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SCP-2853 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-2853
Expected annual
$4.7M
One-time setup
$3.8M
Annual recurring
$4.5M
Personnel
31
Initial one-time capital and setup costs are approximately $3.77M, driven primarily by land acquisition, site shelter/fitout, sensor/robotics/vehicle equipment and contingency reserves; ongoing annual costs are approximately $4.53M driven by staff wages (security and research), specialist response rotations, consumables, and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M
Equipment $1.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #10, #11, #16, #19] Permanent CCTV/thermal towers + NVR, infrasound/acoustic array, seismic/intrusion sensors, off-grid generator+solar+batteries, robotics/survey robots/drones, LIDAR/mapping hardware, vehicle purchases, initial PPE/decon hardware, and initial secure servers/storage hardware.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#24] Emergency contingency fund reserved for major incident response, rapid procurement and large-scale remediation (one-time allocation).
Facilities $995K
[#1, #7, #20] Perimeter fencing installation, onsite shelter/trailer modular building purchase+fitout, and land/property acquisition/rights. Excludes equipment items and contingency reserves which are listed separately.
Capital Replacement Reserve $500K
[#28] One-time capital reserve for long-term infrastructure replacement (roads, fences, buildings) as an upfront allocation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#8, #30] Field lab / mobile analysis equipment buildout and initial archive/document safeguarding hardware/setup.
Signage And Cover Props $2K
[#2] Initial temporary perimeter signage and cover-story props (military exercise signs, cones, barriers) one-time purchase.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#12, #14, #15] Onsite security staffing (20 guards incl. supervisor at ~$60k each), core research staff salaries/overhead, and onsite medical staff salaries.
Specialist Response And Mtf Rotation $450K/yr
[#13] Rotating specialist anomalous response teams: training, deployment allowances, specialized gear and on-call rotation budget.
Research And Monitoring $355K/yr
[#19, #25] Ongoing data storage/secure compute, telemetry analysis, incident reporting and funded research program budgets.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#1, #3, #4, #5, #7, #28, #30] Ongoing site and infrastructure maintenance: fence/road upkeep, CCTV/instrument maintenance, sensor calibration, shelter utilities/maintenance, annual infrastructure reserve portion and archive maintenance.
D Class Program $250K/yr
[#17] Intermittent D-Class testing logistics, procurement/maintenance/medical screening and short-term testing budgets (baseline annual budget estimate).
Local Law Enforcement Coordination $125K/yr
[#21] Payments/cooperative exercises/coordination with local law enforcement, politicians and joint exercises to sustain cover and local compliance.
Supplies And Consumables $102K/yr
[#2, #8, #9, #16, #18, #10] Recurring replacement signage, lab consumables/calibration, robotics spare parts/consumables, decon/HAZMAT consumables, general consumables (fuel/batteries/storage media), and LIDAR software licensing.
Insurance And Legal Retainer $100K/yr
[#27] Legal defense retainer, liability reserve and whistleblower/claims contingency budgeting.
Training And Drills $80K/yr
[#26] Regular training, certifications and containment drills for staff and rotating teams.
Medevac Retainer $75K/yr
[#15] Medevac/ambulance/helicopter standby retainer and emergency evacuation agreements.
Environmental Monitoring $60K/yr
[#23] Monitoring and mitigation for wildlife, livestock compensation and environmental impact assessments.
Psychological Support $55K/yr
[#29] Ongoing psychological counseling, evaluations and neuropsychiatric follow-up for staff exposed to infrasound/anomalous effects.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#2, #20] Ongoing small-scale cover story costs (signage replacement) and legal/administrative easement/contract payments.
Public Relations And Misinformation $40K/yr
[#22] Ongoing PR/misinformation operations: fake notices, press management, FOIA handling and cover narrative maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#11] Vehicle fuel and routine maintenance for patrol SUVs, pickups, ATVs and transport vehicles.
Power Operations $15K/yr
[#6] Recurring fuel/operations costs for off-grid generator support and related power operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major breach or escalation; routine operations, maintenance, staffing and scheduled research.
no breach regular sensor activity scheduled research
🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized breach or anomalous escalation requiring limited MTF deployment, equipment repair/replacement and short-term increased operations.
small breach targeted MTF mobilization localized equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $9.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or emergent phenomenon requiring large-scale MTF mobilization, major equipment replacement, mass remediation and potential temporary evacuation.
large-scale breach structural/equipment loss mass emergency response
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 Per #12: 3-shift coverage with rotation, supervisor included; positions assumed at ~$60k/year each (incl. benefits/hazard pay).
Research Scientist 6 Core interdisciplinary research staff (physicists, acousticians, engineers, psychologists) as per #14; salaries/overhead budgeted in staff_wages.
Technician / Analyst 3 Lab/field technicians and data analysts to support sensor networks, robotics and compute operations; included in research staffing budget.
Medical Officer 2 Onsite medics for first response and routine medical monitoring; salary portion included in staff_wages and medevac retainer in recurring costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling a mid-confidence estimate; uncertainty remains around frequency/severity of anomalous escalation, off-grid vs grid choices, and long-term replacement cycles which drives variance.
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