variants leading to consideration/execution of mass-amnestic or reset-level operations (Project Lethe / SCP-2000 considerations).
nationwide_or_global_outbreak uncontrolled_self_propagation decision_to_execute_mass_amnestic
👥 Personnel 83 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 Theta-8 operational strength for field identification and neutralization; salaries included in staff_wages. [#12]
Research Scientist 10 Neuroscience and R&D staff working on mitigations/cures; personnel cost portion of #14 included in staff_wages. [#14]
Cyber Team 8 Senior devs, analysts, malware reverse-engineers and incident response staff for rapid takedown and neutralization. [#5]
Forensic Analyst 8 Variant analysis and Document X cataloguing team; dedicated forensic labor included in staff_wages. [#15]
Medical Officer / Neuropsychiatrist 4 On-call neuropsychiatrists and med techs for infected subject oversight and confirmatory testing. [#9, #7]
Engineer / Maintenance 3 Facilities, servers, and secure hardware maintenance staff. [#3, #21]
Administrative Staff 3 Administrative support, logistics coordination and legal liaison support. [#11, #20]
Audit / Compliance 4 Auditors enforcing no-recording policies and insider-threat monitoring. [#24]
Webcrawler Operator 3 Ops staff for continuous internet surveillance and darknet monitoring. [#4]
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty due to the memetic nature of SCP-2801, wide ranges in analyst estimates, and optionality of extreme contingency measures (Lethe / SCP-2000). Many costs scale nonlinearly with outbreak severity and geographic scope.
← SCP-2800 ↑ All SCPs SCP-2802 →