SCP-2851 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2851
Expected annual
$497K
One-time setup
$454K
Annual recurring
$482K
Personnel
5
One-time setup and remediation (painting, IT/document conversion, lighting, research setup) are approximately $454k dominated by a recommended contingency reserve; recurring annual operating costs are roughly $482k driven primarily by staff wages (compliance + security), medical/legal contingencies and ongoing research/IT maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $454K
Contingency Reserve Fund $300K
[#23] Recommended contingency reserve on hand (midpoint of $200k–$500k) to cover catastrophic/multiple-simultaneous incidents or insurance backing.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $38K
[#15] Research program lab setup and equipment for controlled exposure trials and behavioral studies.
Digital Doc Conversion $35K
[#7] IT project: development and migration to enforce red-only formatting and convert legacy files/backups (one-time development/migration).
Training Rollout $20K
[#10] Initial training and SOP production rollout (instructor fees, lost staff hours, materials).
Equipment $18K
[#3, #6, #17, #18] One-time purchase/installation of red lighting fixtures/hardwired emergency lamps (#3), emergency portable red kits (#6), durable red placards/signage (#17), and red coverings/wraps for non-paintable surfaces (#18).
Facilities $16K
[#1, #22] Paint Wing 9 initial application and fire-code/safety compliance inspections/remediation (fire-retardant paint, permitting).
Psych Baseline Screens $10K
[#11] Baseline psychological screening for assigned staff (50 × $200).
It Access Control Setup $10K
[#16] One-time IT access control, archive scrubbing and monitoring setup to prevent non-red document distribution.
Workstation Stipend Initial $5K
[#5] Initial red workstation/home decoration stipend for personnel (one-time rollout).
Initial Red Clothing $2K
[#4] Initial issue of at least one durable red article per staff member (50 staff × $50).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $482K/yr
Staff Wages $248K/yr
[#9, #13] Salaries and benefits: 1FTE compliance/admin (~$88k/yr) and added security staffing (~$160k/yr for additional guards).
Medical Emergency Reserve $100K/yr
[#12] Annual contingency fund for emergency medical treatment, forensics, victim care and temporary specialized medical costs (recommended ~$100k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#14] Retained counsel and legal hours for internal investigations, personnel discipline and liability mitigation.
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#15] Annual research budget for controlled trials, audio recording, behavioral studies and protocol optimization.
Productivity Loss $25K/yr
[#20] Estimated productivity loss and administrative overhead due to compliance tasks, extra reporting and incident responses.
Temp Coverage $10K/yr
[#21] Worker replacement / temporary coverage and overtime for post-exposure downtime (~$10k/yr).
Psychological Services $8K/yr
[#11] Ongoing counseling and case work for affected staff (midpoint ~$7.5k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#4, #6, #8, #19] Replacement red clothing (~$625/yr), consumable replacement for portable kits (~$500/yr), increased printing costs (~$550/yr), and ongoing small consumables/ink/batteries (~$3,500/yr).
Digital Doc Maintenance $5K/yr
[#7] Ongoing QA, patches and maintenance for red-only documentation enforcement and migration issues.
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#10] Annual training refreshers and mandatory retraining (~$5k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2, #3, #17, #18, #22] Repainting/touch-ups amortized (~$2k/yr), red lighting electricity (~$550/yr), signage and covering replacements (~$350 + $750/yr), and recurring inspections (~$300/yr).
It Monitoring $2K/yr
[#16] Recurring monitoring/alerting for non-red SCP-2851 documents and backups (~$1–3k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $482K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular maintenance, staffing, research and administrative costs only.
no major hallucinatory escalations routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $557K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
One or a few isolated SCP-2851-1-driven incidents (medical visit(s), limited theft/assault, short investigations).
isolated duel/assault medical treatment and limited legal action short-term counseling and overtime
🚨 Major Incident $882K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous or particularly severe incidents (mass violence, multiple hospitalizations, large-scale legal exposure) requiring large emergency spending.
multiple simultaneous duels/attacks major forensic/medical response protracted legal actions
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Compliance Officer / Administrative Staff 1 [#9] 1 FTE compliance/admin explicitly budgeted (~$88k/yr).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#13] Additional security staffing budgeted (~$160k/yr total; ~$40k/guard implies 4 FTEs to cover shifts).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and ranges for most categories, but several items (contingency reserve sizing, incident probabilities, and some recurring allocations) are based on midpoints and assumptions about frequency and site size; uncertainty in incident rates and reserve handling reduces full confidence.
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