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SCP-2818 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2818
Expected annual
$3.5M
One-time setup
$10.6M
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
24
Initial capital costs are dominated by construction of a purpose-built firing range and associated capture systems and lab upgrades, with significant equipment purchases; recurring costs are driven by multidisciplinary staff wages, consumable capture-block replacements, D-class procurement, and legal/cover expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.6M
Facilities $5.0M
[#6] Purpose-built heavy-impact firing range construction (site excavation, berms, specialized materials, remote control systems).
Equipment $4.1M
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #16, #17, #22, #23, #26, #15, #25] Secure storage vault purchase/installation (#1); initial storage alarm/CCTV setup (#2 initial); armored transport crate and procedural development (#4); optional armored vehicle purchase (#5); initial projectile capture system installation (#7); electromagnetic shielding installation (#8); high-speed imaging and diagnostics initial suite (#9); remote firing rig initial build (#16); replacement/backup firearms and spare parts (#17); evidence storage initial setup (#22); specialized PPE and robotic manipulators initial purchase (#23); initial security clearance vetting for team (#26); initial R&D program seed funding (#15 initial); contingency/reserve earmark (#25 one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#10] Biohazard necropsy & analysis lab upgrade (BSL-2/3 capability) for handling compressed human biomass and forensic analysis.
Secure Storage Vault $0
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Storage Alarm Initial $0
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Armored Transport Container $0
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Armored Vehicle Purchase $0
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Capture System Install $0
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Electromagnetic Shielding Install $0
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High Speed Imaging Initial $0
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Remote Firing Rig Initial $0
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Replacement Firearms Initial $0
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Evidence Storage Initial $0
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Ppe And Robotics Initial $0
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Security Clearance Initial $0
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Research And Development Initial $0
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Contingency Reserve $0
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Rough Order Of Magnitude Guidance $0
[#29] Analyst guidance on combined capital and first-year staffing (informational).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#3, #11, #27, #14] Security staffing for storage and rapid response (~12 guards); forensic & scientific personnel (6 specialists); administrative/program management overhead; medical/psychological support.
Dclass Procurement And Management $450K/yr
[#13] Procurement, housing, security, medical checks and management overhead for human test subjects (10 subjects assumed).
Research And Monitoring $355K/yr
[#9, #10, #15, #24] High-speed imaging calibration/maintenance; biohazard sterilization & lab maintenance; ongoing R&D to develop surrogate testing methods; sensor calibration, data archiving and instrumentation upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#7, #12, #23] Consumable projectile capture blocks replacement and refurbishment; hazmat consumables and biohazard waste disposal per-test; PPE and tool maintenance/consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#18] Legal, cover-up & public-affairs baseline budget to manage missing-persons, family payouts, false records, and liaison with local authorities.
Facilities Maintenance $152K/yr
[#20, #2, #8, #21] Structural repair and wear-and-tear for range; storage alarm software/monitoring maintenance; EM shielding grounding/surge suppression maintenance; energy/utilities for test facility and storage.
Miscellaneous And Local Mitigation $62K/yr
[#28] Misc. permits, noise mitigation, travel/lodging for visiting specialists, and small regional payments/expedients.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#5] Armored vehicle / secure transport operations budget for occasional transfers (fuel, drivers, escorts).
Regulatory Compliance And Permits $30K/yr
[#19] Regulatory compliance, arms licensing, environmental and hazardous-waste permits and associated legal fees.
Evidence Storage And Cataloguing $10K/yr
[#22] Long-term storage costs, refrigeration/dry storage, cataloging and chain-of-custody maintenance.
Security Clearance Recurring $10K/yr
[#26] Reinvestigations, polygraphs and background checks for new hires and recurrent vetting.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine testing, scheduled maintenance, and no major incidents.
scheduled_testing routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or capture-block destruction requiring replacement, limited range damage, small legal/cleanup expenses.
capture_block_failure localized_range_damage small_legal_claims
🚨 Major Breach $8.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Projectile departs containment or causes civilian exposure, triggering large remediation, legal settlements, and reconstruction.
projectile_departure_from_range civilian_exposure regulatory_investigation
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#3] Dedicated guard coverage for storage and rapid-response (3 shifts).
Research Scientist 6 [#11] Ballistics engineers, materials scientists, electrical engineers for test analysis (6 specialists).
Pathologist / Medical Officer 1 [#10, #14] Forensic/pathology support and medical monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#6, #20] Range and capture system maintenance, structural repairs.
Administrative Staff 2 [#27] Project management, procurement, accounting and admin support.
Hazmat Technician 1 [#12, #23] Hazmat handling, biohazard waste disposal and PPE/robotics operation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst line items with specific cost ranges; however major drivers (testing frequency, legal exposure, D-class usage, and rare catastrophic events) are highly variable, producing moderate uncertainty.
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